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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]


Patrick Bateman

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13 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Don’t think I’m buying that Florida one. The other stuff seems on the high end of likely as well but not grossly unrealistic like Florida +7

The margin isn't in line but Biden's number (52%) is within the range of what other pollsters are seeing. Biden has polled at 50% in several polls. 

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15 minutes ago, Pig Bellmont said:

Except my taxes went up.  

You must not be making enough money or you live in a Demon-rat state.

Both of those things are sins.

Get right with Jesus, start making more $, and move yourself to a more Godly place.

God with then reward you with Trumps re-election, less taxes, and more riches.

 

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1 hour ago, Beau Vine said:

Sure as hell not Converse, either.  And other than NB and Converse, what suburbs does SA have?

Alamo Heights and Castle Hills are the ones that come to mind.  They have been surrounded but probably still meet the definition of suburb.

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6 minutes ago, Bookman said:

I live in Shavano Park and I've seen an awful lot of Biden signs.

 I spent a week in Shavano Park one night.  Actually I lived just due east of there for a few months in the mid-to-late 90's.  /csb

I would have guessed that area would be Trump central based on my few remaining memories of it.  It was packed full of the most racist Hispanics I've ever met in Texas...my mother included.  

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Largest margins of victories since 1940:

Electoral college:
1984  Reagan (R)  525/538 97.6%
1972  Nixon (R) 520/538  96.7%
1980  Reagan (R)  489/538  90.9%
1964  L Johnson (D)  486/538  90.3%
1956  Eisenhower (R)  457/531  86.1%
1940 F Roosevelt (D)  449/531  84.6%
1952  Eisenhower (R)  442/531 83.2%
1944 F Roosevelt (D)  432/531  81.4%
1988  GHW Bush (R)  426/538  79.2%
1996  Clinton (D) 379/538  70.5%
1992  Clinton (D)  370/538  68.8%
2008 Obama (D) 365/538  67.8%
2012 Obama (D) 332/538  61.7%
1948  Truman (D)  303/531  57.1%
2016 Trump (R) 304/538  56.5%
1960  Kennedy (D)  303/537  56.4%
1968  Nixon (R)  301/538  56.0%
1976  Carter (D)  297/538  55.2%
2004  GW Bush (R)  286/538  53.2%
2000  GW Bush (R) 271/538  50.4%


Popular vote:

1972  Nixon (R) 23.15%
1964  L Johnson (D)  22.58%
1956  Eisenhower (R)  15.4%
1984  Reagan (R)  18.21%
1952  Eisenhower (R)  10.85%
1940 F Roosevelt (D)  9.96%
1980  Reagan (R)  9.74%
1996  Clinton (D)  8.51%
1988  GHW Bush (R)  7.72%
1944 F Roosevelt (D)  7.5%
2008 Obama (D) 7.27%
1992  Clinton (D)  5.56%
1948  Truman (D)  4.48%
2012 Obama (D) 3.86%
2004  GW Bush (R)  2.46%
1976  Carter (D)  2.06%
1968  Nixon (R)  0.7%
1960  Kennedy (D)  0.17%
2000  GW Bush (R) -0.51%
2016 Trump (R) -2.09%

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13 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

 

LOL, click the image. 

(1) cell service is listed as MTS RUS (i.e., the phone was in Russia)

(2) It has a blackberry symbol on the phone but appears to be running IOS

(3) the text actually says he rejected whatever bullshit corruption was being proposed. 

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4 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

LOL, click the image. 

(1) cell service is listed as MTS RUS (i.e., the phone was in Russia)

(2) It has a blackberry symbol on the phone but appears to be running IOS

(3) the text actually says he rejected whatever bullshit corruption was being proposed. 

 

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56 minutes ago, Lobo said:

 I spent a week in Shavano Park one night.  Actually I lived just due east of there for a few months in the mid-to-late 90's.  /csb

I would have guessed that area would be Trump central based on my few remaining memories of it.  It was packed full of the most racist Hispanics I've ever met in Texas...my mother included.  

I'm not sure we're talking about the same place.

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1 hour ago, Dahobbs said:

LOL, click the image. 

(1) cell service is listed as MTS RUS (i.e., the phone was in Russia)

(2) It has a blackberry symbol on the phone but appears to be running IOS

(3) the text actually says he rejected whatever bullshit corruption was being proposed. 

Says it in plane English.

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2 hours ago, 4th&Five said:

 

Remember the movie Minority Report? Remember the scene where Collin Farrell's detective character quickly realizes he's at a staged crime scene b/c all the evidence he's seeing is so absurdly incriminating and laid out as if screaming to be noticed? That's this text, but in a less overt fashion.

"Hey corrupt business partner, it's your corrupt partner, Hunter, and I'm steaming mad that our planned corrupt business deal isn't playing out as I'd hoped!!!! It's vitally important that we all understand that this proposed transaction is for the benefit of my family, including my father, the Democratic nominee. Man am I ever angry that our corruption is running into roadblocks, grrrrr!!! Also, it must be 100% crystal clear that we hate the final hour surprise turncoat witness and sought to screw him over, corruptly. Let there be no doubt!"

Edited by Storm the Field
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1 minute ago, GRHorn said:

Some movement tonight on predictit just based off the oil comments presumably.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5543

 

PredictIt bettors are idiots, full stop. Markets will often shift 3-4 points based on a tweet from something like "Red Eagle Pollster Bot" saying that sources tell them early voting trends in rural Possum Taint county are 10% better than expected for Trump, but then not move based on a Biden +10 poll from a legit pollster.

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7 minutes ago, GRHorn said:

Some movement tonight on predictit just based off the oil comments presumably.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5543

 

I think predict it has been invaded by breitbart or something.  The comment section of every battleground race consists of a bunch of MAGA mouth breathers who probably live in trailers saying shit like “ market should swing 75/25 Trump any minute” then an hour later some guy says “ flip yet? We all know Trump is going to dominate here”.

 

russian trolls or breitbart morons. It’s a toxic place tho.

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