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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
1 minute ago, Chips O'Toole said:

OH PLEEEEAAAASSSEEE be a hard "R", that would just really be swell, thx.

Why?  It would boost turnout of his base.  Shit, him going full-on Klan might be just what it takes to wrap up the win.

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Posted
1 minute ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

firewall inventor guy revises to say Ds should feel good at 500K now instead of 390K.

*including independents

Don't just say shit. 

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Posted

Whatever it is, if true needs to have hard collaboration and confirmation.  Won't matter with his sheeple but maybe you get some "I'm not voting for anyone" people to go for Harris.  There are a lot of those people.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

All this tells me is we’re going to see something truly heinous…and the mainstream media will barely report on it. 

This is also true.

Again, could be perfectly clear video of Trump raping an infant to death, and it will either get no coverage, or the standard spin of "Trump commits infanticide by sodomy: why that is bad for Harris."

Posted
4 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Why?  It would boost turnout of his base.  Shit, him going full-on Klan might be just what it takes to wrap up the win.

C'mon, stop. The hard R wouldn't help him. But it would be depressing to see how little it hurts him. It would most assuredly lock up the election for Kamala, but in the sense that she'll win PA by 3 instead of 1.5, and Georgia will go from +1 Trump to +0.25 Harris. So yay, he lost, but holy shit our country is probably broken.

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Posted
1 hour ago, The Dog said:

there was ONE instance where a voter saw his ballot had Harris instead of Trump. they spoiled the ballot and he was able to submit another. most likley the dumb bastard fat-fingered it.

Exactly what election officials said - user error.

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Posted
1 minute ago, Brisketexan said:

This is also true.

Again, could be perfectly clear video of Trump raping an infant to death, and it will either get no coverage, or the standard spin of "Trump commits infanticide by sodomy: why that is bad for Harris."

Or “that’s so bad it must be fake” 

Their scale goes from no big deal to must be fake. There is no space for anything impactful. 

Posted (edited)

I can't keep up - has there been an article from the Atlantic posted where Trump visited Arlington National with some generals and called the dead "suckers and losers"? That was mentioned on F&F during my morning Uber ride and they quickly were trying to debunk it. Is that what the far right tweeters are referring to above?

Edited by dieucla98
Posted
Just now, aggie08 said:

C'mon, stop. The hard R wouldn't help him. But it would be depressing to see how little it hurts him. It would most assuredly lock up the election for Kamala, but in the sense that she'll win PA by 3 instead of 1.5, and Georgia will go from +1 Trump to +0.25 Harris. So yay, he lost, but holy shit our country is probably broken.

The thing is, what I said SHOULD be hyperbole.  But there's a solid chance that it's not.  Shit like that will motivate the people who really want a guy who (wink wink) isn't afraid to "tell it like it is."  And I mean, look....look at the black-on-black crime, and Chicago, and the data shows they're just not that smart, and they ruin the inner cities, and blah blah blah.

Come to grips with the fact that this country is much, much, much shittier than most of us thought/wanted to think 10 years ago.  We elected a black man president in 2008...and it set us back 50 years, sociologically.  Completely broke the brains of half the country.

Posted
1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

It was but that doesn't work for Cloak Room satyanash so he left that part out. 

If it was always 390/500 then that means ind of 110.  Is there anything to take from the fact that the Indy delta is lagging the partisan delta as a percentage of stated goal?

Posted
2 hours ago, The Dog said:

there was an article about this a while back - it's Trump picking up some support in Democratic strongholds like NY and CA. 

To use a recruiting analogy - he's "filling up on bread." These changes won't have an impact on the outcome.

Shit, I'll vote for the asshole here in California if we can flip a vote blue in a swing state.

Posted
1 minute ago, Pato del Muerto said:

If it was always 390/500 then that means ind of 110.  Is there anything to take from the fact that the Indy delta is lagging the partisan delta as a percentage of stated goal?

No/other affiliation is only 16% in PA (12% no affiliation, 4% other)

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Posted
16 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

There has been long term rumors about recordings made during the Apprentice filming that the exec producer has refused to acknowledge or deny they exist. And while he might own the rights to the media, it doesn’t mean others don’t have copies and could release without his permission.

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Posted
3 hours ago, Pancho said:

I’m starting to think it was Rogan who told the Harris folks “no” and not the other way around.

I also blame Rogan for last Saturday.

As long as he does the same to Trump’s campaign….

Allow David Cross GIF

3 hours ago, SydneyCarton said:

If Rogan was smart, he'd let Trump on first, and then he'd bring on Harris 2 days later. 

