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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
8 minutes ago, flatdawgs said:

I have a Tuesday am conference call with my Portuguese attorney - wasn't set up for election day specifically; she set it up and I'm sure there'll be non-Americans on it - but always nice to go over my options again.

Golden Visa baby!  i’ve been looking at Portugal as well

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Posted

I work at a company in the top 15 of the Fortune 500.  They announced that all travel for Nov 5th-12th had to be specially approved by leadership.  On Wednesday I fly to phoenix for a meeting so we will see if there are riots going on in that swing state.

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Posted

Seth Meyers last night played a clip of Dotard on Rogan. Dotard was bragging about all the proof he had of the 2020 election being stolen. He said something like "Sometime later I'll show you all of it". Rogan said, obviously, "Are you ever going to present all of this evidence?"

Dotard looked like he'd been punched in the face. "Ummm.... well, you know, um....? But anyway...." Because, of course, anyone with actual proof of that MIGHT SHARE IT ON THE MOST POPULAR PODCAST IN THE WORLD, TWO WEEKS BEFORE THE ELECTION.

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Posted
9 minutes ago, Chopper said:

Thread

image.png.047ec4e305235cbe137b4d7bddd99dd7.png

 

 

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How do we contribute?

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Posted
4 hours ago, Bateshorn said:

For any young's here, I can not begin to express how good these 80s looks were.  This is elder Gen X smoke. 

 

3 hours ago, Kyrie Eleison said:

my generation, bitches...

Image

 

They're Boomers.

Posted
13 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

Golden Visa baby!  i’ve been looking at Portugal as well

New government changed the rules, although there may be some new programs I'd be very interested in should they come up. Real estate no longer counts. May just end up retiring and doing the D7 visa instead and not worrying about the investment strategies. 

There's a house just outside of Tavira I really want to have a look at... need to get back there again. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, Aqua Buddha said:

No, they're not.  Trump and Biden are boomers and they're old enough to be their dads.

Trump and Biden are the silent generation. They are not boomers. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, flatdawgs said:

New government changed the rules, although there may be some new programs I'd be very interested in should they come up. Real estate no longer counts. May just end up retiring and doing the D7 visa instead and not worrying about the investment strategies. 

There's a house just outside of Tavira I really want to have a look at... need to get back there again. 

I think I remember reading where if you had certain assets and came in and started a business and employed so many (?) citizens of Portugal, that was the new easy entree.   

Posted
6 minutes ago, immamac said:

Trump and Biden are the silent generation. They are not boomers. 

Trump was born in 1946.  He's a boomer.  Biden is only 4 years old but technically he would be Silent.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, immamac said:

Trump and Biden are the silent generation. They are not boomers. 

First time I’ve heard silent to describe dotard.

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

I think I remember reading where if you had certain assets and came in and started a business and employed so many (?) citizens of Portugal, that was the new easy entree.   

Yes, that's one of the paths. You have to prove concept, yadda yadda, but it's fairly straightforward, as is just investing in Portuguese funds/securities (not a huge value play, to say the least).

Hopefully none of this gets pushed to the front burner Tuesday evening (I don't think it will, but I live in super blue land).

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Posted
13 minutes ago, immamac said:

Trump and Biden are the silent generation. They are not boomers. 

Trump is a boomer. Biden is silent Gen. Kamala and Walz are Gen X by the most sensible definitions. 

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Posted
3 hours ago, Red Five said:

Nicolle Wallace played earlier a series of clips of Trump calling democrats "vile, disgusting, evil, vermin", etc. 

This double standard where one party gets to say whatever they want at any time, and the other is playing by the rules like it's still 1988.... Not sure I can take another cycle of it without losing my fucking mind. 

Anyone have a link to this, by any chance?

Posted
3 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

 

Also, you know who bitches about the refs?  Fucking losers do. 

This is Surly, I'd tread lightly with this talk.

3 hours ago, Blotto said:

lmao of course it's Amarillo

2 hours ago, The Dog said:

That’s like using the 247 composite to drive recruiting decisions.

They may actually be using the RCP average to decide where to go.

"Should I not have done that?" - Mack Brown

1 hour ago, aggie08 said:

I'm spending all day Wednesday on a small boat with someone who went to the Coachella Trump rally. And we're just supposed to do our jobs as normal.

 

1 hour ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

I have a lunch meeting with a sales rep and 2 sales engineers on Wednesday.  I genuinely have no idea how this will go, other than they want our business, so I suspect they will behave normally no matter what happens Tuesday.

