Jump to content

2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


Recommended Posts

Posted
Just now, SydneyCarton said:

Do you also think they won't try to implement any Project 2025 shit? Because I'd bet on it. 

They'll definitely try. Not sure how much of it they'll actually implement.

As with mass deportation, I'd prefer not to find out.

 

Posted
Just now, David Dennison said:

They'll definitely try. Not sure how much of it they'll actually implement.

As with mass deportation, I'd prefer not to find out.

 

My neighbors would be gone and the food would fucking suck.

  • Hook 'Em 3
  • Rage+1 1
Posted
4 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Do you also think they won't try to implement any Project 2025 shit? Because I'd bet on it. 

Good segment on Maketplace yesterday addressing the potential issues with replacing career bureaucrats/statisticians with political appointees at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (per Project 2025).  Wasn’t a good picture.

Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

So, she has a URL, which I thought I might visit to see what she is promoting, but alas:

 

Screenshot2024-11-01133526.png.1fe7d869ed02ac6f564e54c6e058398b.png

$1100 for an hour date

Edited by safe sex
  • Haha 2
Posted
3 minutes ago, ConferenceRoom said:

So what are they missing?

Sean Trende works for Real Clear Politics.

Nothing real or clear about their politics.  

  • Hook 'Em 7
  • Haha 1
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Bateshorn said:

 

I'm posting with a note at screen bottom that @Js1 has replied, so I'm sure this is duplicative, but a narrow-ish trump lead in Iowa means she's doing well in the rest of the midwest.  Selzer doesn't put her thumb on the poll to try and get a reasonable result. She just asks people who their going to vote for, weights for demographics, and fires. She's been quite accurate for Iowa for multiple elections.  To be clear: Dems ain't winning in Iowa. 

 

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

Yep. She basically caught Trump’s late surges in 2016 and 2020. 

I guess. I mean, she's an exceptional state pollster and I wish every state had one that good, but to extent that it's directionally predictive of the rest of the midwest is limited to the parts of Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nebraska, illinois and michigan that are demographically and economically similar to Iowa.
In other words,  if Trump is up by 5 or less, that's a good sign for Harris in Wisconsid and Michigan, but if it's more than that I'm not going to get the sweats. Biden lost by 8.2 and she had him down 7. 

Edited by Bozo_Casanova
  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Sean Trende works for Real Clear Politics.

Nothing real or clear about their politics.  

It's just another example of the massive media narrative out there right now that Donald Trump is poised to win.

It's everywhere.

Posted
41 minutes ago, safe sex said:

I'd rather a private company handle my illegal drugs instead of the federal government that makes the drugs illegal. Never had an issue with Fe_Ex.

They've been intercepting certain packages at their Indiana hub and I think one other at the very least. Currency in many cases, which shows it doesn't need to be a package from China, or giving off weird vibes, or have metal inside. If you recall the twat who set off bombs in Austin that was through U*PS because they don't xray unlike fe*ex. I live in CO and have knowledge of people who've used just regular U*ps on the regular to ship edibles, cartridges and concentrates to tx. Plus if you ship U*PS and pay cash there's no record of the shipper. 

Posted
6 minutes ago, ConferenceRoom said:

So what are they missing?

Same things they missed in 2016 and 2020. Trump always exceeds the polls, never the other way around. So the fact that the polls are so close now means he will likely win

  • Haha 3
Posted
1 minute ago, David Dennison said:

It's just another example of the massive media narrative out there right now that Donald Trump is poised to win.

 

Because:

Trump is going to win:  Dems panic, read every article, watch every cable segment, etc.

Harris is going to win: Republicans bury their heads and stick to Fox News

  • Hook 'Em 4
Posted

I just don’t see how he wins? His support is capped and hidden women vote and enthusiasm should allow KH to garner more votes, basically her ceiling is higher. I could see NV going red potentially on the tips issues but the rest I think Trump getting his ass kicked is very possible and her winning barely seems like the floor not the ceiling.

what am I missing?

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
Just now, troph said:

I just don’t see how he wins? His support is capped and hidden women vote and enthusiasm should allow KH to garner more votes, basically her ceiling is higher. I could see NV going red potentially on the tips issues but the rest I think Trump getting his ass kicked is very possible and her winning barely seems like the floor not the ceiling.

what am I missing?

You are missing that we are very nervous and panicking over every little thing. 

  • Hook 'Em 7
  • Haha 2
Posted
Just now, David Dennison said:

It's just another example of the massive media narrative out there right now that Donald Trump is poised to win.

It's everywhere.

I theorize that mainstream media is leaning Trump out of survival. If he wins a close election, then they are validated with their coverage. If Kamala wins, then they believe they'll be forgiven. 

I don't think the latter is necessarily true, though. 

 

Posted
Just now, Js1 said:

Because:

Trump is going to win:  Dems panic, read every article, watch every cable segment, etc.

Harris is going to win: Republicans bury their heads and stick to Fox News

It's infuriating.

Look at any "liberal" media page. The name Trump dominates the headlines.

Posted
3 minutes ago, Chopper said:

They've been intercepting certain packages at their Indiana hub and I think one other at the very least. Currency in many cases, which shows it doesn't need to be a package from China, or giving off weird vibes, or have metal inside. If you recall the twat who set off bombs in Austin that was through U*PS because they don't xray unlike fe*ex. I live in CO and have knowledge of people who've used just regular U*ps on the regular to ship edibles, cartridges and concentrates to tx. Plus if you ship U*PS and pay cash there's no record of the shipper. 

