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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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  • Popular Post

https://www.thedailybeast.com/60-minutes-brings-the-receipts-on-trumps-interview-about-face?ref=home?ref=home

 

Quote

CBS gave further detail Monday on Donald Trump’s decision to bail on a customary pre-election interview with the investigative newsmagazine program 60 Minutes, alleging that the former president pulled out of the sit-down over an apparent dispute about the show’s fact-checking policies.

Before airing a separate sit-down with Vice President Kamala Harris, the network contradicted the version of events given by Trump’s side.

 

 

Quote

The network not only agreed to interview Trump this past Thursday at Mar-a-Lago, but also to meet him in Butler, Pennsylvania on Saturday. According to CBS, Trump communications director Steven Cheung sent a text on Sept. 9 reading, “I’m working with our advance team to see logistically if Butler would work in addition to the sit down.”

Cheung followed up days later saying “the president said yes,” CBS said.

 

 

Quote

After Trump backed out the following week, the Trump campaign complainedthat the interview would be fact-checked. Trump also demanded an apology from CBS correspondent Leslie Stahl, claiming she said something that she didn’t say during their 2020 interview, which he walked out of.

Harris, when asked about Trump’s refusal to be interviewed on 60 Minutes, told viewers to instead watch his rallies to understand what he’s all about.

 

 

 

Quote

“If he is not going to give your viewers the ability to have a meaningful, thoughtful conversation, question and answer with you, then watch his rallies. You’re going to hear conversations that are about himself and all of his personal grievances,” Harris said.

“And what you will not hear is anything about you, the listener. You will not hear about how he is going to try to bring the country together, find common ground. And, Bill, that is why I believe in my soul and heart, the American people are ready to turn the page.”

 

44 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

Peter Thiel wants Trump to win?  No way!

If betting markets are way off can't we all make a lot of money? I see it around 50/50 on most websites unless I'm missing something.

I'm most worried about oil prices spiking due to the Middle East conflict or Americans believing tax dollars will flow into another war.

And why is Dick Cheney in some Kamala ads? Who is this appealing to? Pretty sure everyone thinks he's an evil POS.

  • Popular Post

Very well said.

5 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

Stupid mofo

 

Fucking mind bottling. He’s never heard of a cat 5 hurricane… the best people 

1 hour ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

Polymarket has Trump at 53% to win? I don't get it.

What new voters has he gained? Maybe young Latinos. The machismo bit seems to appeal to a lot of them. And they feel more native than ever. Many don't speak Spanish today. I'm surprised how the 'close the border' appeals to many Latinos. And Catholic I guess.

Nate makes good points re:Polymarket. 
 

 

 

 

3 hours ago, South Austin said:

I bet that hurt for him to say.

He's made the calculation that he'd prefer to run against Harris in 2028 than try to run as a Republican after a second Trump term.

He's not wrong.  And he won't be the last one to make that calculation.  I guarantee you we'll see other high Republican officeholders who might have presidential aspirations subtly undermine Trump over the next 29 days.

6 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Nate makes good points re:Polymarket. 
 

 

 

 

Trunk has never win the popular vote, so why would an EC win necessarily correlate to a Popular win? 

1 minute ago, Slacks said:

Trunk has never win the popular vote

 

6 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

He's made the calculation that he'd prefer to run against Harris in 2028 than try to run as a Republican after a second Trump term.

He's not wrong.  And he won't be the last one to make that calculation.  I guarantee you we'll see other high Republican officeholders who might have presidential aspirations subtly undermine Trump over the next 29 days.

Nah. Because if he isn't dead or in jail, they know he'll be a problem barker.

11 minutes ago, Shut up Lou Holtz said:

Fucking mind bottling. He’s never heard of a cat 5 hurricane… the best people 

Let’s be fair here- he said he’s never heard of a cat 5 coming onto land.   I can’t just think of one off hand that has, but then again I’m not making declarative statements about it because it’s probably happened with Hugo or Andrew or some other one. 

10 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Nate makes good points re:Polymarket. 
 

 

 

 

Never mind.  Never Read the Replies, but I did read the replies and they convinced me Nate’s theory doesn’t stand to too much scrutiny.  One, predictit has similar numbers but whales don’t exist because of $850 price cap and two the markets basically mirror the same perceived jump in PA for Trump, which isn’t really a statement on overall popular vote.  

Edited by BehoId, The Underminer!

5 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Let’s be fair here- he said he’s never heard of a cat 5 coming onto land.   I can’t just think of one off hand that has, but then again I’m not making declarative statements about it because it’s probably happened with Hugo or Andrew or some other one

 

Camille, 1969

Andrew, 1992

Michael, 2018

5 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

the same perceived jump in PA for Trump

Based on….what? Did some crappy GOP firm put out a poll or are they still rolling with “PA polls are underestimating Trump bc they don’t poll the Amish”

I saw the new polling conspiracy is they poll on Sundays which means all the good republicans who go to church don’t get counted 

8 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Let’s be fair here- he said he’s never heard of a cat 5 coming onto land.   I can’t just think of one off hand that has, but then again I’m not making declarative statements about it because it’s probably happened with Hugo or Andrew or some other one. 

