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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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1 minute ago, David Dennison said:

I posted that just for you.

Kamala Harris Thank You GIF by The Democrats

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16 minutes ago, safe sex said:

I actually did dress up to vote lmao

I probably shouldn't post this but I'm not very smart.

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Edited by Bullneck

4 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

 

Only making this worse is in same sit down he talks about slashing regulations. 

4 minutes ago, Bullneck said:

I probably shouldn't post this but I'm not very smart.

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Fucking how dare you; I have much better taste in style and fashion than Sinema.

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1 hour ago, hookemATL said:

As a delegate of the HCC (Honky Cracker Coalition), can you please 1) describe this term and 2) notate if this term is to be used only by the black community?

Coonin has a couple meanings in the black community. It means a step and fetch type of reinforcement of black stereotypes, but usually done over the top. There is a spectrum. We would call Clarence Thomas one. However, the purest form of the word is its original intention and fits Antonio Brown to a tee. Him being up there calling white folks crackers for no reason is coonin. Read below. BTW, coon is the worst thing a black person could call another black person. If you hear that word exchanged between black folks in a confrontation clear the area. Lol.

https://jimcrowmuseum.ferris.edu/coon/homepage.htm

 

Listen to Willie D

 

 

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4 hours ago, aggie08 said:

I don't know. I don't think the election is a "lock", but I think there's decent cause for optimism. I think the Midwest and PA is pretty safely in the Harris camp. Win those, and she basically only needs one of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, or North Carolina.

it's been stated but bears repeating. the electoral college is fucking stupid, but the electoral math works out nicely for the good guys this time around.

as js and others have said, michigan + wisconsin + pennsylvania (along with the expecteds) gets us right to 270. that's without arizona, georgia, nevada, north carolina, or any other "hope" states.

would it be nice to win nc? of course. would keeping it competitive in ohio, florida, and texas be a harbinger of good things to come? obviously. but don't get it twisted - the rust belt is everything. that's why kamala has been hammering mi/wi/pa. trump, along with stops in ca, ny, and il, is now in north carolina. nc is important - to him. if he loses there, it's pretty much done. but that list of states, while nice to have, don't add up the way the rust belt does.

get mi/wi/pa and it's all over but the crying. vote like your ability to say "fuck your feelings" to the deplorables depends on it, because it absolutely does.

 

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https://www.270towin.com/

 

4 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

What is this dude talking about...lol

5 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 


what the fuck is this supposed to mean? 

2 hours ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

This is one where I think the data is definitely off.

Posited:

1) people tend to gamble for the result they want to happen.

2) males gamble on predictit more than females.

3) this year will see uniquely high gender polarization.

= predictit saying Trump will win handily.

All the gamblers I know, and I know a lot, skew hard right.  It’s illegal most places, so gamblers are inherently libertarian.  You can’t use a pool of gamblers to predict an election.  It’s classic sample bias.

1 minute ago, Firemans4Horn said:


what the fuck is this supposed to mean? 

Dems are turning out their voters now (or getting mail returns from) who are more likely to vote/typically vote, which means they have to do more work to get their low propensity voters to show up later, while GOP is turning out low propensity voters/don't usually vote now, which means they have less work to do later to turn out their high propensity voters.

But that data seems weird.  No one else is tracking that kind of data that I know of. 

7 minutes ago, Thatguy said:

What is this dude talking about...lol

The Girdusky dude is an oddball. He’s on Abby’s show on CNN a lot. I think he was once a Kerry voter, but all he does is whine about “what about this!” And never really makes a point. I think js explained it well as to what he was talking about. It’s the first time I’ve seen something like that be used as a positive talking point, but Rs are looking for anything right now. 

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Dems are turning out their voters now (or getting mail returns from) who are more likely to vote/typically vote, which means they have to do more work to get their low propensity voters to show up later, while GOP is turning out low propensity voters/don't usually vote now, which means they have less work to do later to turn out their high propensity voters.

But that data seems weird.  No one else is tracking that kind of data that I know of. 

assuming dems have a better ground game, or at least a bigger budget to support one, this shouldn't matter at all. whereas if you had limited funds (which the gop seems to), then it would make more sense for them to throw resources at lower-propensity voters, so maybe somebody with a brain is in charge there.

i don't think anyone expects dems to just go after likely dem voters and disregard everybody else.

another interesting thing i heard (anecdotally, of course), is about former nevada residents who moved to ca during/since covid because of all the layoffs. most are still registered in nv, and all of them are voting kamala. i wonder how hard it is to poll nv because of all the displaced residents.

1 minute ago, henrygandorf said:

assuming dems have a better ground game, or at least a bigger budget to support one, this shouldn't matter at all. whereas if you had limited funds (which the gop seems to), then it would make more sense for them to throw resources at lower-propensity voters, so maybe somebody with a brain is in charge there.

i don't think anyone expects dems to just go after likely dem voters and disregard everybody else.

another interesting thing i heard (anecdotally, of course), is about former nevada residents who moved to ca during/since covid because of all the layoffs. most are still registered in nv, and all of them are voting kamala. i wonder how hard it is to poll nv because of all the displaced residents.

Dems have the better ground game - the Culinary Union does the heavy lifting. 

The think is - Nevada is just weird.   The largest population center in the state (Vegas) that decides the whole thing is full of people who work overnight shifts and odd hours. And everyone gets a ballot in the mail.  

Also recall that the weekends are not the heaviest voting days in Clark due to the industry being its most busy Friday to Sunday. It’s midweek I think?