What about D*L

Posted
2 minutes ago, Helobious said:

Same things they missed in 2016 and 2020. Trump always exceeds the polls, never the other way around. So the fact that the polls are so close now means he will likely win

Well there it is. Trump is doomed.

  • Hook 'Em 5
  • Like 2
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted
3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Because:

Trump is going to win:  Dems panic, read every article, watch every cable segment, etc.

Harris is going to win: Republicans bury their heads and stick to Fox News

This is why I didn't click on the article. Instead I received critical information about the source's integrity from Js1 and confirmation of a Harris win from Helobious. Surly is a one-stop shop. 

  • Hook 'Em 3
  • Haha 5
Posted

Cook is independent but their lead analyst is Dave Wasserman who's apparently had his brain infested with lizards so I'd put them most likely to err on the R side.

image.png.f4cae06012a259ad5d9dcb9e4e57517a.png

Posted
16 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

My neighbors would be gone and the food would fucking suck.

I mentioned this before, but it's actually a real-deal, and how we should look at our fellow human beings as an asset, not a liability.

The boy has lived overseas in the UK and Germany the past several years.  When he was home for Xmas this last year, as we were running errands on N. Lamar, he sighed and commented "man...I really miss mexicans.  It's just something I grew up so used to, and you really notice their absence over there."  He went on to talk about how it wasn't just the food, it was the vibe.  Generally happy folks, often going to or from working hard.  Just, literally, the kinds of attitudes and behaviors you WANT to see in your neighbors.

A generation ago, we would describe someone wearing work boots and a hard hat from sunup to sundown during the week, then having a backyard bbq with lots of family and friends, as the ideal American.  Now.....we hate him, because he's brown and speaks spanish.  WTF?  Hispanics are great Americans.  They are, quite often, the best of us.

9 minutes ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

how much for 3.5 minutes? 

Dude.  Like you can go TWICE at your age.

4 minutes ago, David Dennison said:

What's with the * in these carrier posts?

I du*no.

  • Hook 'Em 6
Posted
19 minutes ago, David Dennison said:

They'll definitely try. Not sure how much of it they'll actually implement.

As with mass deportation, I'd prefer not to find out.

 

The idea that nothing would really change is folly. They might not be successful in implementing any policy, but a Trump election would have pretty grave effect (affect?) on the rest of the world. It would signal a stronger shift back towards fascism and authoritarianism, it would be the end of Ukraine and Palestine, and would have big ramifications on the electoral process moving forward.

  • Hook 'Em 3
Posted
4 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

You are missing that we are very nervous and panicking over every little thing. 

I've said it before, but @Js1 has put me into a zen-like state the last 2 weeks. He's either Morpheus, seeing the prophecy of our salvation unfolding, or I am Cypher, allowing myself to be willfully deluded in order to avoid dealing with the coming horror.

  • Hook 'Em 4
Posted
1 minute ago, Chopper said:

Cook is independent but their lead analyst is Dave Wasserman who's apparently had his brain infested with lizards so I'd put them most likely to err on the R side.

image.png.f4cae06012a259ad5d9dcb9e4e57517a.png

That is just a huge range.  But way higher range for Dems

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
1 minute ago, hookem2010 said:

I've said it before, but @Js1 has put me into a zen-like state the last 2 weeks. He's either Morpheus, seeing the prophecy of our salvation unfolding, or I am Cypher, allowing myself to be willfully deluded in order to avoid dealing with the coming horror.

Relaxed Chill Out GIF by VH1

  • Hook 'Em 4
  • Drool 1
Posted
35 minutes ago, Red Five said:


It’s kinda like the whole “freedom” thing. It’s only for certain people.

🎶 Freedom of speech is just another phrase for don’t apply to you 🎶

 

  • Hook 'Em 2
  • Drool 1
Posted
23 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

i think my favorite thing about walz, and there's a lot to like, is that he doesn't seem like he wants to be president.

i've always thought that was a massive reason why Kamala picked him.  i'm sure Newsom, Shapiro, Beshear, and Whitmer were thinking that if either Shapiro or Beshear got the VP nod, then the others could kiss POTUS away since the incumbent VP would most certainly be the odds on favorite to be the Dem nominee in 2034.  that may have stressed Kamala a bit, to give such a huge boost to one of those guys.  but i bet Walz told her that if she picks him and they win, he'd be 68 after 2 terms and has no interest in being POTUS. 

that will leave the race wide open in 2032 for Newsom (who will be 65), Shapiro (who will be 59), Whitmer (who will be 62), and Beshear (who will be 54).

  • Hook 'Em 3
Posted
1 minute ago, Jive Turkey said:

i've always thought that was a massive reason why Kamala picked him.  i'm sure Newsom, Shapiro, Beshear, and Whitmer were thinking that if either Shapiro or Beshear got the VP nod, then the others could kiss POTUS away since the incumbent VP would most certainly be the odds on favorite to be the Dem nominee in 2034.  that may have stressed Kamala a bit, to give such a huge boost to one of those guys.  but i bet Walz told her that if she picks him and they win, he'd be 68 after 2 terms and has no interest in being POTUS. 

that will leave the race wide open in 2032 for Newsom (who will be 65), Shapiro (who will be 59), Whitmer (who will be 62), and Beshear (who will be 54).

From what I understand, that’s what happened.  Walz said he had no interest in ever running for president whereas, Shapiro said he saw himself as a “co president.”

  • Hook 'Em 3


×
×
  • Create New...