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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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  • Popular Post
4 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

 

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

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1 hour ago, Pancho said:

 

Trump has worn everybody out including his own sorry ass.

 

 

 

 

1 hour ago, Chopper said:

I'm trying to figure out a smooth way to shoehorn in that yesterday I learned that there's a Vaglick Drive near Beaumont but my aimless attempts to shoehorn jokes have previously failed, so I'll just state the fact.

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We live in great days.

Ralston is being a fucking drama queen right now.

Just post it and be done with it. He's worse than a $9.95er

  • Popular Post

musk is warming up his jet to gtfo ….

 

1 minute ago, RomaVicta said:

Trump has worn everybody out including his own sorry ass.

 

If he’s seen the numbers and accepted the fact that he won’t be winning at the ballots, he won’t have the ability to fake it one more day in front of people h despises. 
 

He’s already working on the stealing of it, and probably wanted to cancel today’s events and had to be told why he needs to do them still. 

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Ralston is being a fucking drama queen right now.

Just post it and be done with it. He's worse than a $9.95er

Just saw that too. He’s enjoying this spotlight too much.

I'm setting us at defcon 2 now for Trump dropping the hard R. 

1 hour ago, kevwun said:

When I was a kid, the Chili's Baby Back Ribs commercial convinced me that they were possibly the greatest food on earth.  I begged my parents to go to one for months so I could try them.  They finally gave in.  I took one bite and my childhood ended.  They were fucking terrible.  They were baked in an oven after being drenched in liquid smoke.  I couldn't even eat them.  I'm honestly shocked they didn't make me eat the whole damn rack after whining about them for months.  I guess they took pity on me.

Go to Bartlett's and get their ribs. It will restore a little bit of your lost childhood.

35 minutes ago, Chopper said:

Comparing gender of NYT's "likely voters" from the crosstabs of their most recent (and final) poll compared to the 2020 exit poll. Pink = women, blue = men. You can draw your own conclusions.

image.png.a9d9befec1e4bcc9279e7f96dcad0929.png

https://www.emptywheel.net/2024/11/03/nyts-sample-versus-early-vote/

1. It will be much worse than that

2. Kamala Harris will win a clean sweep of the swing states.

6 minutes ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

3, x

2, 1

x:  The only Asian Nerd ever at a Trump Rally

I'm sure there are plenty of my Vietnamese people who show up at Trump rallies

L. O. L.

Internal memo leaking already.  Baselining everything to 2020 early vote, which is a bad idea.

 

 

5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Ralston is being a fucking drama queen right now.

Just post it and be done with it. He's worse than a $9.95er

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31 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

I don't know. I think it is supposed to be showing they are under-polling women, except in Wisconsin.

But I am not smart enough to figure it out for sure.

My parents made me come.

Gross thought, but likely accurate.

10 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

musk is warming up his jet to gtfo ….

 

Live look at Elons Lawyer:

Season 4 Episode 21 GIF by The Simpsons

4 minutes ago, speed817 said:

I'm sure there are plenty of my Vietnamese people who show up at Trump rallies

But we are here to help the Vietnamese, because inside every [Vietnamese person] there is a good American trying to get out.

8 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

I'm setting us at defcon 2 now for Trump dropping the hard R. 

I can remember a time when R’s thought the solution to their problems was to “Let Trump Be Trump”.

 

Funny, that’s a refrain you don’t hear much anymore.

2 minutes ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

But we are here to help the Vietnamese, because inside every [Vietnamese person] there is a good American trying to get out.

Is this what the duality of man was all about?

  • Popular Post

 

 

13 minutes ago, Pam Cummings said:

Go to Bartlett's and get their ribs. It will restore a little bit of your lost childhood.

If I'm at Bartlett's best believe I'm getting the flying chicken platter

9 minutes ago, Js1 said:

L. O. L.

Internal memo leaking already.  Baselining everything to 2020 early vote, which is a bad idea.

 

 

That totally tracks when they use 2020 as a baseline for fuel prices and inflation ignoring the underlying 

 

 

Chili's is the only fast casual restaurant to not see a post-covid contraction, and their efficiency and consistency in quality are primary factors

1 hour ago, bolverk said:

@MissingInAction You got some 'splaining to do about you concubinin' teenage boys and racistly raging against a poor security guard.

Pictured: O'Neill's new mugshot. According to documents, he was arrested for beating up a security guard and calling him the N-word twice while drunk at a hotel bar. He has denied using the slur

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Isn't he the same asshole that got banned from American Airlines right after the pandemic because he wouldn't wear a mask onboard the plane?

3 minutes ago, Michael Knight said:

 

 

Chili's is the only fast casual restaurant to not see a post-covid contraction, and their efficiency and consistency in quality are primary factors

When your quality was already shit, it's pretty easy to be consistent.

4 minutes ago, nolongerU2horn said:

If I'm at Bartlett's best believe I'm getting the flying chicken platter

Prime rib, imo.

