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Posted
2 hours ago, Ted Lange said:

There is a lot of confidence that the Cascadia  Fault Line will soon rupture (at least from the seismologists I follow—they are kind of like Mavericks—much like experienced storm chasers) but the USGS hasn’t changed their position yet. Mainly bc of panic and what happens if they put out alerts and are wrong. But there is a ton of evidence piling up the last several months. Keep an eye on Rainier. I am. lol. Great place to dump bod…I mean great place to go visit and take pictures. 😃 

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Posted
15 hours ago, Message Board User said:

 

Worth noting that the 9.1 in 2004 was almost 3 times stronger than the 8.8, and that 9.5 is 11 times stronger than 8.8

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Posted
37 minutes ago, Nicole44 said:

There is a lot of confidence that the Cascadia  Fault Line will soon rupture (at least from the seismologists I follow—they are kind of like Mavericks—much like experienced storm chasers) but the USGS hasn’t changed their position yet. Mainly bc of panic and what happens if they put out alerts and are wrong. But there is a ton of evidence piling up the last several months. Keep an eye on Rainier. I am. lol. Great place to dump bod…I mean great place to go visit and take pictures. 😃 

Unfortunately, I hear the same gloom and DOOM about Mount Baker near Seattle and Mount Shasta in NoCal..... both "angry/evil/Sith/etc./Lulz" quiet volcanoes that are still ready to pop, so the vulcanologists have warned for decades, so they can eventually be "proven correct".   Lulz.

Posted
4 minutes ago, BachelorTrek said:

Unfortunately, I hear the same gloom and DOOM about Mount Baker near Seattle and Mount Shasta in NoCal..... both "angry/evil/Sith/etc./Lulz" quiet volcanoes that are still ready to pop, so the vulcanologists have warned for decades, so they can eventually be "proven correct".   Lulz.

 

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Posted

I remember hearing the most of Portland was built before they knew they’d get real significant earthquakes. Only a percentage of the buildings are retrofitted. So all of that city is going up in smoke if the big one happens.  

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Posted
22 minutes ago, Keef said:

I remember hearing the most of Portland was built before they knew they’d get real significant earthquakes. Only a percentage of the buildings are retrofitted. So all of that city is going up in smoke if the big one happens.  

 

 

uh.... thats pretty redundant.

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Posted
13 hours ago, UpperWestside said:

So far, so good. The early warning and preparedness of Hawaiians for stuff like this is impressive. When I say it is genuinely cool to see residents of a state trust and listen to the government on things like this it is legitimately refreshing. More states could stand to be this organized and working as a team to help its citizens. 

Ohhhhhhh  Fuck off.  Glad everyone was ok.  Video all over the place of Bodhi’s galore trying to catch the waves in Hawaii.  

Posted
10 hours ago, BachelorTrek said:

Unfortunately, I hear the same gloom and DOOM about Mount Baker near Seattle and Mount Shasta in NoCal..... both "angry/evil/Sith/etc./Lulz" quiet volcanoes that are still ready to pop, so the vulcanologists have warned for decades, so they can eventually be "proven correct".   Lulz.

Saying something will happen that, get this, will happen, is merely a means to gloat? You might not have a sense of responsibility to others, but, I assure you, many people do.

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Posted
2 hours ago, Gatorubet said:

The Yellowstone Caldera laughs at this cute little natural disaster.

Lincoln Mountain at Mammoth apparently has a massive eruptive potential too.  But yes, the Yellowstone caldera could be another nuclear winter.

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Posted
1 hour ago, Sbbruin said:

Lincoln Mountain at Mammoth apparently has a massive eruptive potential too.  But yes, the Yellowstone caldera could be another nuclear winter.

Chair 22, best powder day runs ever. 

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Posted
8 hours ago, Gatorubet said:

The Yellowstone Caldera laughs at this cute little natural disaster.

 

6 hours ago, Sbbruin said:

Lincoln Mountain at Mammoth apparently has a massive eruptive potential too.  But yes, the Yellowstone caldera could be another nuclear winter.

 

5 hours ago, Johnny Chimpo said:

Chair 22, best powder day runs ever. 

fishing-apocalypse-v0-1oarm6zc3gtc1.jpeg

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Posted
7 hours ago, Willfully Horn said:

Saying something will happen that, get this, will happen, is merely a means to gloat? You might not have a sense of responsibility to others, but, I assure you, many people do.

