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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
1 hour ago, Js1 said:

Cook Political swing state project polls - WE SO BACK

AZ - Harris 50-47 (Gallego 54-41)

GA - Trump 48-47

MI- Harris 49-46 (Slotkin 50-46)

NC - Harris 49-46 (Stein 59-35)

NV - Harris 48-47 (Rosen 53-40)

PA - Harris 49-47 (Casey 52-45)

WI - Harris 48-46 (Baldwin 49-47)

I heard a Democratic consultant on NPR this morning use the term "poller coaster."  I chuckled.

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Posted

So barring scandals or unplanned/unannounced events or fat fuck dropping dead, the only big ticket items left that the candidates directly control between now and November 6 are:

60 Minutes interview with Harris (10/7)
Dueling Univision townhalls (Trump 10/8, Harris 10/10)
"Second Presidential Debate" that may just be Harris debating an empty podium or a town hall (10/23) if the network goes through with it still 

Posted
Just now, South Austin said:

With our luck, Trump will be at the Texas v. Georgia game with Ted Cruz.

He's in Houston today for a private fundraiser with Tilman.  Hoping he doesn't go to the Astros game. 

Posted
6 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

 

"When someone allows people to have a platform"

Didn't Vance spend like half the debate last night crying about censorship?

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Posted
4 minutes ago, kevwun said:

I get like 3 or 4 texts a day.  It is a beating.

You have to text back Stop.  Can't just delete and report as spam.

1 minute ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

I'd like for mega-donor and corporate sponsorship of politicians to be banned.  Then I'd be fine with being bludgeoned by fundraising texts by politicians every hour.

laughs in SCOTUS

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

You have to text back Stop.  Can't just delete and report as spam.

laughs in SCOTUS

Yeah, I donate and then immediately STOP the messages and send the emails to junk. 

Like I did my part, leave me alone.  Like your algorithm can't see that I am a monthly recurring donor? Stop asking me for more, go ask a one-time donor to make another contribution. 

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Posted
11 minutes ago, kevwun said:

I get like 3 or 4 texts a day.  It is a beating.

I got three texts just during the debate.  

Apparently Kamala can’t do this without me, which I’m totally honored by of course, but I wonder what plan B is when I ignored it.  

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Posted
2 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

I got three texts just during the debate.  

Apparently Kamala can’t do this without me, which I’m totally honored by of course, but I wonder what plan B is when I ignored it.  

And she’s losing in all the polls and only an extra $5 can turn it around. Just exhausting.

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Posted

Feels like we are entering the endgame with this election. Debates are done, minds have been made up. I don't think an October surprise will have any affect, we are pelted every waking minute with so much bullshit that nothing is gonna truly stick at this point. 

IMO it's all about turnout and judgment day for voters. Get busy living, or get busy dying. 

 

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Posted
7 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

 

“The only reason dozens of Germans plotted to assassinate Adolf Hitler is because the mainstream media kept telling people that he was Hitler.”

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Posted

It's like with anything you try to ask Trump or Vance about, they can talk and whine about their grievances but don't you dare ask them about it because they're focused on the future...while bitching non-stop about the past. It's an easy question. Your candidate didn't want to leave office last time. Why should voters think he won't do that again when he can't even agree that he lost the first time even though everyone outside of MAGA knows he did? That's why the Walz line was the best of the night. It was a damning non-answer. 

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Posted
8 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Feels like we are entering the endgame with this election. Debates are done, minds have been made up. I don't think an October surprise will have any affect, we are pelted every waking minute with so much bullshit that nothing is gonna truly stick at this point. 

IMO it's all about turnout and judgment day for voters. Get busy living, or get busy dying. 

 

This. There’s not much left but a scandal. Maybe Trump gets dinged for not showing up Oct 23 and Harris gets the stage to herself 

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Posted
26 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Feels like we are entering the endgame with this election. Debates are done, minds have been made up. I don't think an October surprise will have any affect, we are pelted every waking minute with so much bullshit that nothing is gonna truly stick at this point. 

IMO it's all about turnout and judgment day for voters. Get busy living, or get busy dying. 

 

If this dock strike goes more than a couple weeks, that's an October surprise that will have teeth. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

If this dock strike goes more than a couple weeks, that's an October surprise that will have teeth. 

