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Posted
Just now, Brisketexan said:


Yep. While a lot of very loud people insist that climate change is fake, the people whose jobs and lives and money depends on designing and planning for such events are doing just that.
But it’s still a bitch to predict these things in real-time.

 

mother nature gives zero fucks 

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Posted
Did your sister come home one hot July night with some extra fly Schottische dance moves?  If so, we may.
 
And I got bloodied up a few times in the dirt lot outside the fence. If that was you, I’ve still had enough. 

Let’s call it a general, yes. And call it even.
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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Wally Pryor said:

Surly never fails.

Should be the new slogan honestly. 🤘🏼 

 

also should those in the area/on the ground go ahead and start a separate thread now for updates, requests for help and such before black cat gets there and sets up. I know he said he was going to start one. Or should we just wait? 

Edited by Nicole44
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Posted
5 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:


Yep. While a lot of very loud people insist that climate change is fake, the people whose jobs and lives and money depends on designing and planning for such events are doing just that.
But it’s still a bitch to predict these things in real-time.

Agreed, especially given how little data we have over the course of history and how those climate change models still are a bit in flux. It’s why I really hate using PMF or PMP as they imply something that isn’t really correct given how much we actually know. 

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Posted
5 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

mother nature gives zero fucks 

A atmospheric chemist I know put it this way: carbon dioxide doesn’t think about you at all when it absorbs radiation at one wavelength and then gives it off in a different wavelength. 

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Posted
Just now, HenryJames said:

Fuck is Bergheim?

It's not really on the river so that graphic is odd. But the river passes it about 15 miles north, the hits Guad state park, then Spring Branch, then Canyon Lake. 

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Posted
19 minutes ago, Nicole44 said:

Do we have any word on the names of those four little girls found together waiting to be rescued? 

My understanding (and mind you this is via a mom’s text chain, but a text chain that is very well connected with Mystic) is that they are one of many in the area just waiting, including non-Mystic.  If I find out I will post an update.  

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Posted (edited)
19 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

It's not really on the river so that graphic is odd. But the river passes it about 15 miles north, the hits Guad state park, then Spring Branch, then Canyon Lake. 

The map legend would say its more like 2-3 miles, and if you zoom in on google maps you can see plenty of big fucking houses probably a couple hundred feet away. Have no idea if they are elevated on a cliff, etc..... 

image.png.16586b50dac1fba24b46046ce8fa99b8.png

image.png.4f52e9912cee370ce1187c1dcc54e2ba.png

Edited by Blotto
Posted
Just now, A-Tex Devil said:

My understanding (and mind you this is via a mom’s text chain, but a text chain that is very well connected with Mystic) is that they are one of many in the area just waiting, including non-Mystic.  If I find out I will post an update.  

Thank you so much. ❤️‍🩹❤️‍🩹

Posted
2 minutes ago, LW Goatman said:

My daughter has several classmates at Mystic now, all have been accounted for. We know one family who has not confirmed their daughter's safety. 

People are doing heroic things down there right now, thank God. 

 

very glad to hear that for you

 

lets hope many more are just "out of contact", but safe

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Blotto said:

The map legend would say its more like 2 miles, and if you zoom in on google maps you can see plenty of big fucking houses probably a couple hundred feet away. Have no idea if they are elevated on a cliff, etc..... 

image.png.16586b50dac1fba24b46046ce8fa99b8.png

image.png.4f52e9912cee370ce1187c1dcc54e2ba.png

Yeah I fucked that up. My UT GIS professors are rolling in their graves.

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Posted

Wimberly cleanup folks:  what are going to be the biggest needs going forward?  I don't own a chainsaw or a truck -- I could go buy the former -- but I can drag shit to somebody else's truck, I can handle a broom/mop, I can bring in supplies, I can donate money.  Which efforts were overdone and which fell short?

I remember a few Texas natural disasters (Bastrop fire, various rain bombs, some tornados, etc.) where FEMA etc. basically said "stop bringing clothes and food, just give money", but I'd like to also do something on site if possible, however meager.

Posted
2 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

Yeah I fucked that up. My UT GIS professors are rolling in their graves.

