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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
17 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

I mean... his 2-5% may actually be decisive. If there was anyway to ensure the majority of it went Harris's way, it may actually be worth offering him something, as repulsive as it may be. 

You don't want that goofball anywhere near the campaign.  Calling them a bunch of weirdos seems to have finally cracked the code.  Let them saddle up with the ultimate weirdo and see how that plays with the middle.

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Posted
48 minutes ago, The Dog said:

https://www.threads.net/@tomwellborn3/post/C-pueYPurdN/?xmt=AQGzIZq3e3QTfxPKqsu1_FUvM5XaeNnnf9piw1uxavL1Ng

Convicted felon Trump’s Arizona rallies are shrinking due to unpaid invoices and drained PAC funds. Once filling massive venues, he’s now confined to small spaces like Dream City Church, funded by others. While Harris fills stadiums, Trump’s financial mismanagement leaves him begging for scraps. 

he should start booking doubleheaders with the midget rasslin'

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Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

Is that  Nick Saban in the background?

Edited by F250
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Posted
49 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

I mean... his 2-5% may actually be decisive. If there was anyway to ensure the majority of it went Harris's way, it may actually be worth offering him something, as repulsive as it may be. 

arrested-development-michael.gif

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Posted
9 minutes ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

I posted this because I have absolutely been, in my professional career, the victim of both sexism/misogyny and the fucking glass ceiling.

It doesn't help when for years, people have used phrases like, "Cry like a girl" or "Throw like a girl" or "Hit like a girl" to insult male children. Honestly, enough is enough. Men have been in power for 200+ years here in the US. We have a country that is more than 50% female, and yet the makeup of Congress doesn't reflect that. Time to let us be in charge. 

I'm here for it. Y'all got this. 

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Posted
This is fucking infuriating. How the fuck do they get away with this shit. 
EDIT: Completely unacceptable for Biden to sit back and watch this happen. Cut off the damn money or set Bibi straight. FUCK.
 

They weren’t discussing Gaza. They were talking about whatever mob bosses talk about when they get together.
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Posted
Just now, Woland said:


They weren’t discussing Gaza. They were talking about whatever mob bosses talk about when they get together.

Trump is going to take credit for a cease fire. 

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Posted (edited)
19 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

"Ukraine War" huh? Thought they'd opt for War of Ukrainian Aggression.

Edited by aggie08
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Posted
49 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

 

He says “this is the greatest commercial they’ve ever had”, then proceeds to disparage the fuck out of the company/product by holding it up as the example of the negative impact of inflation.

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Posted
4 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:

Bibi doesn’t want a cease fire. He’s just playing Trump. 

He's exactly like trump.  Stay in office, or go to prison. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, hornmpa96 said:

Harris should offer him an Ambassador to Chad. That’s the final and best offer.

Dangling Chad.
 

45 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

Looks like a Matlock or Murder She Wrote watch party.
That should do it.

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Posted
48 minutes ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

I posted this because I have absolutely been, in my professional career, the victim of both sexism/misogyny and the fucking glass ceiling.

It doesn't help when for years, people have used phrases like, "Cry like a girl" or "Throw like a girl" or "Hit like a girl" to insult male children. Honestly, enough is enough. Men have been in power for 200+ years here in the US. We have a country that is more than 50% female, and yet the makeup of Congress doesn't reflect that. Time to let us be in charge. 

This.  A billion times this.

I believe America will be better off with women in places requiring strong, ethical leadership.  Especially in national level political elected positions.  Progress is far too slow, but if we can stave off this GQP fever, I have hope that a tsunami will hit soon enough.

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Posted
3 hours ago, Chopper said:

Project 2025 was going to be their agenda, until the whole "Weird" thing came along, people started reading about it, it polled horribly and they stopped talking about it and had the publisher delay the book's publishing. In its place they rushed out that one-pager.

Media Matters obtained an advance copy of Kevin Roberts’ book.

https://www.mediamatters.org/kevin-roberts/everything-you-need-know-about-kevin-roberts-delayed-book-dawns-early-light

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Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, Js1 said:

It’s going to be milked for a month. Also good there’s not herding

 

That's statistical bias. It'd be great if you would ask her about non-response bias and how she thinks that impacts the +/- of a poll. I'm not on twitter or I would. My understanding is it basically doubles the range of error: + or - 5 turns into = or minus 10. Non-response bias stems from the difficulty of getting a representative sample of people to answer a phone call or respond to a letter, i.e. to get 800 registered voters to respond we had to attempt to poll 1 million registered voters.  This is a recent academic study:  

https://www.gesis.org/fileadmin/admin/Dateikatalog/pdf/guidelines/nonresponse_bias_analysis_felderer_2024.pdf

I agree the vibe is with Harris. But I don't trust the polls.  

 

2 hours ago, Woland said:

They weren’t discussing Gaza. They were talking about whatever mob bosses talk about when they get together.

Peace is definitely not in either Drumpf's or Netanyahu's interest. You're right, that was 2 desperate criminals, scheming together.

edit to add: "the call took place a day before a crucial round of negotiations in Doha"

Edited by Chopper
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Posted
1 minute ago, Chopper said:

My understanding is it basically doubles the range of error: + or - 5 turns into = or minus 10. Non

If that’s accurate, then most polls are worthless as constantly within the true moe. 

Posted
2 hours ago, austingirl said:

I know it's foolish, but part of me likes to pretend that a person with a decent shot at becoming the next president might have a person or two on his team at least going through some of the normal motions of running a presidential campaign.

Trump's campaign could have put together some amazing research material on Harris or Walz, they could come up with a beautiful speech with some feisty one-liners.

But then Trump walks up to the podium and everything his campaign has done to prepare him for that night goes out the window as he starts rambling about electricity, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, how much dictators love him, and all the other greatest hits.

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Posted
46 minutes ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

This.  A billion times this.

I believe America will be better off with women in places requiring strong, ethical leadership.  Especially in national level political elected positions.  Progress is far too slow, but if we can stave off this GQP fever, I have hope that a tsunami will hit soon enough.

Counterpoint: Women Drivers

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

If that’s accurate, then most polls are worthless as constantly within the true moe. 

image.png.b6dccdb54163dd67dc86f60ded9d7eb0.png

Yes, I've heard it put that, unless the spread between the candidates is greater than 2x the statistical bias, an individual poll isn't telling you which candidate would win an election at the point in time of the poll.

Per Real Clear Polling, "It is almost definitionally difficult to detect partisan non-response bias, since you can’t talk to people who didn’t respond to polls." They have a brief discussion about non-response bias at the end of this article. https://www.realclearpolling.com/stories/analysis/does-jesse-watters-know-how-polls-work

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Posted
3 hours ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Milked for a month? That poll will be forgotten by next week if things keep generally trending for Kamala. 

3 hours ago, Js1 said:

Milked by the Trump campaign. 

How long ago did some nutcase take a shot at Trump?

Trump and Vance are going to say something really fucking stupid, either in the next day or two at whatever shindig Trump has planned, or clips of them saying stupid shit will be surfaced.  Trump and Co. are lurching along from one self-inflicted crisis to the next.

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Posted
9 minutes ago, Chopper said:

It's a good thing tiktok doesn't embed here but I'd allow an exception for this one. Clever 10 second ad for Harris by the Lincoln Project. Worth a click. 

Yeah it doesn’t have download enabled. I was disappointed with that but was too good not to post. 

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