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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
Just now, Js1 said:

That’s still pretty awful for him. There’s def Midwest slippage that’s not being shown to us in the blue wall bc of the herding 

Yea wasn't he +15 in 2020?  

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Posted
10 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

Nothing says 'we're winning' like pre-emptive lawsuits!

Part of the reason I feel extremely confident in my Georgia prediction, they started suing in Fulton County early last week.  They know, and they have known from their own internal numbers.   Their only hope has been hail mary slow the pace efforts.  

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Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Js1 said:

That’s still pretty awful for him. There’s def Midwest slippage that’s not being shown to us in the blue wall bc of the herding 

Big time. Had the Selzer poll had Trump+ 6% I would have been pretty happy about it. 

Edited by Bozo_Casanova
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Posted
1 minute ago, BamaATL said:

Part of the reason I feel extremely confident in my Georgia prediction, they started suing in Fulton County early last week.  They know, and they have known from their own internal numbers.   Their only hope has been hail mary slow the pace efforts.  

Yea why file a bunch of pre-emptive lawsuits if you are rolling?  

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Posted
10 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

Thank God we got to hear from Tiffany for the very first time the day before the election

seriously. if she cared at all, she'd be a big part of his campaign like his wife and ivanka.

wait.

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Posted
1 hour ago, Wax Beer Cup said:

Not sure if you resolved this yet, but just checked mine for Collin County also.  I’m 99% sure I voted on the 24th and didn’t see my name, but when I checked the 25th I was there.  So maybe a day lag or maybe I can’t remember what I did two weeks ago. 

I checked that day and three days after. So I called today and talked to a lovely lady at the Collin election office until she found our shit 😁 She really was nice. 

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Posted
2 hours ago, MidTexHorn said:

It’s not the humble brag it sounds like. My boss is paying his limo service to drive me to and from cancer treatment in Houston. Stage 4 glioblastoma kinda sucks. 
 

id normally be with you on the wishing Ill on him and his family, but he’s a super nice guy and seems a bit gullible and low information. 

Shit. Sorry to hear of this. My dad was diagnosed with the same last year.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

I can't believe how much fun a win will be and how much it will suck to lose.  

Go figure.

and then we get to do it again on 11/30 😝

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Posted
4 hours ago, South Austin said:

If Florida goes for Harris, then I'll ask the football gods for only a three-touchdown win over the Gators on Saturday.  It's the least Sark could do.

Listen man, just run it up.  We’re looking for a coach killing ass kicking at this point.

3 hours ago, Mitch Cumsteen said:

 

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IMG_0003.jpeg

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Posted
13 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Seems like a weird flex to me. Are we sure she is even in control of that account?

i’m sure of nothing. But it sounds like the sort of desperate, pathetic thing that Trump would ask his daughter to do because he finally figured out he was not doing well with women.

And Tiffany had to learn from her mother that all things having to do with Trump are transactional - and when the moment arises you make him pay you for doing things normal family would do for free

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Posted
3 minutes ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

Well, today was fun guys, thanks.

But shit's going to be real tomorrow night.  

I can't believe how much fun a win will be and how much it will suck to lose.  

Go figure.

 

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Posted

One thing I hate is how election  forecasting language confuses what probability and predictions and statistics mean. In fact, the Silver model shows a really, really close vote.  It’s measuring how much faith we have in the poll aggregates and other models.

But people’s votes are not coin flips or distributed probabilistically.  In fact, one candidate has a very, very, very high chance of winning— we just don’t have good enough data to know which one due to the close race.  If we could somehow ask every “planning to vote” person and tabulate the results, we’d have a super high chance of getting the winner right. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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Trolls gonna troll. I'm NOT taking it "with a grain of salt" because it's total bullshit.

 

@WBT I and others here have trashed Nate Silver here for weeks.

Long story short: he don't know shit about fuck because he's putting BAD DATA into his models. Plus he works for Peter Thiel now.

If you know this and are still quoting him, sorry. Even if he's right (and I don't think he is), it's luck not skill this time.

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Posted
1 minute ago, 956 Worldwide said:

One thing I hate is how election  forecasting language confuses what probability and predictions and statistics mean. In fact, the Silver model shows a really, really close vote.  It’s measuring how much faith we have in the poll aggregates and other models.

But people’s votes are not coin flips or distributed probabilistically.  In fact, one candidate has a very, very, very high chance of winning— we just don’t have good enough data to know which one due to the close race.  If we could somehow ask every “planning to vote” person and tabulate the results, we’d have a super high chance of getting the winner right. 

Yea, it bothers me when they say the race is "tied". Ain't no votes been counted yet. That's like saying a pick 'em football game is tied before it has even started. Yea, at 0. Because kickoff hasn't occurred yet.

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Posted
Just now, hookem2010 said:

Yea, it bothers me when they say the race is "tied". Ain't no votes been counted yet. That's like saying a pick 'em football game is tied before it has even started. Yea, at 0. Because kickoff hasn't occurred yet.

I equally hate reporting votes like it’s a foot race.  It’s not.  It’s more like you have a bunch of boxes in a closed warehouse and you’re sorting them by color. The result is already determined once the polls close, we just don’t know it yet.  No one can catch up or fall behind. 

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Posted
6 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Can’t wait for meltdown on the TexAgs’ politics board tomorrow night. It will be better than their football board when they are upset. Their moderators will be banning users left and right.

Ncaa Football Please GIF by ESPN College Football

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Posted
58 minutes ago, immamac said:

I did it. We want discussion post polls closing there. 

We will also have a much slower moving updates only from certain posters thread for big news similar to signing day. 

Which Chili’s?

Posted (edited)
8 hours ago, Tuco said:

think over the last 10 years you are seeing a resurgence of more progressive, common sense movements as a reaction to complete Republican dominance and overreach in places like Kansas, Oklahoma, and Nebraska. Hopefully that grows.

Oklahoma’s Secretary of Education was fucking with the rural districts hard, and then the OK City mayor endorses Kamala.  It may not be in play, but it was pretty blue not too long ago.

Edited by atomheartbevo
Posted
1 hour ago, Hank_Hill said:

God damn. Being 5 hours behind this shit tomorrow is going to be a blessing/curse. I’m going to be so fucking lit. 

One of the beautiful things about living in Hawai'i. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, HOOKEM4 said:

Why has everyone not put @Helobious on ignore? He adds nothing to any conversation. He is a troll that isn't even funny. Just a loser.

Donald Trump Losers GIF by GIPHY News

I dunno. I guess it's kinda entertaining watching him be arrogantly wrong 1000% of the time.

Posted

Dixville Notch was 5-0 in 2020 in Biden. I read it is 6 votes this year and at least 1 vote is for Trump

2016 was Hillary 4, Trump 2, Johnson 1, Romney (write-in) 1

If it’s 5-1 Harris, I’ll feel pretty good. 

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Posted
23 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

 

This is actually equal parts pathetic and scary. To imagine this person doing this as the President of the United States is actually terrifying. 

5 minutes ago, DDD Dad said:

Which Chili’s?

Yes. All of them. (45th and Lamar for Austin) 

Posted
Just now, Biff Tannen said:

I just got texted that Rogan endorsed the dotard. 

He needed Megyn Kelly and Rogan on the final day before the election. Desperate 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Wax Beer Cup said:

Not sure if you resolved this yet, but just checked mine for Collin County also.  I’m 99% sure I voted on the 24th and didn’t see my name, but when I checked the 25th I was there.  So maybe a day lag or maybe I can’t remember what I did two weeks ago. 

How do you look it up?



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