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Joe Biden 2024 thread - Dark Brandon Strikes Again


StassneyHorn

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17 minutes ago, 'stache said:

It's the exact same metrics the rights uses when praising their own presidents, and when others add nuance, are called libtards. So fuck the right playing the same game and thinking they're scoring points. Just showing your ass, as usual.

Reminds me of the Texas Miracle, which was mostly minimum wage or less.  But damn did the GOP crow about how Republican policies worked in Texas! 

https://www.smu.edu/news/archives/2012/cal-jillson-express-news-22june2012

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1 hour ago, Boss Hogg said:

It’s pretty simple really. I’m suggesting the economy isn’t as strong as the surface numbers suggest because we’re losing full time jobs. 
 

1.8 million people have experienced the opposite of Jobsgiving the last 4 months. 

Actually, what I and many others believe you were suggesting, was that the job growth actually indicated that a massive recession was forthcoming. I would assume that is why you and the original tweet highlighted the last two major RECESSIONS. Rosy as one may think aside, are you suggesting we're headed towards a massive recession like the one that was created by the financial crisis? Yes or no will do. 

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43 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Actually, what I and many others believe you were suggesting, was that the job growth actually indicated that a massive recession was forthcoming. I would assume that is why you and the original tweet highlighted the last two major RECESSIONS. Rosy as one may think aside, are you suggesting we're headed towards a massive recession like the one that was created by the financial crisis? Yes or no will do. 


 

No. I wouldn’t speculate on the size any recession. But shedding full time jobs over several is not great for an economy. Looks like we’re due for a slowdown. Bad timing for Biden. 

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26 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

I think he's suggesting that we're on track to get four rate cuts before November, which would be fan-fucking-tastic.

Not happening. Inflation is sticky. But the underlying weakness explains why any cuts are on table 

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So the 3rd place finisher in the Anchorage Mayoral election, Bill Popp has thrown his support to the leader, Assembly Chair Suzanne LaFrance. “Nonpartisan” race but not. Having large city blue mayors in Alaska helps speed up Alaska’s transition.

Also, this is happening… in Alabama. Continued resurgence of blue collar unions. I don’t care if it’s actually true or not I’m just gonna say it.

And the Pokémon cards are making room next to the Beanie Babies for things Boomers killed. Trump has said he won’t support a national ban on abortion today. Would be funny if this triggered a jump in RFK support that I will speak into existence.

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My President, the big guy, is ALL-IN on buying votes. 277,000 additional Americans are literally getting a raise, a pay bump, a bonus, but most of all a sigh of relief. He can't be stopped. 9.5% of federal student loan debt wiped.

Biden cancels $7.4 billion in student debt for 277,000 borrowers
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-forgives-74-bln-student-debt-2024-04-12/

The latest round of debt relief affects 277,000 Americans enrolled in the SAVE Plan, other borrowers enrolled in Income-Driven Repayment plans, and borrowers receiving Public Service Loan Forgiveness, the White House said in a statement.

It follows an announcement in March that $6 billion in student loans would be canceled for 78,000 borrowers.

The administration said on Friday it has approved $153 billion in student debt relief for 4.3 million Americans.

206,000 borrowers erase their debt through the new Saving on a Valuable Education plan, which ties monthly student loan payments to earnings and family size. Over 65,000 borrowers will see relief through a fix to income-driven repayment plans and more than 4,600 public servants, such as teachers and nurses, will also see their loans wiped.

image.thumb.png.601a27154ad30567292f0bbc878a3a4d.png

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4 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

My President, the big guy, is ALL-IN on buying votes. 277,000 additional Americans are literally getting a raise, a pay bump, a bonus, but most of all a sigh of relief. He can't be stopped. 9.5% of federal student loan debt wiped.

Biden cancels $7.4 billion in student debt for 277,000 borrowers
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-forgives-74-bln-student-debt-2024-04-12/

The latest round of debt relief affects 277,000 Americans enrolled in the SAVE Plan, other borrowers enrolled in Income-Driven Repayment plans, and borrowers receiving Public Service Loan Forgiveness, the White House said in a statement.

It follows an announcement in March that $6 billion in student loans would be canceled for 78,000 borrowers.

