Jump to content

2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


Recommended Posts

Posted
9 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

what tweet

 

11 hours ago, Bevo in VA said:

Looks like there was an update from Clark County and a lot of ballots weren't initially counted by the SOS.  Good news for Dems.

 

 

 

  • Like 1
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, BrickHorn said:

You’re on a dumb analogy roll today. The leopards eating faces metaphor applies when a minority knowingly aligns with a bigot and against an open-minded candidate for selfish or opportunistic reasons. 

That only seems to fit if you focus exclusively on the Trump side of the decision, and completely ignore  the Biden administration’s (and Harris campaign’s) record on this issue. This is not a case where Muslim voters would knowingly chose evil over good because they calculate that they could be on the inside track with evil. It’s a case where they judge, based on an actual track record, that one side is more evil than the other. You just can’t see why they would ever consider the administration that has funded the Gaza assault as evil. 

Like I said, total blind spot. Y'all are seemingly incapable of seeing this objectively. It’s weird, but I guess that’s the shitty part of partisan politics. 

He has a record (Muslim ban) and is the leader of the party that repeatedly tried to censure Ilhan Omar and had her committee assignments revoked for speaking out against Israel well before Oct 7. What you’re saying is as good of a “both sides” argument as probably exists and would rationally support not voting or I guess voting for Jill Stein. I would disagree with that take but understand. To actually vote for the person who has an outspoken anti Muslim record and who has flat out said he’s cheering on Israel’s current activities is actively siding with evil and supporting more violence against those for whom they say they are speaking out in support. I think its definitely worth calling out.

Edited by 'stache
  • Hook 'Em 3
Posted
Missed this post as the thread moves quickly. Quality post by [mention=2292]Pancho[/mention] This can happen in conversations with only white people as well. I’ve heard a friend claim that something isn’t offensive or racist because it was ok 25 years ago. One, it wasn’t ok then but sadly past society somewhat accepted it. Two, the person making a comment doesn’t get to decide if those hearing it are offended. But they hold firm that it’s not racist.
yes it’s possible that the offender was ignorant or had non-offensive intent but it doesn’t change how the listener felt about it. 
People that I grew up with a few years earlier called the road we drank beer on "nig#@r" road as late as 92; and still used this term when I ran into them in the 00s. NW Houston. My response was wtf, why are you calling it that, that's not what we called it, it was just the road on the street sign.

My little brother is still mad had he can't use slures and has to use Asian instead of oriental.

So fucking dumb; don't be an asshole.
  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
1 minute ago, The Dog said:

(Democratic pollster)

I said this earlier. 2 weeks out, no one is sounding the warning bells on the Dem side, while the GOP is publicly cutting resources to try and salvage other districts and triaging suburban districts. 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted (edited)

Clark county was one of the few, if any others, that held in person voting over last weekend in Nevada.The SOS website didn’t report them until later. It’s a non story because a bunch of amateurs don’t know how the reporting works.

Edited by StassneyHorn
  • Hook 'Em 3
  • Like 1
Posted (edited)

For Nevada it looks like Republicans are crushing Dems at in-person, so far, but that could just be due to how Nevadans are. If most Dems are in Clark County and most Clark County Dems have unusual work schedules they might not behave like others in other states, so I wouldn't read too much into that.

 

EDIT:

Yes, it looks like historically Republicans are more active at in-person early voting in Nevada

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showpublisheddocument/9062/637419197840270000

248k Rep to 165k Dem

Whereas for Mail Ballots the Dems crushed Reps 631k to 356k (if I'm reading this right)

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showpublisheddocument/9058/637437166448530000

Election Day was 60k Rep to 44k Dem, so it seems that in Nevada overwhelming majority of the state uses mail/dropoff ballots, a sizeable minority uses in-person early voting, and about 100k people vote in-person on election day.

Edited by chainsaw
  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
22 minutes ago, The Dog said:

(Democratic pollster)

that means he's much more likely to throw a spaz if there were any signs at all.

the lack of dem bedwetting 2-weeks-out is a good thing.

  • Hook 'Em 4
Posted
3 minutes ago, Beantown Express 2.0 said:

I have been traveling all afternoon and just got caught up on this thread.  Can anyone tell me where we landed on if it’s understandable for Muslims to vote for Trump and if he does win should we not feel bad for them?

In all seriousness, this Muslim discussion is the wrong way to look at it.  Anybody, whether they are white, black, Latino, Muslim, Jewish, LGBTQ, Asian, you name it that votes for Trump and if he wins deserves every fucking bad thing that happens to them.  While I will be sad for my country if that fuckstick becomes President again I will be happy that those Trump voters fucked around and found out.  The Latinos that voted for him end up getting deported, fuck em.  The Muslims that voted for him and then watch him help Bibi really commit genocide in Gaza and the West Bank, fuck em.  The LGBTQ people that vote for him and then have their rights stripped by the religious right, fuck em.  Every last person that votes for him deserves the worst in my mind and I hope they get it.  

