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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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1 minute ago, 'stache said:

A ten point shift in a week? Give me a fucking break. I used to love reading the Economist too.

This. Nothing has changed! Nothing 

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

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7 minutes ago, bluto said:

That whole groping story that just broke gives me whiplash from shaking my head on anybody thinking it has any impact. The guy literally admitted doing that kinda stuff on a tape released a decade ago. 

I took away from the story the Epstein angle.  I wonder if there is going to be a push to really elevate that aspect of his groping and creepy history.  

3 minutes ago, GW Hayduke said:

I haven't been keeping up with this thread.  The economoist's data guy thinks Trump is leading.

"Our presidential forecast currently gives Donald Trump a 56% chance to win the presidential election. That’s about a ten percentage point shift from where we were last week when it was Harris who was nearly a 5545 favourite. So you could still say that the race is pretty close to a coin toss, but it’s gone from one that was slightly weighted towards Harris to one that is slightly weighted towards Trump, and a ten percentage point move is meaningful."

https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2024/10/24/the-economists-election-model-puts-trump-in-the-lead

Is this based on anything other than some shitty polls designed to have this exact effect? 

More midweek lack of reporting from the blue counties 

 

Even with the slowdown, 15k a day eclipses the 500k point next week

17 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

Why'd you take your dog to a McDonald's in an airport?

I was 62 miles from the Spokane airport....Ritzville, which is by no means a wealthy burg.

5 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

what does "shades of '22" mean in this context?

I assume he means it terms of how basically nothing reported from the big counties on Wednesday/thursdays 

11 minutes ago, GW Hayduke said:

I haven't been keeping up with this thread.  The economoist's data guy thinks Trump is leading.

"Our presidential forecast currently gives Donald Trump a 56% chance to win the presidential election. That’s about a ten percentage point shift from where we were last week when it was Harris who was nearly a 5545 favourite. So you could still say that the race is pretty close to a coin toss, but it’s gone from one that was slightly weighted towards Harris to one that is slightly weighted towards Trump, and a ten percentage point move is meaningful."

https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2024/10/24/the-economists-election-model-puts-trump-in-the-lead

"And hopefully you'll read the ads on the webpage and visit the companies that support us.

Come back next week to see where our meaningless vibe barometer is pointing."

3 minutes ago, Pancho said:


Jack Black Smile GIF

Bad national polls? Really? +3 in TIPP and YouGov and +5 Marist 

Oh I see, Trump’s pollster (Trump +3) and HarrisX, which is always very good for Trump (Trump +1) and the Tory company in the UK must count 5x as much 

Edited by Js1

12 minutes ago, C-Man said:

There's no way the Stacey Williams story is the one being discussed as a "campaign killer." That has to groping of a teenage daughter of a major donor before that will even raise eyebrows, much less be a campaign ender for this orange shitbag.

Yeah and if there is a video of him groping some teenage Ivanka look a like, it absolutely will impact the election. 

5 minutes ago, Pancho said:


 

Indiana Pacers Sport GIF by NBA

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Bad national polls? Really? +3 in TIPP and YouGov and +5 Marist 

Oh I see, Trump’s pollster (Trump +3) and HarrisX, which is always very good for Trump (Trump +1) and the Tory company in the UK must count 5x as much 

Why. do. you. quote. the. fake. Nate????

You're blood pressure will improve if you click "unfollow."

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Bad national polls? Really? +3 in TIPP and YouGov and +5 Marist 

Oh I see, Trump’s pollster (Trump +3) and HarrisX, which is always very good for Trump (Trump +1) and the Tory company in the UK must count 5x as much 

Have to keep that money pouring in for Trump on the gambling site. 

Just now, Dahobbs said:

Have to keep that money pouring in for Trump on the gambling site. 

Thiel won’t cut his paycheck otherwise 

2 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

need a TrumpX poll imo

And it needs to always favor Kamala. He’d lose it 

4 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Bad national polls? Really? +3 in TIPP and YouGov and +5 Marist 

Oh I see, Trump’s pollster (Trump +3) and HarrisX, which is always very good for Trump (Trump +1) and the Tory company in the UK must count 5x as much 

This is what I keep telling my friends who are starting to panic. Nothing has changed, at least that's what my good buddy Js1 says. Pitchforks are coming out if you're wrong though. But you're not... right?!?