The administration said on Friday it has approved $153 billion in student debt relief for 4.3 million Americans.

206,000 borrowers erase their debt through the new Saving on a Valuable Education plan, which ties monthly student loan payments to earnings and family size. Over 65,000 borrowers will see relief through a fix to income-driven repayment plans and more than 4,600 public servants, such as teachers and nurses, will also see their loans wiped.

image.thumb.png.601a27154ad30567292f0bbc878a3a4d.png

Will Ferrell Movie GIF by filmeditor

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What gets lost among all the right wing crying over student loan forgiveness is that, at least in previous rounds (not sure on this one), these were loans that SHOULD HAVE BEEN FORGIVEN ALREADY. By the terms of the loans when they originated.  The government just wasn’t following through on those terms. Biden made it happen. That’s why conservatives can't stop him. 
 

Also, the fact that people don’t see why this is a good thing overall is stunning. Well not that stunning. But it’s sad. People against this are just petty. 

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NSIAP

this alone is enough to vote for one and not the other.

watch Trump making fun of Biden first in the clip just below, then watch Biden.

 

 

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It really is something and says a lot about their character. Biden's first impulse is to help a kid out, while Trump's instinct tells him to act like a bully.

Is Joe a saint? I highly fucking doubt it, but at least the man isn't a fucking monster.

 

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4 minutes ago, bolverk said:

It really is something and says a lot about their character. Biden's first impulse is to help a kid out, while Trump's instinct tells him to act like a bully.

Is Joe a saint? I highly fucking doubt it, but at least the man isn't a fucking monster.

 

 

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‘Envy of the World’—U.S. Economy Expected to Keep Powering Higher

Economists lift their growth forecasts in latest Wall Street Journal survey

https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/economy-forecast-lower-recession-chances-1f24174b

Spoiler
It has been two years since forecasters felt this good about the economic outlook.
In the latest quarterly survey by The Wall Street Journal, business and academic economists lowered the chances of a recession within the next year to 29% from 39% in the January survey. That was the lowest probability since April 2022, when the chances of a recession were set at 28%.
Economists, in fact, don’t think the economy will get even close to a recession. In January, they on average forecast sub-1% growth in each of the first three quarters of this year. Now, they expect growth to bottom out this year at an inflation-adjusted 1.4% in the third quarter. 
Just 10% of survey respondents think the economy will experience at least one quarter of negative growth over the next 12 months, down from 33% in January.
Probability the U.S. is in a recession in next 12 months including today
The Wall Street Journal survey was conducted from April 5 to 9, just before the release of March consumer-price index data showing inflation running hotter than economists had anticipated.
The U.S. economy has far outperformed expectations over the past year and a half. Instead of stumbling under the weight of the Federal Reserve’s most aggressive interest-rate-raising campaign in four decades, it has continued expanding at a robust clip. 
Few think that the economy can do quite as well as last year’s 3.1% growth, as measured by the seasonally adjusted fourth-quarter change from a year earlier. That figure might have been boosted by one-time factors such as federal infrastructure and semiconductor legislation and an uptick in immigration, which also might not last.
 
Still, economists have had to rethink forecasts for a major slowdown as more time has passed and one still doesn’t seem imminent. Economists on average think the economy grew at a 2.2% rate in the first three months of the year, up from a 0.9% forecast in January.
“The U.S. economy is performing very well,” EconForecaster economist James Smith said in the survey. “We’re truly the envy of the world.”
Much has changed since economists were last this optimistic. Two years ago, the Fed’s benchmark federal-funds rate was set between 0.25% and 0.5%. Inflation was high but economists still generally thought that it could come down without too much help from the Fed. They forecast steady growth and the midpoint of the range for the fed-funds rate topping out at just above 2.5%. 
Now, the fed-funds rate is sitting between 5.25% and 5.5%, and economists don’t see a bunch of cuts coming soon. Many analysts trimmed their rate-cut forecasts after last week’s hot inflation report. But even before the report, survey respondents predicted that rates would end the year at 4.67%, implying three cuts. In January, their responses suggested that they thought four or five cuts were likely. 
Economists now think the economy can withstand higher rates than they did not long ago.
 
