Sweet Jawja Special Elections

[RomaVicta 29704]

10 minutes ago, Jive Turkey said:

ah, yes.  nothing says true Georgian like her degrees from . . . the University of Illinois and DePaul??

 

Did her Covid profiteering story just get lost in the general shitstorm or was there news vindicating her? Electing a Plague Profiteer who dodges a question about the upending of the republic is not a good look for Ga. How much would we have to pay the deep south to secede again?

[achooloco 1060]

On 1/4/2021 at 11:17 AM, F250 said:

This reminds me of an interaction I had with a family that were from Ohio and experiencing their first Texas summer. It was late June and I was holding daily Little League All Star baseball practice.

The Mom and Dad to me one late afternoon practice...

 

Think of that scene often in the summer. Salma hayek looks like she hasn't aged a day...

[GSU&UT 1798]

2 minutes ago, RomaVicta said:

Did her Covid profiteering story just get lost in the general shitstorm or was there news vindicating her? Electing a Plague Profiteer who dodges a question about the upending of the republic is not a good look for Ga. How much would we have to pay the deep south to secede again?

99% of the attack ads on Loffler and Perdue I saw on TV were about their insider trading combined with how wealthy they already are. Probably the easiest ads you could make that would resonate with the most amount of people.

Edited January 5, 2021 by GSU&UT

[SquishMitten 10381]

50 minutes ago, Buzzrock said:

Tom Price just said if 800K vote then it goes R, less it goes D. That’s the first time I’ve heard someone say greater turnout helps the Rs.

ETA: 800K today. Based on what I’ve heard from voters and seen on TV, 800K ain’t happening today.

Did you pay attention to the general election at all? In person voting skewed R almost everywhere

[BradInATX 9208]

I'm not responding to any particular post here, just posting this because it  makes me laugh every time.

[Js1 84994]

2 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

Did you pay attention to the general election at all? In person voting skewed R almost everywhere

We know it did.  900k turned out for the in person election day voting in November.  That's a high bar to clear for a runoff versus a general election (without Trump on the ballot).  The Republicans won that portion of the vote with 59%.  They need to clear 65%+ this time, based on how much early vote the Dems have banked already.  Not to mention the new voters who voted this time, but not in November, are younger and blacker. 

[RomaVicta 29704]

3 minutes ago, GSU&UT said:

99% of the attack ads on Loffler and Perdue I saw on TV were about their insider trading combined with how wealthy they already are. Probably the easiest ads you could make that would resonate with the most amount of people.

Thanks for the response.

[JimmyJames 12271]

11 minutes ago, Js1 said:

As I said, take turnout anecdotes with a grain of salt.

But an official in the SOS office (anecdote, but from someone who knows) said virtually no lines across the state.  That is not good news for the GOP.  They need to hear of long lines in heavily R precincts and counties to feel good of 1 million + turnout by the rubes today. 

Why would the rubes bother to vote? The election is gonna be stolen by kemp, that Brad guy and all the other rinos and just handed over to the dems anyway. Dear leader told them so. Just like they did to dear leader.

Stop the steal! Write in trump or don’t vote! 

[BradInATX 9208]

BTW if anyone believes in omens or whatever, after almost two full months, today I received a gritty shirt that was hung up in the USPS web this whole time. And an Austin Ice Bats shirt. Whatever that means.

Edited January 5, 2021 by BradInATX

[Doc Sam Beckett 5781]

14 minutes ago, RomaVicta said:

How much would we have to pay the deep south to secede again?

Whatever it is, it's worth it 

[Buzzrock 14859]

Did you say track?  In Georgia?  General Sherman had thoughts on train tracks in Georgia.

 

Well our nickname is Terminus

[Nice Guy Eddie 13388]

1 hour ago, Buzzrock said:

Tom Price just said if 800K vote then it goes R, less it goes D. That’s the first time I’ve heard someone say greater turnout helps the Rs.

ETA: 800K today. Based on what I’ve heard from voters and seen on TV, 800K ain’t happening today.

This is a complete GOTV statement and not necessarily a real opinion by him. By all accounts, the GOP needs a great turnout today so better to scare every GOP voter to get off their ass. If he says 800K, then he probably believes it needs to be 500 or 600K.

[Buzzrock 14859]

Texas had a good reason for them - from what I recall, for many counties, the theory was that most residents could make it to and from the county seat within a day's ride.

That was the excuse that Georgia politicians used too.

[Walden Ponderer 12639]

6 minutes ago, BradInATX said:

BTW if anyone believes in omens or whatever, after almost two full months, today I received a gritty shirt that was hung up in the USPS web this whole time. And an Austin Ice Bats shirt. Whatever that means.

Dear God, please let it mean that the dumbass rubes who would rather fuck the holes in their rugs than women who have their own thoughts did not come out to vote did not, actually, come out to vote.

At this point, does ANYBODY with a brain still not think that Republicans are DUMBASS FUCKING WORTHLESS PIECES OF SHIT?

