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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

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Posted
1 hour ago, CooterBrown said:

I don't even like Jason Isbell but fuck it, I like Jason Isbell.

I like that he's comfortable enough with his not-insubstantial wealth (soon cut in half) to tell the haters to fuck off.

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Posted
1 minute ago, henrygandorf said:

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

They don't like the results when they do that, either.

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Posted

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

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Posted
3 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

It's essentially the Selzer model in Iowa.  Perfect?  No.  Needs a little massaging to correct for small samples?  Yes.  Reasonably accurate?  Yes.

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Posted
1 minute ago, Stilicho said:

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

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The night before an election. "Hey I have some news that might devastate my party, but go ahead and spread it around the internet."

And Liberals have all given up on the Democrats and love Trump now...except liberal white women for some reason. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Dahobbs said:

What a weird thing to ask. Although given Trump's attempts to thwart democracy before, I guess it is a legitimate question. 

I meant how might it affect precious metal prices, but I didn't eat enough lead paint chips this morning.

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Posted
24 minutes ago, Doc Sam Beckett said:

Finally catch up with the thread, only to find out Immamac never secured the surly national 10% off coopin at Chili's. What a bunch of bullshit 

 

That's what happens when you put aggy in charge.

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Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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Wow, I can't believe she let you repeat 'some of what she said' while not even using her name.  This is one brave imaginary bitch.  

Edited by ChiTownDoc
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Posted
3 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

The night before an election. "Hey I have some news that might devastate my party, but go ahead and spread it around the internet."

And Liberals have all given up on the Democrats and love Trump now...except liberal white women for some reason. 

Porta-Potty Girl meets Craps Milf in Urban Meyer’s hotel room. 

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Posted
56 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.

He's had it a coin toss the whole way.  He's also called out the pollsters for herding as a cya exercise.  He doesn't run any polls, only aggregates.

John King on CNN with a map preview right now.  Hopefully this means the vicious rumor that he's going to be sidelined tomorrow night is false.

Posted
Just now, Js1 said:

Likely another update in the morning but not sure 

To be clear, we already breached the D/R firewall and are only 3k shy of the estimate for D/R/I (although that's a very elastic estimate to begin with)

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Posted
Just now, chainsaw said:

To be clear, we already breached the D/R firewall and are only 3k shy of the estimate for D/R/I (although that's a very elastic estimate to begin with)

Yes 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Brian Fantana said:

@Pancho the game day thread doesn't unlock until 6PM, idk if you intended that or not.

I did it. We want discussion post polls closing there. 

We will also have a much slower moving updates only from certain posters thread for big news similar to signing day. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, immamac said:

I did it. We want discussion post polls closing there. 

We will also have a much slower moving updates only from certain posters thread for big news similar to signing day. 

Understood.

Posted
46 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

 

42 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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If any of this is true, we will know EXACTLY where this country stands. And what we have to defeat going forward. 

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Posted
Just now, Chewbacca said:

Nothing says 'we're winning' like pre-emptive lawsuits!

He’s already talking about rigged voting machines at his evening rally 

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Posted
1 minute ago, Biff Tannen said:

 

If any of this is true, we will know EXACTLY where this country stands. And what we have to defeat going forward. 

Narrator:  It's all made up bullshit.

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Posted
53 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Sadly, Helo is doing what is needed in this thread. I'd be horrified if the reverse was happening. 

Shit he picked Texas to win 38-0 this weekend.

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Posted
49 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

So it's actually Kamala +9 according to my History degree.

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Posted
4 hours ago, Js1 said:

Man they are REALLY pumping these Women for Trump cunts to the front of my rally and mic.  

They know how bad the numbers are. 

Thank God we got to hear from Tiffany for the very first time the day before the election - so she can persuade liberal women that her daddy doesn’t know anything about project 2025 -  or the fact that his running-mate wrote the forward to the book.

 

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Posted
13 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Dressing up as a Harris supporter to harass them is one way to deal with your childhood trauma, I guess 

 

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Get your fucking ass kicked in Philly, you will.

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Posted
5 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

Nothing says 'we're winning' like pre-emptive lawsuits!

Shocker 

Quote

"Despite the (Milwaukee Election Commission) maintaining open communications with the RNC, including meeting as recently as last night, it seems that filing a lawsuit was their goal all along," Election Commission Executive Director Paulina Gutiérrez said in a statement.

 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

Thank God we got to hear from Tiffany for the very first time the day before the election - so she can persuade liberal women that her daddy doesn’t know anything about project 2025 -  or the fact that his running-mate wrote the forward to the book.

 

Seems like a weird flex to me. Are we sure she is even in control of that account?

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

 

That’s still pretty awful for him. There’s def Midwest slippage that’s not being shown to us in the blue wall bc of the herding 

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