They expect the 10-year Treasury yield—a key borrowing benchmark that was around 4.4% at the time of the survey—to end 2024 at 3.97%. Looking further into the future, they expect the yield to end 2026 at 3.78%. That is slightly above even their forecast last October, when the yield was higher than it is now.
Many economists have long thought that the economy can handle higher interest rates when it is capable of growing faster, and particularly when worker productivity has increased.
To that end, economists expect the Labor Department’s measure of productivity to rise at an annual rate of 1.9% over the next decade. That matches the annual increase in productivity over the last 40 years. But it is above the 1.2% pace of the 2010s, when the 10-year Treasury yield was typically stuck between 1.5% and 2.5%.
Some economists are now enthusiastic about the economy’s longer-term potential.
“We think that the American economy has entered a virtuous cycle where strong productivity results in growth above the long-term trend, inflation between 2% and 2.5% and an unemployment rate between 3.5% and 4%,” RSM US chief economist Joe Brusuelas said in the survey.
Many aren’t quite as optimistic. One downside of a better growth outlook is that a stronger economy could make it harder for inflation to fall all the way back to the Fed’s 2% target. 
 
An inflation gauge that is closely watched by the Fed, the core personal-consumption expenditures price index, was 2.8% in February, its most recent reading. Economists now expect it to end the year at 2.5%, after having forecast 2.3% in January.
Economists, on average, believe that core PCE inflation will fall to 2.1% by the end of next year without a recession. However, their projections might already have ticked higher after last week’s price data, and some continue to worry that the Fed’s efforts to control inflation still present a major threat to the economy.
“The risks are clearly skewed toward more hawkish Fed outcomes, which could drag on our growth forecasts,”   economists Brett Ryan and Matthew Luzzetti said in the survey.

 

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30 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

Should see Michigan regain/keep their blue trifecta tonight, and have a good sense of the numbers for AL-2 which is the new majority minority district in Alabama

2.3 over performance in one district (D hold), TBD on the other 

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11 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

The story I’m about to share with you about Joe Biden is special — in fact, I’m fairly certain I’m the only living person left who actually witnessed it firsthand.

clinton crime family working overtime

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The two house districts in Michigan were Dems overperformed were not overly highly educated districts.

HD-25 - 23.1% bachelor's degree.  65% white, 31% black
HD-13 - 15.2% bachelor's degree, 49% white, 41% black

Hard to say "only highly educated suburban voters come out for specials" when both these districts were well below the level of 2020 Michigan voters with a bachelor's degree (36%) and the Dem overperformed in both a majority-white district and a 40% black district.

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Holy shit this article is too funny. 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/04/16/republican-governors-uaw/

Spoiler

Governors of six Southern states warn workers against joining UAW union

Joint statement comes a day before Volkswagen factory in Tennessee votes on unionization — the first of more than a dozen factories the UAW is targeting
 

In a high-profile attempt to head off unionization of their states’ auto factories, the governors of six Southern states warned their residents that joining the United Auto Workers would threaten jobs and “the values we live by.”

The joint statement from the Republican governors comes just a day before a Volkswagen factory in Chattanooga, Tenn., is set to vote on joining the UAW — the first of more than a dozen factories the union is targeting in the South as it attempts to break out of its Midwestern stronghold.

 

“The reality is companies have choices when it comes to where to invest and bring jobs and opportunity,” the governors of Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina and Texas wrote. “Unionization would certainly put our states’ jobs in jeopardy.”

The remarkable intervention follows signs of optimism among pro-union workers at the VW plant, who in recent days have expressed hope that the vote will pass. It begins Wednesday and lasts three days, with results expected late Friday.

 

“They’re so scared,” UAW strategist Chris Brooks wrote on social media as he reposted Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey’s comment about the statement. The union didn’t otherwise provide a comment.

An economist who has closely studied unionization in the South called the statement “unprecedented and shocking” and said it discouraged workers from exercising their legal right to organize.

“It implies that the governors fear that the UAW will prevail in the upcoming union recognition election and that UAW success could upend their economic models built on relatively low pay and minimal worker voice,” Stephen Silvia, a professor at American University, said by email.