  • Popular Post

https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-isnt-playing-to-win-the-election-hes-plotting-to-steal-it/

 

Quote

Team Trump know they have lost. They have known for a while. They are not playing to win. They’re playing to steal the election. 

During the past week alone, they have released as many fake polls—75 polls created not reflect public opinion but to serve a political purpose—as they have during the entire period since Kamala Harris became the Democratic candidate. 

 

 

Quote

These polls are not intended to have an effect on the outcome of the election. Rather, their purpose is to tee up Big Lie 2.0, Trump’s argument that he was ahead, the polls showed it and that any Harris victory has to be the result of cheating. 

While such polls are costly, estimates suggest that tens of millions have been spent on politically-biased purpose polls during the course of this campaign, and require an enormous amount of coordination, they are by no means the only part of the extensive effort by Trump, his campaign, the MAGA GOP and the enemy governments who are supporting their efforts to lay the groundwork for a massive series of challenges to the 2024 election results.

 

 

 

Quote

These challenges have included everything from Trump social media posts this past week suggesting that Pennsylvania election officials are rigging the election against him, to scores of lawsuits across the country seeking to get voters stripped from voting rolls (which will provide important fodder for future claims to delay certification)—or, as in the case of Georgia, to stop the state from processing ballots from drop boxes to the spread of disinformation about the elections (including fictitious stories created, peddled and promoted by Russian intelligence). 

 

Spoiler

Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg has designated the people behind the purpose polls as “red wave” pollsters because some of them were behind the misperception that Republicans would do far better than they did in the 2022 election. He asserts that such pollsters dropped 17 polls on Sunday alone and at least 75 during the past week. His estimate it is that something like 125 such polls have been circulated since August. 

He also counts “prediction markets” like Polymarket, funded by Trump supporters like Peter Thiel, as part of this overall effort to create a misperception about the state of the campaign and to “shape the election narrative for Trump.”

Political analyst Rachel Bitecofer tweeted on this phenomenon, “When Republicans lose on Tuesday they‘ll be shocked bc all the polls they paid for promised them they’d win. That‘s a feature, not a bug, you the ’flood the zone’ strategy Rs are using. They need people expect to win to get them to commit felonies for Trump.” 

Both the New York Times and The New Republic have reported on aspects of what the right is doing with these polls, but the implications and intent of the GOP initiative has gotten neither the attention nor traction they warrant. 

Rosenberg gets specific when he makes the case about these pollsters and the overall effort to pollute and distort the public’s perception of what is happening. 

For example, he observes, “TIPP, the pollster who has been doing a daily tracking poll and played a major role in tipping all the averages and forecasters to Trump has as its corporate slogan, “talent on loan from God”—Rush Limbaugh’s tag line.“ He also urges voters to “just look at their website—it is far right fever dream stuff.”

As for the emergence of Polymarket, he says, “This is a very serious issue. It is an off-shore crypto company funded by Thiel and has spent enormous sums of money spreading their pro-Trump betting market as a legit window into the election. They are a very bad new actor in all of this and what most people don’t realize is that not only is the company not American but despite the amount of publicity the market gets, no American can trade the presidential stuff on their platform legally.”

The authorities should be aware of such foreign actors, and the ties some of them—like Elon Musk—have to Vladimir Putin and the Russian government. There should be a similar awareness of the activity of Russian intelligence in the marketplace, and the fact that some of the work done for Trump by entities like Polymarket (or Twitter) may constitute illegally in-kind or foreign campaign contributions. When this election is over, if Trump’s efforts are rebuffed, major investigations by both the intelligence community and the Department of Justice are clearly called for.

Despite such corrupt initiatives and their origins, major polling averages that are used by mainstream media regularly, have incorporated the results from this partisan pollsters into the averages they tout daily. It is intellectually and methodologically dishonest and it is deeply misleading. Those who’ve sold the averages as gospel or even credible are guilty of the worst sort of journalistic malpractice.

The recent surge in this activity, of course, has not been enough to counter the reality that the momentum is with the Harris campaign. Independent polls (like the Iowa Selzer poll) are showing this. Turnout among groups that are seen to be trending pro-Harris—notably women—is also showing this. Currently, with over 75 million votes already cast, women represent eight percent more of the electorate than do men. 

That is among the hard data reasons that Republicans are already moving on to Plan B. Trump has prefaced every election effort with a face-saving argument that the polls are rigged against him. But as we saw since the election in 2020, Trump and his team have made their post-campaign strategies even more central to their efforts than has been the traditional business of running for president and seeking to win the support of voters the old-fashioned way.

In fact, the GOP plan, like Trump in 2021, views the will of the people as a distraction to be overcome. Knowing they can’t win on Election Day, they are seeking to win in the courts, with the aid of political leaders including those in the Congress, and, if necessary, as on Jan. 6, through acts of violence. They are desperate. They will do anything to win. And if that undoes democracy in America, that’s just fine as that has been their overall goal from the beginning.

 

47 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

I don't know. I think it is supposed to be showing they are under-polling women, except in Wisconsin.