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2 hours ago, Js1 said:

but I am also moving to Denver on Saturday

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Reading some reports of folks being heckled by MAGAs outside of voting locations in Wilco, be safe out there.

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LFG! Arbor Walk location had almost no wait, fyi.

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19 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Dems are turning out their voters now (or getting mail returns from) who are more likely to vote/typically vote, which means they have to do more work to get their low propensity voters to show up later, while GOP is turning out low propensity voters/don't usually vote now, which means they have less work to do later to turn out their high propensity voters.

But that data seems weird.  No one else is tracking that kind of data that I know of. 


 

 

Not gonna lie, PA is the only thing keeping me sane. Which is insane in and of itself

1 minute ago, G650 said:

Not gonna lie, PA is the only thing keeping me sane. Which is insane in and of itself

The weird thing is, I don't feel like anyone (besides the shitty media re: the polls) is blasting the warning signs and tomorrow is 2 weeks out.

It feels like at this point in 2016, you already had Van Jones, Debbie Dingell in Michigan, Carville, etc. blasting the alarms and we all ignored them because lol, it's Trump, no way he wins (and the polls were wrong, for many reasons). 

Democrats aren't usually quiet when it's time to freak out.  And yet, besides the internet rabble, it doesn't feel like 2016.

Meanwhile, you have GOPers flipping out about Trump's mental decline/off the rails townhalls and interviews, the district polling signs, etc. 

Robust 30 minute line at downtown Austin city hall, but no stickers left when I went.

6 minutes ago, austingirl said:

LFG! Arbor Walk location had almost no wait, fyi.

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The best thing about voting there is I can pick up paint and whiskey in a single stop.  

8 minutes ago, elguapo said:

Reading some reports of folks being heckled by MAGAs outside of voting locations in Wilco, be safe out there.

I’m finished with holding back in any way. If someone gets the slightest bit sideways with me while I’m voting, they are getting the STERNESTLY written letter of all time. 
 

and maybe a gaping head wound. 

Edited by hookemATL
I know it’s not a word, I’m just tired yall

2 minutes ago, bonnieblue said:

no stickers left when I went.

then what the hell is the point?

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1 minute ago, hookemATL said:

I’m finished with holding back in any way. If someone gets the slightest bit sideways with me while I’m voting, they are getting the STERNESTLY written letter of all time. 
 

and maybe a gaping head wound. 

Last election there were magatards trying to intimidate voters at the highland location.

AFD cruised up in their big fucking fire truck and unleashed a fire hydrant right at them.

It was glorious.

1 minute ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

then what the hell is the point?

Exactly. I’m just going to have to vote again. I think they were en route to refilling, but I had to leave.

11 minutes ago, elguapo said:

Reading some reports of folks being heckled by MAGAs outside of voting locations in Wilco, be safe out there.

which locations?

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1 minute ago, MissingInAction said:

Last election there were magatards trying to intimidate voters at the highland location.

AFD cruised up in their big fucking fire truck and unleashed a fire hydrant right at them.

It was glorious.

im horny GIF

54 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

 

Bobby is definitely into the women things

17 minutes ago, elguapo said:

Reading some reports of folks being heckled by MAGAs outside of voting locations in Wilco, be safe out there.

Time to not be nice. 

Did a drive by of my voting location at lunch. The Harris county website said 11 minutes, but the parking lot was jammed and the line had to be an easy 100-150 deep. Line was probably almost as big as a football field. I'll keep trying until it's at a managable length. I did use the league of women voter website to print my pre-selected ballots for my votes with all the correct Judge tallies. 

1 minute ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Time to not be nice. 

Captain America I Understood That Reference GIF - Captain ...

 

I'm spoiling for some conflict. Hell, I might instigate it regardless. 

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All this democracy is getting me fucking fired up.

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3 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Did a drive by of my voting location at lunch. The Harris county website said 11 minutes, but the parking lot was jammed and the line had to be an easy 100-150 deep. Line was probably almost as big as a football field. I'll keep trying until it's at a managable length. I did use the league of women voter website to print my pre-selected ballots for my votes with all the correct Judge tallies. 

7am is the move. Was maybe 15 minutes or so

BACK TO BACK CAPTAIN AMERICA REFERENCES MEAN WE GET THE WINTER SOLDIER eLEVATOR FIGHT SCENE!!!!!

 

Edited by Bateshorn

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Whole family voted today. No cool stickers in Collin County. Place was very busy.
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Carver had no wait, no hecklers at 10am.  In and out in five minutes.

4 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Time to not be nice. 

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Just now, Js1 said:

I'll keep trying until it's at a managable length.

shot player GIF

That Nevada stuff, the other nerds pretty shot it down as nothing from a math perspective 

Well that sounds like something I’d say, but for once, wasn’t me 

Normally my early voting spot is in and out with no line.  I also usually wait until the middle of the week, but I went today and it took 40 minutes.

4 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

shot player GIF

Who knew the actual phrase was Arnie’s armory. 
 

And i just  caught a neg from 75 for posting that I voted.  That’s weird. 

I used to read the Economist regularly but it's been a while. They always had a bit of a lean to the right, primarily on fiscal and economic policy, sometimes on war, although with a somewhat unique British character. When did they go full MAGA? I've seen some social media posts from them recently just shitting all over Harris and praising trump and using clickbait headlines and not the more evenhanded intellectual headings I seem to recall.

Edited by 'stache

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