Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted
1 minute ago, LCHorn said:

If Pritzker is paying, anyway, I hear Toronto is pleasant this time of year.  Also, best exotic dancing north of Atlanta.  

Canada tariffs will go up to 500% if they allow Texas Dems. 

Posted
18 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

I think this is likely

I completely disagree. Both were well underway and visible in the data, but the Democratic Party wasn’t paying attention to the data and instead was busy huffing out-of-state consultant bullshit about “The Hispanic Vote” and “centering marginalized communities,” but not the marginalized communities that actually power the Democratic voting coalition in the state of Texas. 

 

The data and surveys I've seen showed that in-migration to Texas, before the pandemic, was pretty much a 50/50 ideological wash among likely Republicans and Democrats. However, that balance tilted more Republican during the pandemic, but I haven't seen data on those trends for the past couple of years.

I imagine that in-migration is likely still somewhat balanced with a bit of tilt, but out-migration data are probably showing that a lot more Democrat-leaning voters are leaving than before. So, the net migration figures probably favor the Republicans.

Posted

The Cornyn ads are funny as hell.  There's clearly an edit where Trump says something about "the great Texas Senators John Cornyn and..." where he's gonna say Ted Cruz next.

Great is not a word use to describe these two rodeo clowns.

Posted
18 minutes ago, bolverk said:

The data and surveys I've seen showed that in-migration to Texas, before the pandemic, was pretty much a 50/50 ideological wash among likely Republicans and Democrats. However, that balance tilted more Republican during the pandemic, but I haven't seen data on those trends for the past couple of years.

Surveys are horseshit. Demography and social sorting has been screaming it for a decade, backed up by precinct level voting data.  
And Hispanic erosion in Texas goes back to 2008, but was masked in 2016 by the Clinton’s unique strength with the coin operated political machines in South Texas. And frankly, good riddance to all that. 

Posted
Just now, Macanudo said:

The Cornyn ads are funny as hell.  There's clearly an edit where Trump says something about "the great Texas Senators John Cornyn and..." where he's gonna say Ted Cruz next.

Great is not a word use to describe these two rodeo clowns.

Have y’all seen these Wesley Hunt ads, where he’s not campaigning for any particular thing? They are prepping him to step in when/if Cornyn drops out.

Wesley Hunt would 100% beat Paxton and win the general. Really hoping Cornyn stays in. 

Posted
14 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

You think Texas MAGATs will for for, ahem, Hunt?

Oh yeah. For two reasons

1) Trump will endorse Hunt if he gets in and Cornyn drops out and 

2) Even MAGA understands that Ken Paxton could possibly lose in a mid-term senate race. 

Posted
4 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Even MAGA understands that Ken Paxton could possibly lose in a mid-term senate race. 

Oh my god, you're ADORABLE.  

Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool.  When are you going to accept the truth that Texan voters are really awful people who actually like really awful things?

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
13 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

2) Even MAGA understands that Ken Paxton could possibly lose in a mid-term senate race. 

 

7 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool. 

Yeah, I don’t think Hunt is any more of a challenger than Cornyn.  Even Abbott appears scared of Paxton.  

Posted
7 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

Even Abbott appears scared of Paxton.  

Ain't no "appears" about it.  He's scared of Paxton, and rightly so.  Paxton is the most powerful statewide official Texas has seen since Pa Ferguson.

Posted
3 hours ago, bolverk said:

 

The data and surveys I've seen showed that in-migration to Texas, before the pandemic, was pretty much a 50/50 ideological wash among likely Republicans and Democrats. However, that balance tilted more Republican during the pandemic, but I haven't seen data on those trends for the past couple of years.

I imagine that in-migration is likely still somewhat balanced with a bit of tilt, but out-migration data are probably showing that a lot more Democrat-leaning voters are leaving than before. So, the net migration figures probably favor the Republicans.

The in migration over the last few years is heavy maga, I have zero doubt that. 

Posted
3 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

Oh my god, you're ADORABLE.  

Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool.  When are you going to accept the truth that Texan voters are really awful people who actually like really awful things?

Why do you think that Hunt is less terrible than Paxton?

Posted
12 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Why do you think that Hunt is less terrible than Paxton?

Well, I mean....he doesn't yet have the well-known multi-year track record of crimes and corruption like Ken, but I'm sure he can catch up.  What I'm really saying is that Paxton trounces him in a primary too.  Paxton is unstoppable.  Because Texas Republican voters are not turned OFF by a shameless lying crook....voting for a shameless lying crook gives them a fucking boner that the Viagra folks would study for years.

Posted
4 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

Oh my god, you're ADORABLE.  

Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool.  When are you going to accept the truth that Texan voters are really awful people who actually like really awful things?

If only Bugs could saw off Texas like he did Florida.  But he would need one big ass jigsaw to make all the necessary cuts.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
41 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Well, I mean....he doesn't yet have the well-known multi-year track record of crimes and corruption like Ken, but I'm sure he can catch up.  What I'm really saying is that Paxton trounces him in a primary too.  Paxton is unstoppable.  Because Texas Republican voters are not turned OFF by a shameless lying crook....voting for a shameless lying crook gives them a fucking boner that the Viagra folks would study for years.

No, they aren’t turned off by it. But Hunt gives them everything they want without the baggage and a slam dunk. Plus, the normies will come back for Hunt.

GOP primary voters in Texas are very focused on winning and are realistic about liabilities. 



×
×
  • Create New...