Anybody? Seriously?

Because HOW COULD YOU NOT SEE IT??????

 

 

Edited January 5, 2021 by Walden Ponderer

[Buzzrock 14859]

Well Sterling just posted this, so that's directly from the source.
 

Voter suppression!

[Buzzrock 14859]

Did you pay attention to the general election at all? In person voting skewed R almost everywhere

Yeah I wasn’t clear in my edit. I didn’t catch that he meant day-of at first.

[SydneyCarton 47809]

4 minutes ago, Walden Ponderer said:

Dear God, please let it mean that the dumbass rubes who would rather fuck the holes in their rugs than women who have their own thoughts did not come out to vote did not, actually, come out to vote.

At this point, does ANYBODY with a brain still not think that Republicans are DUMBASS FUCKING WORTHLESS PIECES OF SHIT?

Anybody? Seriously?

Because HOW COULD YOU NOT SEE IT??????

 

 

Because they don't care to see it. 

Not doing to lie, manic Walden is not my favorite Walden. We're all rooting for your son. 

[Buzzrock 14859]

99% of the attack ads on Loffler and Perdue I saw on TV were about their insider trading combined with how wealthy they already are. Probably the easiest ads you could make that would resonate with the most amount of people.

Yup. Loeffler and Perdue are crooks, Warnock hates America and abuses his wife, Ossoff is owned by China, rinse repeat.

[wildcat09 29146]

21 minutes ago, BradInATX said:

I'm not responding to any particular post here, just posting this because it  makes me laugh every time.

My new years resolution was to not watch the needle.

[Buzzrock 14859]

Whatever it is, it's worth it 

Ok but we get to keep Jason Isbell.

[Ted Lange 15975]

 

 

[BradInATX 9208]

2 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

My new years resolution was to not watch the needle.

Yeah, I think that's healthy. I'm not planning to follow it. I'll check in later in the night and that's about it. The POTUS election was enough of a rabbit hole and time sink for me. Cheers to everyone that's going to watch it live, though. Pour one out for me. 

[Js1 84994]

7 minutes ago, BradInATX said:

Yeah, I think that's healthy. I'm not planning to follow it. I'll check in later in the night and that's about it. The POTUS election was enough of a rabbit hole and time sink for me. Cheers to everyone that's going to watch it live, though. Pour one out for me. 

What if I told you when the needle was turned off for GA and NC after Election Night, it was on the money? 

[Mdhorn 5897]

Waiting for Trump to fly down and show up to assist with counting.  

[Mrs Whiggins 13049]

How many people are waiting for Raffensperger to play double DD chess and spurn Trump but "find" enough votes for the GOP to win? I'm only kind of kidding. The GOP knows what's at stake here.

[Ted Lange 15975]

Sounds like it is going to take days to determine a winner. If the democrats win, the Rs will just pretend they won, based on something they read on the internet.

[Sawbonz 27296]

51 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

Did you pay attention to the general election at all? In person voting skewed R almost everywhere

Dear leader and Q-loons weren’t telling people not to vote in November 

[Pancho 44181]

Strategist on MSNBC just said Radical Rs are looking for 900,000 voters today and need 60% of that vote.  Chuck basically said the same thing but he heard 800,000.

[GSU&UT 1798]

3 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Strategist on MSNBC just said Radical Rs are looking for 900,000 voters today and need 60% of that vote.  Chuck basically said the same thing but he heard 800,000.

If 900,000 wins it for Rs with them only needing 60% of that, then they literally have not looked at the early voting data. They would need to win probably closer to 70% of that.

[Gatorubet 30023]

Strategist on MSNBC just said Radical Rs are looking for 900,000 voters today and need 60% of that vote.  Chuck basically said the same thing but he heard 800,000.

“Look.....I only need 800,000 votes and I got way more than that. Give me a break!”

[Zonahorn 8072]

Lakshya Jain on Twitter: "Spalding is a county we predicted to be R+21 with 7700 votes cast on Election Day, assuming turnout proportionate to November. I have to say I’m a bit surprised they don’t look on track to meet even that right now, but this can change over the next few hours." / Twitter

[Js1 84994]

14 minutes ago, GSU&UT said:

If 900,000 wins it for Rs with them only needing 60% of that, then they literally have not looked at the early voting data. They would need to win probably closer to 70% of that.

This right here.  They are going into today in a roughly 300,000 vote hole. If they only expect 800,000, they need to win it by a bigger margin than Trump managed for Election Day in-person votes. 

[Js1 84994]

1 minute ago, Zonahorn said:

Lakshya Jain on Twitter: "Spalding is a county we predicted to be R+21 with 7700 votes cast on Election Day, assuming turnout proportionate to November. I have to say I’m a bit surprised they don’t look on track to meet even that right now, but this can change over the next few hours." / Twitter

LOL I've already seen the usual "durr, Republicans have REAL JOBS and don't vote until after 5pm, you dumb libtards" 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23355]

Y’all are getting my hopes up and I don’t care for it. 

