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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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3 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Seeing on social media Bernie (and Van Jones) were on CNN and being very dejected, almost admitting Harris is going to lose.

 

anyone watch and hear what they were really saying?

I watched it and didn't see anything like that. They both seemed cautiously optimistic of a Harris win (unless maybe it was a different segment).

Edited by wood

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    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

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1 minute ago, wood said:

I watched it and didn't see anything like that. They both seemed cautiously optimistic of a Harris win.

 

Thanks, basically social media freaking out. I was at dinner

5 minutes ago, Chico_SA said:

Teacher inservice tomorrow.  I think I'm just going to go for a half day.  

So what am I supposed to do tomorrow afternoon?  Something about birds?  And Chilis Wednesday? I need instructions. 

Tomorrow is take 4 edibles and doomscroll surly. Wednesday we celebrate. At Chili's.

Just now, Pancho said:

 

Thanks, basically social media freaking out. I was at dinner

Right wing has been spamming social media to freak out Dems and hopefully convince them not to show up tomorrow 

2 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

Not what I would expect from a cyber truck, but I’ll take it. 

Just now, Pancho said:

 

Thanks, basically social media freaking out. I was at dinner

Disinfo is going to be at 11 from now until a winner is declared.

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I assume this was posted earlier but if not, I like the cut of the Philly DA’s jib and I would like to subscribe to his newsletter.

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8 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

night crew checking in. ready to make a mess and leave without cleaning it up. 

Season 3 Nbc GIF by The Office

 

3 minutes ago, SubliminalHorn said:

Day crew checking out. Y’all hold down the fort. Got a big day tomorrow 


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1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Right wing has been spamming social media to freak out Dems and hopefully convince them not to show up tomorrow 

Well right wing and foreign actors

 

9 minutes ago, Chico_SA said:

Teacher inservice tomorrow.  I think I'm just going to go for a half day.  

So what am I supposed to do tomorrow afternoon?  Something about birds?  And Chilis Wednesday? I need instructions. 

 

chilis is good on any day !

The zone is going to be flooded with so much bullshit. 

obi-wan-kenobi-chill.gif

55 minutes ago, Chopper said:

 

image.thumb.png.ef1fcc05bf7bb67fb712eba9a041d05e.pngAlicia Silverstone Oops GIF

“They’re grown ass men. If they want to vote, get their ass to the voting place.”

-Mrs WH

2 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Big turn of events!

 

 


MEIDAS TOUCH NETWORK

bombshell new poll rocks Trump

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

35 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

If Trump loses GA and PA what is his path to 270?

Fall Off Jack Sparrow GIF by Pudgy Penguins

1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Can’t wait for meltdown on the TexAgs’ politics board tomorrow night. It will be better than their football board when they are upset. Their moderators will be banning users left and right.

I think the only thing that could get you banned there is acknowledging a Harris win, should it happen.

5 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Big turn of events!

 

 

This is HUGE!

Or not.

Just now, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

 

alex jones reaction.gif

16 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

night crew checking in. ready to make a mess and leave without cleaning it up. 

Season 3 Nbc GIF by The Office

 

7 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

 


image.jpeg.6e72a0cf41180a8d55e63c732a67e339.jpeg

Reminds me of Deadspin

9 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

Thanks, basically social media freaking out. I was at dinner

NO EXCUSES!!!

1 minute ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

Problem is, we don't ever see the internal ones to actually see even post mortem how accurate they are.  There is likely some truth to the idea that they miss on things as much as anyone else, but I'm betting they are pretty good.  

4 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

I going to try to see what, if anything, distinguishes internal and public polling when I have the chance. I will report back.

Problem is, we don't ever see the internal ones to actually see even post mortem how accurate they are.  There is likely some truth to the idea that they miss on things as much as anyone else, but I'm betting they are pretty good.  

The problem is that polling is all over the fucking map. Sure, Poll X is repub biased, but so is Poll Y, and it was pretty accurate in 2020, and Poll Z was pretty accurate in 2022, but its cross tabs look off, etc etc.
We have no idea what’s going to happen.
So why not expect the worst?
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3 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

Several months ago, someone with much more insight than me described public polls as providing the overall shape of the election. What internal polls apparently do is hone in on key geographic or demographic indicators in greater detail, helping campaigns understand the voting behavior of very specific groups that they feel are of particular significance.