I said yesterday I wonder if Kamala’s team circles back so she can get the last word. I think that would be smart.

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Posted
1 minute ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

? Catch me up.

He said he's been sitting on a story for a week that would upend the race (by hurting Trump).  He was vague and didn't mention why he's sitting on it. 

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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

He said he's been sitting on a story for a week that would upend the race (by hurting Trump).  He was vague and didn't mention why he's sitting on it. 

Yeah he said it would "end Trump's campaign". 

"I know of one story... I don't believe it is true. But if it's true, it would end Donald Trump's campaign," Halperin said, adding that he's aware of various efforts to influence the race's outcome with less than two weeks until Election Day."

Edited by Red Five
Posted
51 minutes ago, hookem2010 said:

PA dem edge up to 356k, almost exactly 400k if you count them winning Indys 70-30. I don't have Twitter so can't see any further analysis.

 

49 minutes ago, bluto said:

Lil off on including the 70% split, that pushes to over 430k

 

46 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Montgomery and Allegheny barely dropped anything - midweek tends to slow down.  Happened last week too. 

 

Sorry for the Texags thoughts but they harp on the republicans own “wall” that is 30% of the returned ballots being R means trump is safe. So not sure how accurate their estimate would be but is it possible for both “walls” to be hit? I’ll see if I can find the tweets but forgot where it was over on that cesspool. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, achooloco said:

 

 

Sorry for the Texags thoughts but they harp on the republicans own “wall” that is 30% of the returned ballots being R means trump is safe. So not sure how accurate their estimate would be but is it possible for both “walls” to be hit? I’ll see if I can find the tweets but forgot where it was over on that cesspool. 

I don’t entertain Texags thoughts 

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Posted
3 minutes ago, achooloco said:

 

 

Sorry for the Texags thoughts but they harp on the republicans own “wall” that is 30% of the returned ballots being R means trump is safe. So not sure how accurate their estimate would be but is it possible for both “walls” to be hit? I’ll see if I can find the tweets but forgot where it was over on that cesspool. 

That seems dumb, because the margin would change depending on number of returned ballots. 30% of a million is a much closer margin than 30% of 1.5 million.

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Posted
5 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Apprentice tape of him using the N word finally coming out?

Probably a video of Trump changing his diaper.

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Posted
5 minutes ago, achooloco said:

 

 

Sorry for the Texags thoughts but they harp on the republicans own “wall” that is 30% of the returned ballots being R means trump is safe. So not sure how accurate their estimate would be but is it possible for both “walls” to be hit? I’ll see if I can find the tweets but forgot where it was over on that cesspool. 

From what I saw earlier over there they are using 2020 as a point of reference where mail in voting massively skewed towards the dems as the basis for their calculations. But they were blind to 2022 being much less skewed and a more likely representation of this election.

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Posted
1 minute ago, heso said:

From what I saw earlier over there they are using 2020 as a point of reference where mail in voting massively skewed towards the dems as the basis for their calculations. But they were blind to 2022 being much less skewed and a more likely representation of this election.

I trust Smithley since this is his thing and he called 2022/2023 correctly. It’s his state and he knows the voting patterns are going to be similar to 2022

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Posted
10 minutes ago, achooloco said:

 

 

Sorry for the Texags thoughts but they harp on the republicans own “wall” that is 30% of the returned ballots being R means trump is safe. So not sure how accurate their estimate would be but is it possible for both “walls” to be hit? I’ll see if I can find the tweets but forgot where it was over on that cesspool. 

 

They and their people are already setting up to scream “stolen” so it doesn’t matter what they say.

Their talking point now is the machines changing votes for turnip to Kamala without any proof. MAGA are the biggest beta boy pussies of the last 20 years and deep down they know it.

 

 

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Horndog said:

Took a walk around a Dallas neighborhood this morning, where median home value is well above $1 million. My unofficial sign counting results:

45% Harris

24% Trump

31% For Sale

Most of those for sale probably skew trump /texags

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Posted
18 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

There has been long term rumors about recordings made during the Apprentice filming that the exec producer has refused to acknowledge or deny they exist. And while he might own the rights to the media, it doesn’t mean others don’t have copies and could release without his permission.

Sam Harris has said a few times on podcasts that he's confirmed the hard 'R' video exists.  Wouldn't elaborate on how he knows but he said he was 100% certain.  But as others have pointed out, it would barely move the needle at this point because it would surprise precisely no one.

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