 

 

 

 

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

I took Wednesday off. I’m working day shift and night shift for yall on Tuesday 

I'm working Wednesday and figure everyone else is taking off or phoning it in as long as the election isn't called, so I'm not burning the vacation. 

27 minutes ago, immamac said:

Trump and Biden are the silent generation. They are not boomers. 

Biden is a late silent, Trump is a very early boomer. Harris/Walz are technically very late boomers but you could argue culturally more Gen X.

Posted

In Japan for vacation currently and had my first convo with a local about the election. Talk about a small world, this gentleman’s son studied in Wisconsin and now lives/work in Houston. I told him I’m nervous about the upcoming election and he shared my sentiment of bewilderment about how it’s even possibly a close election. 

Will still be abroad past Nov 5… 😅

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Posted (edited)
34 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

No, they're not.  Trump and Biden are boomers and they're old enough to be their dads.

 

18 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Trump is a boomer. Biden is silent Gen. Kamala and Walz are Gen X by the most sensible definitions

aggy goal post moving.  

Gen X has some good stuff.  This ain't it.

 

BTW, for you bedwetters, Harris is going to kick fucking ass!!

 

Edited by SaucyJack
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Posted
1 hour ago, aggie08 said:

I'm spending all day Wednesday on a small boat with someone who went to the Coachella Trump rally. And we're just supposed to do our jobs as normal.

Ok, clearly everyone else knows what you do for a living, but for the rest of us... what?

Are you a shrimper or a smuggler?

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Posted

So, I have a client who recently passed away and his wife and daughter are trying to license some of his patents to an Austrian manufacturer.

They have a family friend that is a lawyer cum real estate investor that is kind of leading the charge with one of his German business associates.

He said today on a conference call, "let's hope Trump wins, they're afraid of Trump and his tariffs blah blah blah."  

I could feel the eye rolls from some of the people on the call.  It sounded so stupid, regardless of your political affinities.

Guys in his late 60s and real-estatey, but really ought to know better.

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Posted
8 minutes ago, DixonHur said:

Ok, clearly everyone else knows what you do for a living, but for the rest of us... what?

Are you a shrimper or a smuggler?

Gay pirate.

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Posted
4 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:

 

They have a family friend that is a lawyer cum real estate investor that is kind of leading the charge with one of his German business associates.

 

confused love & hip hop GIF by VH1

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Posted
21 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

Harris/Walz are technically very late boomers but you could argue culturally more Gen X.

The census bureau/pew definition of Gen X (beginning at 1965) is bullshit on infinite levels. Don’t even get me started.

the best definition is Strauss and Howe: 61-81.

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Posted
Just now, TwiceHorn said:

Geezus jumped-up Christ.  It's a gotdam DTPA suit filed in ND Tex Amarillo division, where Kazmethhead sits.

 Venue is wrong and personal jurisdiction is probably dubious.  Texas law doesn't apply.  Trump is not a consumer.  This is not what DTPA addresses.

This thing should be shot into the sun, without whiskey or hash browns.

But CBS does significant business in Amarillo!

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Posted (edited)

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/31/trump-lagging-early-votes-seniors-pennsylvania-00186612

 

Quote

Donald Trump is lagging Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania early voting with a critical and once-reliably Republican constituency: seniors.

It’s a warning sign for the former president that reflects early vote data and polling across the battlegrounds, after Republicans won the senior vote in each of the last five presidential elections.

 

Quote

In Pennsylvania, where voters over the age of 65 have cast nearly half of the early ballots, registered Democrats account for about 58 percent of votes cast by seniors, compared to 35 percent for Republicans. That’s despite both parties having roughly equal numbers of registered voters aged 65 and older. 

The partisan gap is narrower than it was in 2020, when views of early voting were more partisan, and Republicans take that as a good sign. But the GOP still is counting on more of its older voters to show up on Election Day, while Democrats have more votes in the bank.

 

Quote

The data is in line with polling in the state that has shown Trump shedding support among older voters. According to a Fox News poll of Pennsylvania, Trump is running 5 percentage points behind Harris among voters ages 65 and over, slipping back from the previous month, when he and Harris were tied with that demographic. It’s a major shift from 2020, when Trump carried 53 percent of the senior vote in Pennsylvania in a losing effort in the state.