[GSU&UT 1798]

I've been following Lakshya for a few weeks. He's not Nate Cohn but it's clear he knows his stuff. There's time for Spalding exurbs to have their more MAGA base show up but that number was cited in an 11Alive news report and not good at all for exurb/rural White Georgia especially if Dems are turning out in just as high of numbers as they did in November in Atlanta.

[The Dog 43715]

8 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Y’all are getting my hopes up and I don’t care for it. 

Here you go:

 

[RDCanecutter 26198]

1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

Did you say track?  In Georgia?  General Sherman had thoughts on train tracks in Georgia.

 

It's not well known that the Confederates also tore up a ton of stuff in Georgia. I believe Wheeler's Cavalry (CSA) took out the rail lines from Atlanta to Chattanooga (Union base) as well as burned crops. Maybe as much or more as the Yankihihihs. The idea was to cut off Sherman inside Atlanta and let him starve. It might have worked if he had needed a couple more days to get to where the food was, which was by Marching through Georgia.

tldr ahem ahem historical conjecture sah ahem

[Buzzrock 14859]

 
 

Damn I missed it. Tweet was deleted. Was it real?

[Buzzrock 14859]

Sounds like it is going to take days to determine a winner. If the democrats win, the Rs will just pretend they won, based on something they read on the internet.

I don’t think the losers will concede no matter who they are.

[Bruh Man 3160]

It's over.

 

[NotActuallyALonghorn 4965]

16 minutes ago, Js1 said:

This right here.  They are going into today in a roughly 300,000 vote hole. If they only expect 800,000, they need to win it by a bigger margin than Trump managed for Election Day in-person votes. 

Didn't pretty much every down ballot race that R's won have a higher margin than the top of the ticket?

[RDCanecutter 26198]

4 minutes ago, Bruh Man said:

It's over.

 

They got inside them! They changed out the insides!

[The Dog 43715]

48 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Strategist on MSNBC just said Radical Rs are looking for 900,000 voters today and need 60% of that vote.  Chuck basically said the same thing but he heard 800,000.

Interesting that the turnout estimates that would favor GOP are all over the map. 

Aligns with earlier tweet that we don't know shit until they start counting.

Edit to add this stuff from Politico:

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2021/01/05/why-conventional-wisdom-in-georgia-might-be-wrong-491290

Quote

4. Total Election Day turnout. Depending on whom you ask in Georgia political circles, the Democratic candidates could be ahead by anywhere from 130,000 to 200,000 votes when all the early ballots are tabulated. So Republicans start the day down, but their voters are more likely to show on Election Day (Perdue lost the early vote by 127,000 but won Election Day by 215,000 in November). Republicans say that a total Election Day turnout of 700,000 voters would probably mean the Democrats would win, and 900,000 voters would likely mean the GOP has the edge. So 800,000 looks like the water line. As of now, the state is on pace for about 770,000 Election Day voters (that’s based on the idea that Election Day voting will be down by the same proportion as early voting when compared to the November elections).

 

Edited January 5, 2021 by The Dog

[tantric superman 4667]

2 hours ago, BradInATX said:

Do we expect another red mirage tonight, where the mail-ins get counted late into the night and it's going to take us four days to know the winner?

I can live with any fiasco as long as the Dems come out on top. 

[Neonmoon 38127]

Are we going to know the results on this tonight? Or is this another won't be counted for a week situation?

[Neonmoon 38127]

20 minutes ago, Bruh Man said:

It's over.

 

I really like Sterling

 

 

[Js1 84994]

4 minutes ago, Neonmoon said:

Are we going to know the results on this tonight? Or is this another won't be counted for a week situation?

I think we will have an idea.  The Georgia SOS expects that we will know by tomorrow morning (bc of the pre-canvassing of mail-in ballots so they can be counted quickly - all they have to do is run through the machines as they've already been opened, signatures verified, etc.). 

[Buzzrock 14859]

Are we going to know the results on this tonight? Or is this another won't be counted for a week situation?

As I understand it, the Congressional objection could drag this out another ten days.

[atomheartbevo 89304]

1 hour ago, BradInATX said:

BTW if anyone believes in omens or whatever, after almost two full months, today I received a gritty shirt that was hung up in the USPS web this whole time. And an Austin Ice Bats shirt. Whatever that means.

Wife and I still have our Ice Bats jerseys (signed).  Actually multiple jerseys.

Really do miss them, and miss games out at the Expo Center.

[Biff Tannen 45439]

5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I think we will have an idea.  The Georgia SOS expects that we will know by tomorrow morning (bc of the pre-canvassing of mail-in ballots so they can be counted quickly - all they have to do is run through the machines as they've already been opened, signatures verified, etc.). 

This is not what I heard, but I hope you are right.  Why the fuck can't we go back to scantrons and just zip those fuckers through the machines?