Sadly, this is kind of where I’m at. We (the royal we) will get what we deserve if he’s elected again. 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
9 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:

This thread moves too fast for me to know whether this has been posted already. Good news potentially:

https://jasonstanford.substack.com/p/the-big-mistake-polls-are-making?r=d52ws&utm_medium=ios&triedRedirect=true

 

The Nate Cohn article a few days ago about how polls are weighting covered some of this, but this does a better job of explaining the effects of that weighting. Thanks for posting.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
48 minutes ago, C-Man said:

If it gets her off the federal bench, we at least get that silver lining. Trump will only pick an AG that will do his personal bidding so it may not matter if it’s her or someone else. No one of character will accept his nomination.

Posted
Just now, BamaATL said:

Fantastic article, well worth the read.  

Yes. Very succinct and easily explainable

She is going to win 

  • Hook 'Em 3
  • Like 1
Posted
10 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

Fantastic article, well worth the read.  

It was good overall, but this has no business in an article written in 2024.

Quote

A 2000 study found that in-person canvassing could boost turnout by 9-10%, while methods like texting or digital outreach had significantly lower impacts.

 

  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted
On 10/21/2024 at 2:08 PM, hookemATL said:

I have that bag of drugs for you, I will drive by and toss it to you in line.

 

That's my polling place.  Usually very quick.

 

On 10/21/2024 at 1:59 PM, ConferenceRoom said:

Check AMLD on El Salido, too. I have never seen it more than 15 minutes (ever), but right now it's at 16-45 minutes. I usually vote around 4pm so maybe that's normal. 

 

On 10/21/2024 at 1:55 PM, GhostOfTomJoad said:

My wife planned on voting at the Randall's at Cypress Creek/Lakeline in CP on her lunch break but when she got there the line was out the door & down past Jet's Pizza. Wilco tracker has had it at a steady 45 minute wait all afternoon. I figure I'll tough it out after work around 4pm.

Neighbors but I live in Travis by 2 blocks so I have to go elsewhere 

Posted
37 minutes ago, Beantown Express 2.0 said:

Anybody, whether they are white, black, Latino, Muslim, Jewish, LGBTQ, Asian, you name it that votes for Trump and if he wins deserves every fucking bad thing that happens to them.  

Let's face it. Unless you're one of his cronies or have a hook-up, if he wins it's bad for every American. Even if they're a white supremacist. We'd all be fucked by his policies and incompetence, just like last time, only this time it'll be much worse because they actually have a plan and people with experience to enact it. 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
9 hours ago, wildcat09 said:

No, they don't. Anyone who doesn't think Trump back in office would be a very real and existential danger to Muslim-Americans is not reasonable.

The only thing keeping him from demonizing Muslims right now instead of Haitians (or the GQP as a whole going after trans folks) is probably Michigan.

We can laugh at how fucking stupid and ignorant he sounds when he talks about Haitians eating pets or why all of the geese disappeared (they fucking migrated) but most likely, regardless of how fucking stupid he can be, as well as the people around him, he has made the calculated decision that trashing Haitians is not going to cost him any more Black votes than he's already lost (or never had in the first place).

I think Michigan will go for Kamala, but in order for him to win, Trump has to believe that Michigan is in play, and he can't help Kamala out by going after Muslims, even though MAGA would love for him to shit on Muslims some more.

He is a dumb motherfucker on a lot of things, but he can read audiences, unlike his running mate.

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
Just now, BurntOrange&White said:

IMG_5045.thumb.jpeg.ff76063832582e2d1a717f79510afdd6.jpeg


Sounds like some bullshit Judge Tim O’Hare would run with. Him and Allen West with the Dallas GOP have a weekly “who’s the biggest potato” competition. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
  • Haha 2
Posted
38 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

The Nate Cohn article a few days ago about how polls are weighting covered some of this, but this does a better job of explaining the effects of that weighting. Thanks for posting.

That Nate Cohn article was such a worthless mess. It made me dumber, if that's even possible. 

Posted
1 minute ago, BurntOrange&White said:

IMG_5045.thumb.jpeg.ff76063832582e2d1a717f79510afdd6.jpeg

How many county GOPs are going to be screaming this in the next two weeks?  It's their play.  Sow doubt among the populace and it makes it easier to claim fraud.  Again.

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
11 minutes ago, Satchel said:

We should pass laws that shorten the presidential campaign season to 8 weeks while requiring polls must be reported out once weekly. The media money grab has gotten ridiculously out of hand.

And no signs in the public ROW!¡!!

 

(Sorry Lakeway dude dealing with " no balls in women's" sports and "democrats for Trump" 4'x8'signs every 50 yards for months. I'm at my whits end.

 

Semi serious? Whats the jail time look like if my wife and I go on a spree of removal? Defacing? Counter Signs?

 

 

  • Rage+1 1
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted
8 minutes ago, Born to Run said:

And no signs in the public ROW!¡!!

 

(Sorry Lakeway dude dealing with " no balls in women's" sports and "democrats for Trump" 4'x8'signs every 50 yards for months. I'm at my whits end.

 

Semi serious? Whats the jail time look like if my wife and I go on a spree of removal? Defacing? Counter Signs?

 

 

All of the signs at the light at 620 and Quinlan Park mysteriously disappeared.  There were like 60 of them at one point.

Posted
55 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

If it gets her off the federal bench, we at least get that silver lining. Trump will only pick an AG that will do his personal bidding so it may not matter if it’s her or someone else. No one of character will accept his nomination.

And she's a lot dumber than some he could pick.

  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1


×
×
  • Create New...