 

Spoiler

For Democrats, it’s an unexpected reason for optimism.

Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart, said he has been surprised by what he is calling the “silver surge” in early voting from older Democrats.

“Our expectation going into the early vote was that it would, in general, skew substantially more Republican than in 2020,” Bonier said. “There is no more pandemic, Democrats were more Covid conscious … and Republicans have been pushing early voting.”

The senior vote is particularly important in five of the seven battleground states — Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and North Carolina — that, according to U.S. Census data, have more residents over the age of 65than the national average.

According to modeling data shared by a Democratic campaign operative tracking early voting, across the Blue Wall states, Democratic voters over the age of 65 are running 10 to 20 percent ahead of their Republican counterparts with respect to registered turnout.

And the same Democratic modeling shows Black voters over the age of 65 — and in particular older Black women, a core Democratic bloc — are returning ballots at a higher rate than any other demographic group.

In Pennsylvania, the biggest battleground in the Blue Wall, Republicans are encouraged because the partisan gap in ballots returned so far has narrowed significantly since 2020. Democrats hold only a 25-point advantage, compared to nearly 50 points four years ago. That is a sign that GOP efforts to encourage their voters to bank ballots early have had success.

But what that means for the overall makeup of the electorate when voting is complete is less clear. Roughly 35 percent of Republicans who have cast ballots so far in Pennsylvania are voters who cast ballots on Election Day in 2020, according to a POLITICO analysis of the state’s early voting data.

By contrast, around 8 percent of Democrats who have voted in the state voted on Election Day in 2020. Those figures suggest that the early vote in Pennsylvania is likely to be redder than four years ago — and the Election Day vote is likely to be bluer — based on how voters are switching the timing of their votes.

Still, it’s not unusual for both seniors and Democrats to cast their votes sooner, both in the earliest days of absentee voting and before Election Day overall.

Pennsylvania Trump campaign spokesperson Kush Desai said in a statement, “Americans of all ages and backgrounds are unifying behind President Trump’s agenda to Make America Safe, Strong, Wealthy, and Great Again, and this reality is playing out in record Republican voter registrations and turnout across battleground states, including Pennsylvania.”

And Charlie Gerow, a Republican strategist in Pennsylvania and the CEO of Quantum Communications, noted that “Republicans and older Republicans in particular, generally, like to vote on Election Day because that’s what they’re accustomed to.”

“So if the numbers are that tightly squeezed, it says that Republicans are going to do very well on November 5,” he said.

Earlier this week, RNC Chair Michael Whatley told POLITICO that “what we are seeing in terms of metrics, voter registration, the early vote, the absentee vote numbers look really good across the country, especially the battleground states.”

A recent CNN poll of Blue Wall states found Harris leading by a slim margin to Trump among voters 65 and older in Pennsylvania and Michigan. Trump led against Harris with older voters in Wisconsin.

Nationally, a recent ABC News poll found Harris leads among voters over 65 by 5 percentage points — a 10-point swing towards Democrats from 2020, when Trump won voters over 65 by 5 points.

Bob Ward, a partner with Fabrizio Ward who has conducted polling for AARP, said he wasn’t surprised to see that seniors are making up the majority of the early vote so far.

“Seniors across the board are the most motivated to vote,” said Ward. “They are the most informed citizens we have paying attention to the news and they are, I think, more so than most vested in the outcomes of elections, because of how many people are dependent on government programs of that age group — Medicare and Social Security are super important.”

Ward said that while both Republican and Democratic seniors are concerned about the economy, Republicans have been motivated by immigration and the border, while Democrats have been propelled by threats to democracy, abortion and reproductive rights.

Both campaigns have been working to shore up support among senior voters. On Tuesday, Trump hosted an event in Drexel Hill, Pennsylvania, where he held a round table aimed at seniors and took questions on topics ranging from immigration to Medicare and Social Security. Trump has proposed eliminating the taxation of Social Security benefits, and has talked about tax breaks for at-home caregivers. But he also called immigration, a cornerstone of his campaign, the “biggest senior issue.”

Meanwhile Harris has also said she opposes any plan that would reduce or cut Social Security benefits and has touted her proposal to expand Medicare to provide home care to help families who are struggling with the costs of long-term care. Her closing message has centered around threats to democracy and reproductive rights.

Bonier said that older women in particular may be mobilizing to vote in response to the Dobbs decision.

“They’re fired up,” he said.

 

Edited by Francisco 2.0
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