But I am not smart enough to figure it out for sure.

My parents made me come.

 

48 minutes ago, Firemans4Horn said:


image.thumb.png.8df84dd0826f4e63f428bbeef7e5443a.png

 

Fuck my life

 

42 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Trump always has the weirdest collection of people behind him when they're trying to appeal to a certain demo.

 

40 minutes ago, South Austin said:

I'm guessing that weirdos are just the kind of people who are paid to attend a Trump rally.

Ive become convinced that several hundred attendees to his events, particularly those behind him, are paid to be there. I just can’t figure out how they’ve done it without it getting out that so many are paid. 

Edited by Dbeasy

16 hours ago, TwiceHorn said:

Make sure the whole thing loaded.  Mine had 51,000 entries.

So I went back and did that. Weird- it stopped at exactly 5,000 on mine. 

I’m sorry but did I just read that republicans think there isn’t a strong democratic turnout ? Wtf

They are desperate for good news and it's the only possible way to spin early voting numbers and demographics as being good for Trump.

Edited by kevwun

No COVID, remove a bunch of ballot drop boxes, cut down the number of early voting locations and claim victory for early voting numbers. Advantage aggy

2 minutes ago, Clintonaldo said:

I’m sorry but did I just read that republicans think there isn’t a strong democratic turnout ? Wtf

They are comparing the early vote to the 2020 early vote and seeing that it is older, whiter, and more rural than 2020. They are ignoring the pandemic and that Trump told all of his supporters to wait until election day to vote in 2020 but this year has been telling them to vote early.

3 minutes ago, heso said:

They are comparing the early vote to the 2020 early vote and seeing that it is older, whiter, and more rural than 2020. They are ignoring the pandemic and that Trump told all of his supporters to wait until election day to vote in 2020 but this year has been telling them to vote early.

They're falling into the opposite trap of Dems in 2022 - the early vote was much more Republican friendly, but Election Day was much more Dem friendly. 

Dems were freaking out headed into E-Day 2022. 

Edited by Js1

I finally got to the end of that Pete video from earlier and saw the results. 

Goddamnit bunch of motherfucking idiots. 

What a pathetic loser

  • Popular Post

Anecdote: I'm told my father-in-law, who twice before voted for Trump and who've I've had some heated conversations with in the past, is done with him. I don't think he'll vote for Harris, you know since liberals are still out for world domination, but will not vote for Trump. I have to believe his support peaked in 2020. I don't think he hits near the number of votes he did then. And I think Harris gets more than Biden. Let's make it happen. 

27 minutes ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

But we are here to help the Vietnamese, because inside every [Vietnamese person] there is a good American trying to get out.

The guy who cuts my hair is a post Vietnam war immigrant, and the only thing he has latched onto politically in the decades  he’s lived here is that the GOP is anti-communist and the Democrats are communist.    When asked about the GOP and Russia, he looked me right in the eye and said “Russia is no longer communist.”

His journey to the GOP took no more effort than calling Democrats the “C” word because they did not support the war in Vietnam. And like many Vietnamese, he is a stauch Catholic, and totally onboard the one issue abortion train.

The Democrats started and escalated the Vietnam War and the Republicans pulled our forces out and did nothing while the North steamrolled the South.

4 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

Anecdote: I'm told my father-in-law, who twice before voted for Trump and who've I've had some heated conversations with in the past, is done with him. I don't think he'll vote for Harris, you know since liberals are still out for world domination, but will not vote for Trump. I have to believe his support peaked in 2020. I don't think he hits near the number of votes he did then. And I think Harris gets more than Biden. Let's make it happen. 

I don't know if there is a term for this but I was listening to Jason Bateman, of all people, talk about it this morning. People who will tell pollsters that they are voting for Trump, because they have in the past and they're certainly not voting for Harris. But they hate the fucker now and just won't vote. 

Atlas is releasing ANOTHER batch of polls tonight. Literally can’t wait for them to be banned for obvious spamming. You cannot produce accurate results polling every single day, somehow 

1 hour ago, immamac said:

I want to leave election day thread to be exclusively for results and after they start rolling in. 

Set it for 5PM central tomorrow because that's when the first votes will start getting released if it happens earlier we will open it accordingly. 

It’s an election thread not HEB, Motherfucker! I want to speak to the mgr of this place. 

  • Popular Post

By “random”, I of course meant pre-selected…

3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas is releasing ANOTHER batch of polls tonight. Literally can’t wait for them to be banned for obvious spamming. You cannot produce accurate results polling every single day, somehow 

Well yeah. Need to confirm that Trump was winning today, so that tomorrow’s results can’t be possible. 

  • Popular Post

 

  • Popular Post

I know I'm wishcasting but...

I don't know any typical Democrats are who are so turned off by Harris that they would consider voting for Trump, but I know several typical Republicans (myself included) who are repulsed by Trump to the point of either not voting, or even voting for Harris.  Multiply that by thousands and let's see how things turn out.

Just my personal anecdote from N. Dallas burbs.

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