 

 

Dumb question:

We get exit polls on Election Day. Are the returns you guys are posting the same thing? If not, why aren’t there exit polls now?

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*looks directly in camera* 

I’d like to tell you about the rebirth in quality happening at Subway, but Chili’s is just too damn good right now.

 

IMG_0658.jpeg

Edited by StassneyHorn

Just now, Goofyboy said:

Dumb question:

We get exit polls on Election Day. Are the returns you guys are posting the same thing? If not, why aren’t there exit polls now?

Exit polls are rarely that reliable. I’d never trust them, even though I like to look at them 

3 minutes ago, hookem2010 said:

This is what I keep telling my friends who are starting to panic. Nothing has changed, at least that's what my good buddy Js1 says. Pitchforks are coming out if you're wrong though. But you're not... right?!?

 

 

I mean, nothing has changed in the last month. At all 

Just now, StassneyHorn said:

I’d like to tell you about the rebirth in quality happening at Subway

They finally changed to a food grade brand of cardboard in their bread?

10 hours ago, Tuco said:

This fucking McConnell article.  I mean, what a complete piece of shit.  

Let's start with the punchline: 

This is what he said into his "oral historian" that he turned over to someone writing a biography on McConnell. These are the statements made by a coward, wanting to be remembered as something else: 

In 2022, Trump referred to Chao as McConnell’s “China loving wife, Coco Chow” in a post on Truth Social. Tackett reports that Chao was “deeply disturbed” by the comments, and McConnell said that his wife is “not used to taking a punch.”

 

 

I never thought they would eat MY face, sobbed Chao.

5 minutes ago, hookem2010 said:

This is what I keep telling my friends who are starting to panic. Nothing has changed, at least that's what my good buddy Js1 says. Pitchforks are coming out if you're wrong though. But you're not... right?!?

 

 

If 2022 is any indicator, Js1 had his finger on the pulse much better than any national pundit.

2 hours ago, Mittens said:

 

Dad’s only mad when the testicle tanning device is down. 

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2 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

If 2022 is any indicator, Js1 had his finger on the pulse much better than any national pundit.

2022:

Dems have good leads in pivotal seats through mid-Oct

Mid to late Oct, spam polls start pulling the averages right for no reason. 

Before Election Day, now Oz and Masters are leading and it’s a red wave! Omg, early voting stats looks awful for Dems 

Election Day: oh, Dems turned out on Election Day. And all the polling was really wrong, it was basically what was the state of the races at the start of October 

Edited by Js1

The WSJ issued a new national poll today that shows Trump ahead by 2. Any national poll with Trump ahead should be immediately thrown out. There is no way he’s coming out ahead in the popular vote.

Its amazing that people get paid to publish this bullshit.

Angry Joe Biden GIF by Election 2016

14 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Bad national polls? Really? +3 in TIPP and YouGov and +5 Marist 

Oh I see, Trump’s pollster (Trump +3) and HarrisX, which is always very good for Trump (Trump +1) and the Tory company in the UK must count 5x as much 

 

Silver is setting us up for 11/5….

 

Plotting Drag Race GIF by RuPaul's Drag Race

4 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

If 2022 is any indicator, Js1 had his finger on the pulse much better than any national pundit.

For now. Wait til Imma starts paying him for those cloak room clicks come October 2026

1 hour ago, NAVY said:

Never! Posse East for life 

I worked at Posse for a year so affinity and whatnot. 

Both are yummy 

IMG_8044.gif.9674991812204d8126cdcce90be26370.gif

 

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can we get serious for a minute?

y'all can bag on chili's all you want, but there is not a chain within 7 miles of me in any direction, and the closest chili's is 9+ miles away. i know in texas, 9 miles takes 9 minutes, but here that's like an hour. some nights, i would kill half of you for a nice chicken ranch sandwich. they basically invented the buffalo chicken sandwich as far as i'm concerned, and have gotten no real props for that.

sorry to get all real with you, but there are more serious issues in the world than the presidential election.

as you were.

I think that this is an appropriate point to say fuck dotard and fuck the gop.

Edited by Scheiss Meister
I always forget the mundane details.

46 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

I assume it's "Turning Point Action" in case you were being serious. 