 

2 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

Camille, 1969

Andrew, 1992

Michael, 2018

1935 Labor Day Hurricane

And these 42 have reached Category 5.  Trump is an idiot. Water is wet.

Here are the names of the estimated 42 tropical cyclones that have reached Category 5 intensity since 1924:

  • "Cuba" - 1924
  • "San Felipe II Okeechobee" - 1928
  • "Bahamas" - 1932
  • "Cuba" - 1932
  • "Cuba-Brownsville" - 1933
  • "Tampico" - 1933
  • "Labor Day" - 1935 
  • "New England" - 1938
  • "Great Atlantic" - 1944 
  • Carol - 1953
  • Janet - 1955
  • Esther - 1961
  • Hattie - 1961
  • Inez - 1966
  • Beulah - 1967
  • Camille - 1969
  • Edith - 1971
  • Anita - 1977
  • David - 1979
  • Allen - 1980
  • Gilbert - 1988
  • Hugo - 1989
  • Andrew - 1992
  • Mitch - 1998
  • Isabel - 2003
  • Ivan - 2004
  • Emily - 2005 
  • Katrina - 2005
  • Rita - 2005
  • Wilma - 2005
  • Dean - 2007
  • Felix - 2007
  • Matthew - 2016
  • Irma - 2017
  • Maria - 2017
  • Michael - 2018
  • Dorian - 2019
  • Lorenzo - 2019
  • Ian - 2022
  • Lee - 2023
  • Beryl - 2024
  • Milton - 2024

And I think Galveston 1900 is presumed to have been one, before the rating system was implemented. 

1 minute ago, The Dog said:

LOL

 

Don’t worry. He’s going to Aurora, Colorado the day before that. I’m sure that’s gonna go well ( @Chewbacca)

21 minutes ago, Slacks said:

Trunk has never win the popular vote

image.gif.2acc3ae6b85bc638b618a69fca79c411.gif

32 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Nate makes good points re:Polymarket. 
 

 

 

 

Makes sense to me that relatively small betting pools could be manipulated by large bettors. Say they're sitting on a bunch of Trump bets already. Push some more money into Trump hoping to influence the market. The crowd follows. Dump all of your bets. Maybe you break even on the newer bets but your rake with the others.

27 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Let’s be fair here- he said he’s never heard of a cat 5 coming onto land.   I can’t just think of one off hand that has, but then again I’m not making declarative statements about it because it’s probably happened with Hugo or Andrew or some other one. 

Isn't the current consensus is that it won't be a cat 5 when hitting Florida on Wednesday? 

If betting markets are way off can't we all make a lot of money? I see it around 50/50 on most websites unless I'm missing something.
I'm most worried about oil prices spiking due to the Middle East conflict or Americans believing tax dollars will flow into another war.
And why is Dick Cheney in some Kamala ads? Who is this appealing to? Pretty sure everyone thinks he's an evil POS.
Yeah. When being markets are off, you can win a lot of money.
Don’t worry. He’s going to Aurora, Colorado the day before that. I’m sure that’s gonna go well ( [mention=1769]Chewbacca[/mention])
Yeah, not sure why the fuck he is coming here. Probably looking for Venezuelan gang members.
Just now, Chewbacca said:
19 minutes ago, Js1 said:
Don’t worry. He’s going to Aurora, Colorado the day before that. I’m sure that’s gonna go well ( [mention=1769]Chewbacca[/mention])

Yeah, not sure why the fuck he is coming here. Probably looking for Venezuelan gang members.

It’s at the Gaylord. He’s barely leaving the airport lol

The best betting markets are hammering the obvious wrong bets like those betting on Trump to win the popular vote or Kari Lake winning AZ. you don't get rich but it's easy money.

The only two risks that I see. 1) Something drastic occurs (i.e. harris announces she's dropping out) and you're late to get out of the bet.  2) A site like Polymarket goes offline and doesn't pay out.

  • Popular Post
1 hour ago, Shut up Lou Holtz said:

Fucking mind bottling. He’s never heard of a cat 5 hurricane… the best people 

The dumb motherfucker was in office when a cat 5 hit florida in 2018

Yeah, not sure why the fuck he is coming here. Probably looking for Venezuelan gang members.

There’s the $5 Butt Stuff Tent in Denver.
10 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

The best betting markets are hammering the obvious wrong bets like those betting on Trump to win the popular vote or Kari Lake winning AZ. you don't get rich but it's easy money.

The only two risks that I see. 1) Something drastic occurs (i.e. harris announces she's dropping out) and you're late to get out of the bet.  2) A site like Polymarket goes offline and doesn't pay out.

Can I bet on that?

4 minutes ago, HornPhD said:

Can I bet on that?

It would be great if PredictIt offered bets on polymarket's demise.

7 minutes ago, HornPhD said:

The dumb motherfucker was in office when a cat 5 hit florida in 2018

He was busy, in many meetings and making many phone calls.

2 hours ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

lmao he is so dumb and she knows it

Here’s Trump saying the same stupid shit in 2017 in Puerto Rico after Cat 5 Maria hit the island.