Tennessee Republicans have helped thwart two UAW attempts to unionize the VW factory, in 2014 and 2019, and have ramped up their opposition in recent weeks with news conferences and public statements. During a visit to Chattanooga this month, Gov. Bill Lee said joining the union would be “a big mistake.”

Some of the messages have stressed that the UAW endorsed President Biden and has long ties to the Democratic Party.

“We have serious reservations that the UAW leadership can represent our values. They proudly call themselves democratic socialists and seem more focused on helping President Biden get reelected than on the autoworker jobs being cut at plants they already represent,” the governors wrote.

Some VW workers told The Washington Post this month that they wished politicians would stay out of the matter and leave it up to employees.

Democratic politicians have voiced support for the UAW. Democratic state senators in Tennessee on Tuesday criticized the Republican governors on social media. “Autoworkers in the South are ready to make history this week. #StandUp, Chattanooga!” Sen. London Lamar posted.

Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, whose state faces a UAW organizing effort at a Toyota factory in Georgetown, said on social medialast week that unions have raised workers’ standard of living and that he was “proud to stand shoulder-to-shoulder” with the UAW.

 

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I can not stop laughing.  I saw a tiktok about this and just assumed it was a joke or some instance where Biden just slurred his words a little bit and they guessed about what he said.  Now, quite high, I decided to check it out.  Holy shit.  The POTUS, figuratively the most powerful person in the world, just said, with a straight face, that he believes his uncle was a pilot eaten by Aboriginal cannibals when his plane went down during WW2.  Its impossible but it isnt.

Even if we give him him the most gigantic benefit of the doubt in human history that this was some family story passed down through the years and so he just repeated it, it is still unbelievable.  How do you ever say that to the press?  Ubder any circumstances?   A 10 year old can google it and see that his uncle was not the pilot and that the plane went down over the ocean.  There was an actual fucking survivor that told the story.  It is impossible that Biden did not know the true story at one time.  He is ful blown senile.  No person in any way still cognizant would ever say or do that.  I kind of feel bad for him and Jill must be one tough woman. 

I guess maybe I am really high because if I am presented a situation where the only options for POTUS next year are Biden, Tump or RFK, I actually think RFK might be the best option.  And he is a terrible option.

This POTUS election should make us change the rules of the game going forward regarding politics.  The system is great but the current rules allowed it to be gamed.  There is no other rational explanation.  We have some of the very best and brightest and capable people in the world in the US.  Hundreds of thousands of them.  But our POTUS will be one of 3 of the worst choices we could make.  That is only possible in a rigged game.

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2 minutes ago, sheeeit said:

I can not stop laughing.  I saw a tiktok about this and just assumed it was a joke or some instance where Biden just slurred his words a little bit and they guessed about what he said.  Now, quite high, I decided to check it out.  Holy shit.  The POTUS, figuratively the most powerful person in the world, just said, with a straight face, that he believes his uncle was a pilot eaten by Aboriginal cannibals when his plane went down during WW2.  Its impossible but it isnt.

Even if we give him him the most gigantic benefit of the doubt in human history that this was some family story passed down through the years and so he just repeated it, it is still unbelievable.  How do you ever say that to the press?  Ubder any circumstances?   A 10 year old can google it and see that his uncle was not the pilot and that the plane went down over the ocean.  There was an actual fucking survivor that told the story.  It is impossible that Biden did not know the true story at one time.  He is ful blown senile.  No person in any way still cognizant would ever say or do that.  I kind of feel bad for him and Jill must be one tough woman. 

I guess maybe I am really high because if I am presented a situation where the only options for POTUS next year are Biden, Tump or RFK, I actually think RFK might be the best option.  And he is a terrible option.

This POTUS election should make us change the rules of the game going forward regarding politics.  The system is great but the current rules allowed it to be gamed.  There is no other rational explanation.  We have some of the very best and brightest and capable people in the world in the US.  Hundreds of thousands of them.  But our POTUS will be one of 3 of the worst choices we could make.  That is only possible in a rigged game.

Yeah, you're high and you have fucked up news sources.