I think that I'm profoundly insulted by that. Wait. Wait. Yes, insulted profoundly, Carton. 

One day, when you stumble half-drunk to the Old Baily, I will be there. I will step out of Jarndyce and Jarndyce long enough to even this score. Prepare for a caning, sir!

35 minutes ago, otisdog said:

I was 62 miles from the Spokane airport....Ritzville, which is by no means a wealthy burg.

The most expensive single sandwich that I can price out at a San Diego McDonald's a block from the ocean is a double quarter pounder with bacon for $9.49. The filet of fish is $5.39. $5.99 for a crispy chicken. Still ridiculously expensive for McDonald's quality food, but the location you went to must have been engaging in some pretty serious price gouging to get to $10 for a fish sandwich and $13 for chicken.

Edited by aggie08

1 hour ago, otisdog said:

No shit....I went to a Mcdonald's in eastern Washington to buy my dog a 1/4 pound patty to reward him for his great day in the field and  was flppred by the prices...filet of fish was more than $10, and a crispy chicken sandwich was more than $13. His patty was $4.75.

You could have given him his own vomit, and he would have been just as pleased.

15 minutes ago, Goofyboy said:

Dumb question:

We get exit polls on Election Day. Are the returns you guys are posting the same thing? If not, why aren’t there exit polls now?

I think most of the conversation has been on the actual polls - you know, the important one that determines who is elected.  

Exit polling used to be used as a way to estimate who was going to win before the polls closed and votes were counted.  But, it was determined that could actually depress voting for the team that was perceived as losing by a significant margin.  So, folks don't do that anymore.  Now they are used to estimate stuff that doesn't show up in government polls - like demographic splits, when someone made up their mind, what issues were important to them, etc..  It's probably better in some ways than the pre-election polling because you know these people voted and it likely has a better answer rate.  Although, since it's not done at every polling station, so there may be some bias there. 

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Just now, The Dog said:

 

Animated GIF

44 minutes ago, The Hot Dog Buffet said:

If sucking dick is that effective, then why aren't you president yet?

LOL.  I was wondering if Horn75 was our famous "will suck dick for drugs" poster.  So hard to keep up with the changing names.   There really should be a disclaimer on each of his posts under his various names that reads "*** WARNING-   This poster is a drug addicted sex worker" .  NTTIAW with sucking dick, if that's your thing, but being a drug addicted sex worker makes his various posts and opinions make a lot more sense. 

5 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

It's not just turnout - persuasion matters.

11 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

The most expensive single sandwich that I can price out at a San Diego McDonald's a block from the ocean is a double quarter pounder with bacon for $9.49. The filet of fish is $5.39. $5.99 for a crispy chicken. Still ridiculously expensive for McDonald's quality food, but the location you went to must have been engaging in some pretty serious price gouging to get to $10 for a fish sandwich and $13 for chicken.

His numbers have to be the combo prices. 
 

 

20 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

can we get serious for a minute?

y'all can bag on chili's all you want, but there is not a chain within 7 miles of me in any direction, and the closest chili's is 9+ miles away. i know in texas, 9 miles takes 9 minutes, but here that's like an hour. some nights, i would kill half of you for a nice chicken ranch sandwich. they basically invented the buffalo chicken sandwich as far as i'm concerned, and have gotten no real props for that.

sorry to get all real with you, but there are more serious issues in the world than the presidential election.

as you were.

Look at what  you've become. I knew married life wasn't for you. 

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22 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

can we get serious for a minute?

This is the most ridiculous question I've seen on this message board.

9 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

Seemed obvious that was going to happen. So long as the polling like that stays around 46 or fewer for Trump in these things it's good overall IMO.

24 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

can we get serious for a minute?

y'all can bag on chili's all you want, but there is not a chain within 7 miles of me in any direction, and the closest chili's is 9+ miles away. i know in texas, 9 miles takes 9 minutes, but here that's like an hour. some nights, i would kill half of you for a nice chicken ranch sandwich. they basically invented the buffalo chicken sandwich as far as i'm concerned, and have gotten no real props for that.

sorry to get all real with you, but there are more serious issues in the world than the presidential election.

as you were.

Since you seem like a Chili's connoisseur, have you had a chance to try the Nashville hot cheese sticks? 

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