”A category 5, which few people have even heard of…” at about the 1:15 mark. 

Just fucking stupid. 

16 minutes ago, immamac said:

Facts don't exist. 

This.  Emotional edification is more important to these fucktards cultees than facts.  

22 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Fact checking is now not fair to them. They should be able to make things up out of whole cloth because their entire strategy is just to lie about everything. This is where the GOP is today. 

That's just staggering.  

13 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

She needs to do Rogan or Theo Von.  Both are good interviewers, she would do well in both forums. 

Both are know-nothing morons.  I watched  as much as I could tolerate of "Theo" with Cuban.  He's a fucking idiot. 

13 hours ago, HenryJames said:

 

 

13 hours ago, bluto said:

The fact either of them are considered good interviewers is insanity 

Yep. 

6 hours ago, Js1 said:

Trump is holding a rally in Coachella, California this weekend

Biden won the area around Coachella 78-20 

There were 2 precincts that voted for Trump 100% - one 2 votes to 0 and one 1 vote to 0 lol

And no, this rally isn't at the Coachella festival grounds - it's at a polo club in Coachella, which was overwhelmingly Biden.  Less than 30 days until the election and Trump is in.....California.

That's one less weekend he's in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada.  

High expected to be over 100 degrees.   

3 hours ago, TwiceHorn said:

No one goes in a temple with their head uncovered.  

Doesn't the ferret pelt on Trump's head count as "cover"?

2 hours ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

Polymarket has Trump at 53% to win? I don't get it.

What new voters has he gained? Maybe young Latinos. The machismo bit seems to appeal to a lot of them. And they feel more native than ever. Many don't speak Spanish today. I'm surprised how the 'close the border' appeals to many Latinos. And Catholic I guess.

"What are you looking at?"

"Nothing"

"You calling me a nothing?" 

"No"

"You calling me a liar?"

Edited by Gil Bang

And here he is repeating the same stupid shit again in 2018.

 

I thought Harris and Walz did well and looked great on "60 Minutes" and holy cow Maricopa Co, AZ is crazy town USA.

Harris repeated a few lines from the debate, answered some questions and dodged others, but otherwise looked presidential.

"60 Minutes" said that Trump's camp wanted them to agree to not fact check his interview before Trump pulled out, and they replied that they fact check ALL their interviews.  What did they expect, it's friggin' "60 Minutes" -- this is what they do.

Edited by Texas Jeff

8 hours ago, chainsaw said:

You know who else was very publicly hung? Hunter Biden

hqdefault.jpg

2 hours ago, Ghost of LL said:

He's made the calculation that he'd prefer to run against Harris in 2028 than try to run as a Republican after a second Trump term.

He's not wrong.  And he won't be the last one to make that calculation.  I guarantee you we'll see other high Republican officeholders who might have presidential aspirations subtly undermine Trump over the next 29 days.

The story on how he wasn't taking calls from Biden/Harris was starting to pick up steam.  If this next Hurricane is as bad as it looks, I think he realized it would damage his career more than Harris's.  

1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

The best betting markets are hammering the obvious wrong bets like those betting on Trump to win the popular vote or Kari Lake winning AZ. you don't get rich but it's easy money.

The only two risks that I see. 1) Something drastic occurs (i.e. harris announces she's dropping out) and you're late to get out of the bet.  2) A site like Polymarket goes offline and doesn't pay out.

Three things about the betting markets:

1. As with any binary prediction on the election, it can't be wrong.  If Trump has a 1% chance of winning, and he does, then that 1% paid off.  

2. It's basically the median opinion of the public.  If I trusted the public's median opinion, then I wouldn't have to worry about this election.  Roughly half the voting public thinks Donald Trump was a competent President.  It boggles the fucking mind how stupid we are.  The gambling sites are pulling from the same absurd think tank.  What kind of odds can I get that in the next year, it will be announced that we have diplomatic relations with several alien species?  

3. Even the people that bet on those markets believe they are wrongs on the odds.  There would be no reason to bet otherwise.  

1 hour ago, Biff Tannen said:

Fact checking is now not fair to them. They should be able to make things up out of whole cloth because their entire strategy is just to lie about everything. This is where the GOP is today. 

Denial is a hell of a drug.  I've seen incredibly intelligent people grasp demonic possession as an alternative to a reality they didn't want to face.  And boy is reality something the GOP doesn't want to face.

  • Popular Post

Oh, man. Gettin' a little dusty in here again ...

 

6 hours ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

Polymarket has Trump at 53% to win? I don't get it.

What new voters has he gained? Maybe young Latinos. The machismo bit seems to appeal to a lot of them. And they feel more native than ever. Many don't speak Spanish today. I'm surprised how the 'close the border' appeals to many Latinos. And Catholic I guess.

Peter Thiel is a huge investor in Polymarket. Polymarket is also an offshore, unregulated company. It could be Thiel putting his finger on the scale for his favored candidate. Especially with Elon pimping it. It could also just be crypto bros  (Ethereum) being crypto bros.

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