Yeah, it appears that it probably wasn't cannibals, but that's far from an impossibility.  New Guinea has had cannibals forever.  https://www.livescience.com/51191-cannibalism-prions-brain-disease.html

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1 minute ago, TwiceHorn said:

Yeah, you're high and you have fucked up news sources.

Yeah, it appears that it probably wasn't cannibals, but that's far from an impossibility.  New Guinea has had cannibals forever.  https://www.livescience.com/51191-cannibalism-prions-brain-disease.html

New Guinea had some horribly awful things happen there before, during and after the conclusion of WWII. The mountains and jungles of the Owen Stanley Range are some of the harshest places on earth to survive. I want to traverse the Kokoda Track at some point. 

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4 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:

He was also wrong, apparently, about his uncles' enlistment dates:  it wasn't after D-Day, it was after Pearl Harbor.

Big fucking deal. 

I mean it was only 75-80 years ago

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50 minutes ago, sheeeit said:

I can not stop laughing.  I saw a tiktok about this and just assumed it was a joke or some instance where Biden just slurred his words a little bit and they guessed about what he said.  Now, quite high, I decided to check it out.  Holy shit.  The POTUS, figuratively the most powerful person in the world, just said, with a straight face, that he believes his uncle was a pilot eaten by Aboriginal cannibals when his plane went down during WW2.  Its impossible but it isnt.

Even if we give him him the most gigantic benefit of the doubt in human history that this was some family story passed down through the years and so he just repeated it, it is still unbelievable.  How do you ever say that to the press?  Ubder any circumstances?   A 10 year old can google it and see that his uncle was not the pilot and that the plane went down over the ocean.  There was an actual fucking survivor that told the story.  It is impossible that Biden did not know the true story at one time.  He is ful blown senile.  No person in any way still cognizant would ever say or do that.  I kind of feel bad for him and Jill must be one tough woman. 

I guess maybe I am really high because if I am presented a situation where the only options for POTUS next year are Biden, Tump or RFK, I actually think RFK might be the best option.  And he is a terrible option.

This POTUS election should make us change the rules of the game going forward regarding politics.  The system is great but the current rules allowed it to be gamed.  There is no other rational explanation.  We have some of the very best and brightest and capable people in the world in the US.  Hundreds of thousands of them.  But our POTUS will be one of 3 of the worst choices we could make.  That is only possible in a rigged game.

You can’t stop laughing?  At that?   How fucking high are you?  

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14 minutes ago, C-Man said:

https://apnews.com/article/biden-uncle-world-war-ii-cannibals-trump-4f3b7d1c988e041fbc07f60f952ca95f
 

This is what OP is talking about. Shocker but he’s being disingenuous.

I watched your clip and now I am laughing more.  He said cannibals.  Of course the usual of you miss the point entirely.  I am sure some people are aware that there were cannibals in that area but most would have no idea.  Just saying cannibal was going to get tons of people googling to fact check the story.  It is seemingly so outrageous.  Hell I am high and mostly checked out politically anymore and I fact checked it.   The guys plane went down in the ocean.  There was a lone survivor who gave the account.  They were not near land at all.  For fucks sake neither his uncle or his dead body were eaten by cannibals.  Poor guy  never got out of the plane. 

The point is that no even relatively unimpaired person would ever tell a whopper like this in public in front of the press.  And he is currently the POTUS and all that entails.   Cannibals.

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10 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:

You can’t stop laughing?  At that?   How fucking high are you?  

LOL  Pretty high.  Did you watch the clip? 

How can you not laugh at that and all of the implications.

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9 minutes ago, sheeeit said:

I watched your clip and now I am laughing more.  He said cannibals.  Of course the usual of you miss the point entirely.  I am sure some people are aware that there were cannibals in that area but most would have no idea.  Just saying cannibal was going to get tons of people googling to fact check the story.  It is seemingly so outrageous.  Hell I am high and mostly checked out politically anymore and I fact checked it.   The guys plane went down in the ocean.  There was a lone survivor who gave the account.  They were not near land at all.  For fucks sake neither his uncle or his dead body were eaten by cannibals.  Poor guy  never got out of the plane. 

The point is that no even relatively unimpaired person would ever tell a whopper like this in public in front of the press.  And he is currently the POTUS and all that entails.   Cannibals.