Very much side note… Not exactly GIS but UT grg related, saw prof Shane Davies passed away fairly recently. Dude was greatness. 

Posted

I have a friend very close to me who has three daughters there. All safe, one waiting to be picked up by his wife. He was in another state getting his son from camp. Can’t imagine being that far. After I checked in, I decided to leave him alone but will check back in a couple days.

I have a few other stories but it sounds terrible. We have an 8 year old daughter, so there are a lot of connections out there.

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Posted

Just found out one of my wifes’s best friends from college’s daughter is/was one of the missing from Mystic. She might have been seen on dry land and waiting for extraction by helicopter.

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Posted
Very much side note… Not exactly GIS but UT grg related, saw prof Shane Davies passed away fairly recently. Dude was greatness. 

Best professor I had by a mile. Going to his lectures was like going to a performance.
Posted
2 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

Wimberly cleanup folks:  what are going to be the biggest needs going forward?  I don't own a chainsaw or a truck -- I could go buy the former -- but I can drag shit to somebody else's truck, I can handle a broom/mop, I can bring in supplies, I can donate money.  Which efforts were overdone and which fell short?

I remember a few Texas natural disasters (Bastrop fire, various rain bombs, some tornados, etc.) where FEMA etc. basically said "stop bringing clothes and food, just give money", but I'd like to also do something on site if possible, however meager.

Bleach, come alongs, no clothes. Do not overwhelm. 

Water. Medical? Antibiotic cream. 

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Posted

I am grateful the blackhawks are equipped with FLIR. Grateful for all the first responders doing heroic things right now and all the volunteers and other groups. 
 

I feel that tiny glimmer of hope that quite a few of the missing are ok and just waiting to be found or extracted. This is still very much a rescue operation and praying for the weather to cooperate a bit. 
 My youngest cousin is with her friend (the aunt) of one of the missing little girls and they are desperate for any updates and I keep praying for any good news for them. 

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Posted
10 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

Wimberly cleanup folks:  what are going to be the biggest needs going forward?  I don't own a chainsaw or a truck -- I could go buy the former -- but I can drag shit to somebody else's truck, I can handle a broom/mop, I can bring in supplies, I can donate money.  Which efforts were overdone and which fell short?

I remember a few Texas natural disasters (Bastrop fire, various rain bombs, some tornados, etc.) where FEMA etc. basically said "stop bringing clothes and food, just give money", but I'd like to also do something on site if possible, however meager.

I was part of the Wimberley group, and my wife and I went other days as well.

Best thing to do is just show up. You can either sign up and be put somewhere or just go help folks on your own. Long Lines and organization can be haphazard so we went out on our own and found an older couple (in their 70-80's ) and helped them all day. Not why we did it but we got an invite to their 4th party a few months later.

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Posted
19 minutes ago, bluto said:

Very much side note… Not exactly GIS but UT grg related, saw prof Shane Davies passed away fairly recently. Dude was greatness. 

That's a bummer. That dude was a fucking character. 

Posted

https://hydromet.lcra.org/

looking at the LCRA hydromet The Highland Lakes are going to be a lot more full in a day or two....some of the stream flows are unreal too....127,000 cubic feet a second....that is 2.9 acre feet of water per second

https://www.texmesonet.org/

looking at the Texas Mesonet it looks like San Angelo should be really glad OC Fisher is there and (was) near empty

https://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

it will be interesting to look at the lake levels over the next couple of days

 

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Posted
1 minute ago, Rip76 said:

I think I’m seeing the “center” of the low nearing Navasota.  Let’s hope it doesn’t fill back in tonight.

The SA meteorologist on NBC sure thinks it's going to.  

He said, "It will most likely pulse again tonight between Comfort and Canyon Lake".

 

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Posted
Just now, Cajun said:

The SA meteorologist on NBC sure thinks it's going to.  

He said, "It will most likely pulse again tonight between Comfort and Canyon Lake".

 

He's the same one who actually warned about the possibility of flash flooding yesterday. Nobody listened. 

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Posted
Just now, NorthLoop said:

He's the same one who actually warned about the possibility of flash flooding yesterday. Nobody listened. 

Yep, he sure did.

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