This might be my biggest concern right now for Kamala.  If in the next 3-4 weeks the strike affects the prices of goods (food, tv’s, cars, etc…) then people will listen to the lies of Trump and the right even more when they blame her for this happening and that Trump would have cut a deal with the dockworkers to make everything great. 

Posted
3 minutes ago, Beantown Express 2.0 said:

 If in the next 3-4 weeks the strike affects the prices of goods (food, tv’s, cars, etc…) then people will listen to the lies of Trump and the right even more when they blame her for this happenin

I think the cake is mostly baked there-Trump will blame Harris regardless and his voters will follow suit.  
 

Harris actually has the potential to message this as “the higher prices you see because of the strike are just a taste of what you’re going to see under the Trump tariff plan.”  Her voters will agree with it and the media will run with whatever they think gets their viewers pissed off enough to watch more pundits blathering.

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Posted
2 hours ago, South Austin said:

With our luck, Trump will be at the Texas v. Georgia game with Ted Cruz.

@immamac please don't ban me for what I'm about to say.

 

 

But @South Austin you sir, can eat a bag of bob stoops dicks and respectfully die in a fire for even saying this!

2 hours ago, Hiphopopotamos said:

Waltz going on a ‘pop culture’ podcast as part of his media blitz. Sounds like it is recording in California, so not Rogan. 

Sheeesh Walz going on Talk Tuah?

Posted

Cygnal (R) has Trump only up 51-45 in Iowa. Shockingly weak and could have down ballot effects in 2 congressional districts. 

It’s October, so the late month Selzer poll should tell the story, but this is only 2 off her September margin for Trump. Iowa shifting a few points left could mean the same for the Blue Wall 

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Posted
8 minutes ago, DaysOff said:


Barack. Hussein. Obama.

Texted me last night. Beat that.

Why would we care that some guy from Nigeria texted you.  I got a text from Tim Walz during the debate last night so it must have been when he wasn’t speaking.  That’s how important I am!

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Posted (edited)
19 hours ago, kevwun said:

Their entire strategy is to funnel as much of the campaign money as possible in to the Trump family coffers.

From my perspective in PA as a 40 year old, middle class, suburban, white male, registered independent, I get FAR more messaging from Trump than from Harris. TV ads are probably 2-1. YouTube ads are probably 10-1. I get a physical mailer every single day. Those are probably 80% anti Harris, 20% anti Casey. I haven’t gotten a single mailer from the Dem candidates. 

There is absolutely zero pro Trump messaging. The message that I get bombarded with constantly is that there are marauding hordes of illegal immigrant criminals pillaging the country raping and murdering everyone while also getting everyone addicted to fentanyl, and Kamala is in favor of it. Somehow they’re also stealing everyone’s jobs, driving up the cost of homes, food, and healthcare. Also bob casey is responsible for inflation. 

They may not have people on the ground, but they are absolutely making sure people see their message. 

Edited by heso
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Posted
2 hours ago, 'stache said:

We seriously need some real campaign finance reform in this country. When Walz was announced I bought a yard sign and gave a little on top and ever since I get a dozen texts and emails every single day just begging for me to give a little bit more. I can definitely see people who don’t follow politics much but found a reason this cycle to give $25 being completely turned off and reverting to a “both sides” mentality because it really does feel just about money. No wonder voter participation in this country is so low.

Never given to a big charity have you?

"Oh, I like charity... let me send them $25"

Charity proceeds to spend $50 sending me mailers asking for more.

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Posted
From my perspective in PA as a 40 year old, middle class, suburban, white male, registered independent, I get FAR more messaging from Trump than from Harris. TV ads are probably 2-1. YouTube ads are probably 10-1. I get a physical mailer every single day. Those are probably 80% anti Harris, 20% anti Casey. I haven’t gotten a single mailer from the Dem candidates. 
There is absolutely zero pro Trump messaging. The message that I get bombarded with constantly is that there are marauding hordes of illegal immigrant criminals pillaging the country raping and murdering everyone while also getting everyone addicted to fentanyl, and Kamala is in favor of it. Somehow they’re also stealing everyone’s jobs, driving up the cost of homes, food, and healthcare. Also bob casey is responsible for inflation. 
They may not have people on the ground, but they are absolutely making sure people see their message. 

You’re not exactly the Democrats target audience - and like me (46, white, and live in the neighborhood where gov wheels went door knocking) - will not get much, if any effort at all.
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