Did…. You never see a hurricane path drawn by a sharpie? 

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29 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:

He was also wrong, apparently, about his uncles' enlistment dates:  it wasn't after D-Day, it was after Pearl Harbor.

Big fucking deal. 

I would have guessed that was wrong pretty quickly as well because the amount of time it took from enlistment to entering the war in the Pacific was lengthy due to training. These details do not bother me because I doubt Biden spends much time reading about such details from that war. I enjoy reading about them, but I have much more free time than the leader of the free world does. 

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5 minutes ago, achooloco said:

Did…. You never see a hurricane path drawn by a sharpie? 

Which is why I said RFK is probably the best choice.  He may be the one eyed man in the land of the blind.

Seriously.  If someone on Texags told you today that the current POTUS, the most powerful position in the world,  who is in an intense campain for relection and where his mental acuity is a huge issue in that campain said publicly, on more than one occasion, that his uncle or his uncle's remains were eaten by cannibals in WW2, you would rightfully think that Texags poster was a lunatic.  But somehow its true.

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1 hour ago, sheeeit said:

I can not stop laughing.  I saw a tiktok about this and just assumed it was a joke or some instance where Biden just slurred his words a little bit and they guessed about what he said.  Now, quite high, I decided to check it out.  Holy shit.  The POTUS, figuratively the most powerful person in the world, just said, with a straight face, that he believes his uncle was a pilot eaten by Aboriginal cannibals when his plane went down during WW2.  Its impossible but it isnt.

Even if we give him him the most gigantic benefit of the doubt in human history that this was some family story passed down through the years and so he just repeated it, it is still unbelievable.  How do you ever say that to the press?  Ubder any circumstances?   A 10 year old can google it and see that his uncle was not the pilot and that the plane went down over the ocean.  There was an actual fucking survivor that told the story.  It is impossible that Biden did not know the true story at one time.  He is ful blown senile.  No person in any way still cognizant would ever say or do that.  I kind of feel bad for him and Jill must be one tough woman. 

I guess maybe I am really high because if I am presented a situation where the only options for POTUS next year are Biden, Tump or RFK, I actually think RFK might be the best option.  And he is a terrible option.

This POTUS election should make us change the rules of the game going forward regarding politics.  The system is great but the current rules allowed it to be gamed.  There is no other rational explanation.  We have some of the very best and brightest and capable people in the world in the US.  Hundreds of thousands of them.  But our POTUS will be one of 3 of the worst choices we could make.  That is only possible in a rigged game.

He drives you crazy

OOOH!  OOOH!

cDVAns.gif

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4 minutes ago, sheeeit said:

Which is why I said RFK is probably the best choice.  He may be the one eyed man in the land of the blind.

Seriously.  If someone on Texags told you today that the current POTUS, the most powerful position in the world,  who is in an intense campain for relection and where his mental acuity is a huge issue in that campain said publicly, on more than one occasion, that his uncle or his uncle's remains were eaten by cannibals in WW2, you would rightfully think that Texags poster was a lunatic.  But somehow its true.

No, I would think even a senile old coot is better than a treasonous shit heel rapist that is twice as dumb but just has the benefit of not constantly battling his tendency to speak with a lisp.
 

Biden is in cognitive decline but he at least is a patriotic American. Trump is just a traitor and that is currently twice as stupid as Biden but is also nearing the cliff of dementia ever day. 

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4 minutes ago, sheeeit said:

campain said publicly, on more than one occasion, that his uncle or his uncle's remains were eaten by cannibals in WW2

That’s not what he said you moron

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@sheeeit sounds like a sucker and a loser.

4 minutes ago, sheeeit said:

Which is why I said RFK is probably the best choice.  He may be the one eyed man in the land of the blind.

Seriously.  If someone on Texags told you today that the current POTUS, the most powerful position in the world,  who is in an intense campain for relection and where his mental acuity is a huge issue in that campain said publicly, on more than one occasion, that his uncle or his uncle's remains were eaten by cannibals in WW2, you would rightfully think that Texags poster was a lunatic.  But somehow its true.

He didn’t say his uncle was eaten by cannibals, dumb ass. He said his uncle went down in an area inhabited by cannibals.

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