"sense of responsibility" -- BS!

They irrationally instill fear in the populace, and were wrong for decades, just like the nutcases who predicted "the big one" earthquake in California.

 

Posted
22 minutes ago, BachelorTrek said:

"sense of responsibility" -- BS!

They irrationally instill fear in the populace, and were wrong for decades, just like the nutcases who predicted "the big one" earthquake in California.

 

Is this like saying scientists make up climate change so they can keep their grant money coming in?

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, BachelorTrek said:

"sense of responsibility" -- BS!

They irrationally instill fear in the populace, and were wrong for decades, just like the nutcases who predicted "the big one" earthquake in California.

 

This is the sort of claim that is best defended with some evidence. You speak of volcanic potential as “ready to pop.” Show me warnings of imminent eruptions that were false, without moving goalposts.

 

 

Edited by Willfully Horn
Mas
Posted
5 minutes ago, Willfully Horn said:

This is the sort of claim that is best defended with some evidence. You speak of volcanic potential as “ready to pop.” Show me warnings of imminent eruptions that were false.

 

Yeah . When they say looking at the historic timeline that we are getting ready to experience an event, they were talking about 15 to 20% chance over the next 50 years during maybe a 500 year cycle or more.  When it doesn’t happen within 20 years that does not mean they were ‘wrong’ about the ready to pop volcanoes or earthquakes, or that the warnings were false.   It only means that Batchelor interpreted their statement as a promise the event was gonna happen right away. Which is entirely on Batchelor - and was never a position set forth by the scientists.

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Posted
On 7/29/2025 at 10:46 PM, Gil Bang said:

holy fuck, y'all stay safe.  And keep an eye out for Rocko.  Those old Corvettes don't float. 

image.png.c1ff5a4093d3de315d981401731b1fdd.png

The first reference to a corvette was with the French Navy in the 1670s, which may be where the term originated. The French Navy's corvettes grew over the decades and by the 1780s they were ships of 20 guns or so, approximately equivalent to the British navy's post ships. The Royal Navy did not adopt the term until the 1830s, long after the Napoleonic Wars, to describe a small sixth-rate vessel somewhat larger than a sloop.

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Posted
14 hours ago, Sbbruin said:

Lincoln Mountain at Mammoth apparently has a massive eruptive potential too.  But yes, the Yellowstone caldera could be another nuclear winter.

 

12 hours ago, Johnny Chimpo said:

Chair 22, best powder day runs ever. 

Maybe they will put in a detachable after the cleanup 

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Posted
7 hours ago, BachelorTrek said:

"sense of responsibility" -- BS!

They irrationally instill fear in the populace, and were wrong for decades, just like the nutcases who predicted "the big one" earthquake in California.

 

Volcanic eruptions in the cascade range, earthquakes on the San Andreas or cascadia faults are 100% going to happen. That isn’t remotely in doubt. Predicting when, so that people can be prepared, is just a matter of probability. 

The volcanoes are a little harder to predict, and even more difficult to predict if it will be a VEI 3 or VEI 6. The subduction zone is still active, so the volcanos aren’t going to stop erupting, but I think that poses much less of the threat than the earthquakes. Especially since there will likely be weeks if not months of warning signs that an eruption is eminent.  

Your dismissiveness of the “big one” earthquake in California is absurd. There is zero doubt that a large earthquake will happen on both the northern and southern portions of the San Andreas fault zone. The plate is moving. The middle section slips, the north and south sections are locked. They will snap. 

Same with the Cascadia subduction zone. The plates haven’t stopped moving. The fault produces fairly regular massive earthquakes. They are documented in Japanese tsunami records, Native American folk lore, and geologic surveys. The fault produces earthquakes that are 1-3,000+ times stronger than what would be considered a “big” earthquake in California. Every 250 years or so that fault produces a 8-9+ earthquake, regularly for the last 10,000+ years. The last major earthquake was in 1700. This is the  longest its gone without an 8+ earthquake in the last 5000 years. There will almost certainly be a 8+ earthquake on that fault in the next 100 years, it’s already past due. It could very well be 9+. That would be catastrophic. 

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