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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
1 hour ago, henrygandorf said:

fuck this whole fucking puppet show. 

 

I have to chuckle at this picture, knowing 2 things:

1. Trump probably hates religious people, and he must be very uncomfortable in this setting.  Good.

2. Reaching in like that, pretty much everyone is within smelling distance of Trump.

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Posted
58 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

Fucking fuck. Who the fuck sees this and thinks, "That's something I want to be a part of"? And then somehow have the gall to consider themselves "independent thinkers."

These are the same people who think that thirty minutes of research on Facebook rewards the researcher with PhD level understanding of any topic.  They refused pandemic advice from literally all of the leading immunologists in the world, but they took it from their cousin's father-in-law's veterinarian.

Thinking isn't exactly these people's strong suit. 

They just want to be told that a) whatever they think is correct, and b) God loves them more than the people who are smarter than they are.  So, yeah, that prayer circle around Donald Trump looks pretty good to them.  It's easy endorphins, and it beats having to think all the time.

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Posted
5 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

Would.

I see ...

Quote
Senator Megan Hunt
@NebraskaMegan
 
Independent State Senator in Omaha's District 8, Creative entrepreneur, Mom. Vice Chair of Urban Affairs. Bi queen. She/her. Free Palestine.

 

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Posted
47 minutes ago, Derka said:

 

 

 

 

37 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Harris has done a fine job explaining her policies to those listening. The media ignores it or twists it 

Came to post this same thing. She’s done a great job, but it’s not reported on, and a huge segment doesn’t absorb news or reality. 

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Posted
3 hours ago, Helobious said:

Why does everyone discredit Silver and say he’s shifted right? Because he posts predictions you don’t like? He’s a pretty well-respected mathematician that’s nailed every election except 2016. He hasn’t posted any personal political opinions that I know of. I wouldn’t be so quick to right him off. 

Silver wasn't that far off in 2016. At the end, 538 had the race at 70-30 for Hillary and definitely in the margin of error. 538 did a lot better than a lot of aggregators. His models did fine in 2018 also.

I lost faith in Silver when he started talking about the pandemic. He knows nothing about biologic systems, epidemiology, virology or an relevant modeling. Yet, he felt very comfortable spouting off bullshit. When presented with his errors, he refused to acknowledge them.

Smart people know enough to know where their expertise ends. His confidence talking about stuff he knows nothing about underminded my confidence in his ability to talk about anything.

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Posted
45 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

 

He literally fucking admitted to shit like this on tape in October 2016. His voters do NOT care. They love that about him. 

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Posted
Just now, quigley said:

Silver wasn't that far off in 2016. At the end, 538 had the race at 70-30 for Hillary and definitely in the margin of error. 538 did a lot better than a lot of aggregators. His models did fine in 2018 also.

I lost faith in Silver when he started talking about the pandemic. He knows nothing about biologic systems, epidemiology, virology or an relevant modeling. Yet, he felt very comfortable spouting off bullshit. When presented with his errors, he refused to acknowledge them.

Smart people know enough to know where their expertise ends. His confidence talking about stuff he knows nothing about underminded my confidence in his ability to talk about anything.

I knew he was a dumbass hack when his response 2 years ago to the right wing trash polls skewing the averages (and being wrong) was “well the democrats could just do it too”

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Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, quigley said:

Smart people know enough to know where their expertise ends. His confidence talking about stuff he knows nothing about underminded my confidence in his ability to talk about anything.

This is exactly it. The most important thing to know is what you don't know. And if you can't admit that then your insecurity holds you back. And that's what Silver is, he's essentially a decently smart but terribly insecure quant who got famous in a niche market.

Edited by Huckleberry
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Posted
1 minute ago, Js1 said:

I knew he was a dumbass hack when his response 2 years ago to the right wing trash polls skewing the averages (and being wrong) was “well the democrats could just do it too”

i used to listen to the 538 politics podcast regularly. Clare Malone was an obvious no nothing, but somewhat entertaining. I lapped up Silver's and Enten's bullshit for years.

The "experts" here have better balance than those goofs.

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Posted
1 minute ago, BevoAbyss said:

Last week dropped my ballot in the mailbox of my "liberal" big city metropolis. Voted straight D.

Came of political age in the 80s and never voted for Ronnie Raygun, HW, W, or the MAGA Fuhrer.

For the remainder of my life, I cannot fathom voting R on anything. Ever. 

Me neither, and I'm not even a Democrat or a progressive. 

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Posted
2 hours ago, wood said:

Also says illegals are, get this, flying into the country in planes, and just landing and infiltrating society no probs.

So I guess no more need for a wall.

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Posted (edited)
29 minutes ago, BevoAbyss said:

For the remainder of my life, I cannot fathom voting R on anything. Ever. 

27 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Me neither, and I'm not even a Democrat or a progressive. 

Me neither, and I voted Republican in almost every Presidential election from 1984 through 2016. I'll carry the shame of that last one to my grave.

Edited by wood
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Posted
4 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Yeah and they don't understand economics because their economics teacher was ... they weren't required to take economics. 

My economics teacher was a history teacher teaching another class. My government teacher was badass, though.

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Posted
2 hours ago, Hank Kingsley said:

I hope the polls end up being WAY off. To the point of destroying the industry.

They're reporting data with a 2.5% response rate. Their margin of error is ENORMOUS.

When I see my friend who is part of PAC, I'll ask him how internal polling differs from public polling and why they're reluctant to share it.

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Posted
4 hours ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

I bet at least 75% of this board has picked the winner of every election since 1984 except maybe 2000 and 2016. For the most part, picking winners of presidential elections is pretty easy. 

Yep, and the red flags from 2016 about Trump’s chances are not showing up.

Posted
26 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Yeah and they don't understand economics because their economics teacher was ... they weren't required to take economics. 

My sex ed teacher was also our linebacker and strength and conditioning coach.  Interestingly, when I look back upon it, he was surprisingly progressive on a lot of things, in particular on people being gay.  As a coach, complete meathead, as a teacher, I have to actually give him credit.  

 

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Posted
6 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

"I love America.

Also, I hate literally everything about America."

Your love for America is based solely on how many flags you hug or bald eagle pictures you post on Facebook.

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Posted
1 hour ago, locodos said:

I don't know what that means...

Kids over a certain weight couldn’t be ball carriers and had a sticker on their helmet to signify. For 6th grade it was 120 lbs. 

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