5 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

Counterpoint: there is more incentive to make shit polls that keep people engaged and clicking, thinking it’s a horse race that is going to come down to the wire. 

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I just wish this beauty was still around for my Wednesday meal. The OG location on Greenville. 

3d3bced127d3d6ecacd9c28e83c27b3e.jpg

1 minute ago, Brisketexan said:


The problem is that polling is all over the fucking map. Sure, Poll X is repub biased, but so is Poll Y, and it was pretty accurate in 2020, and Poll Z was pretty accurate in 2022, but its cross tabs look off, etc etc.
We have no idea what’s going to happen.
So why not expect the worst?

 

1 minute ago, bolverk said:

Several months ago, someone with much more insight than me described public polls as providing the overall shape of the election. What internal polls apparently do is hone in on key geographic or demographic indicators in greater detail, helping campaigns understand the voting behavior of very specific groups that they feel are of particular significance.

We don’t know shit about fuck.  
 

nice work today, gentlemen. I’ll see you in the AM. 

12 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Right wing has been spamming social media to freak out Dems and hopefully convince them not to show up tomorrow 

Yeah. It’s getting uglier out there, even on Reddit, more than it has over the last few days. 

I can’t imagine what Leon’s Nazi-Chan looks like right now. 

Just now, Biff Tannen said:

Counterpoint: there is more incentive to make shit polls that keep people engaged and clicking, thinking it’s a horse race that is going to come down to the wire. 

Yes. Hence, very few polls are done in states not perceived as horse races. If you come out with a couple of polls in a "battleground state" that show x candidate up 6% over y candidate from September on, nobody is interested in your polls anymore as it isn't proving to be much of a battleground.  

1 minute ago, bolverk said:

Several months ago, someone with much more insight than me described public polls as providing the overall shape of the election. What internal polls apparently do is hone in on key geographic or demographic indicators in greater detail, helping campaigns understand the voting behavior of very specific groups that they feel are of particular significance.

The other aspect is that media, and parties themselves are well aware that the public are suckers for polls on anything, and seldom if ever does anyone actually look into things like methodology, who's doing the poll, who paid for it, etc.  "We polled 3 people in the Utah desert about the CHIPS Act, and the results were shocking!"

13 minutes ago, Doc Sam Beckett said:

Nerd Alert GIF

My daughter told me some poor kid's dad picked him up in a Cybertruck from school last Friday.

She described his walk to the CT looking like this scene from the Sandlot. Kid's in middle school are horrible, why would someone show up in a Cybertruck to pick up their kid?

f47ec926-9ec9-4e31-b946-7df330b5eb80_tex

1 minute ago, F250 said:

My daughter told me some poor kid's dad picked him up in a Cybertruck from school last Friday.

She described his walk to the CT looking like this scene from the Sandlot. Kid's in middle school are horrible, why would someone show up in a Cybertruck to pick up their kid?

f47ec926-9ec9-4e31-b946-7df330b5eb80_tex

Well, I've heard that a lot of middle aged men make poor decisions in a vain attempt to hold on to youth.  

 

But I've only heard about that.  

a little bit more than 5 days after hitting 1000 (5:56 pm last wednesday) and we're at 1100

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1 minute ago, F250 said:

My daughter told me some poor kid's dad picked him up in a Cybertruck from school last Friday.

She described his walk to the CT looking like this scene from the Sandlot. Kid's in middle school are horrible, why would someone show up in a Cybertruck to pick up their kid?

Dad was probably a dork who got picked on in middle school. And because he remains a dork, the dad doesn't realize middle school kids will still pick on him (and his poor, poor progeny). 

3 minutes ago, F250 said:

My daughter told me some poor kid's dad picked him up in a Cybertruck from school last Friday.

She described his walk to the CT looking like this scene from the Sandlot. Kid's in middle school are horrible, why would someone show up in a Cybertruck to pick up their kid?

f47ec926-9ec9-4e31-b946-7df330b5eb80_tex

My 8-year old loves the Cybertruck and thinks it is the coolest vehicle ever. 

It's pouring rain in Austin.

I shall interpret this as a sign of good fortune from the gods.

 

Edited by MissingInAction

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5 minutes ago, BevoAbyss said:

If Kamala wins, I sure as hell ain't partying at lame ass Chili's. I imagine Brinker Corp is run by a bunch of Trump-loving MBA pricks. Probably lots of SMU grads.

Win or lose, I am going to an immigrant-owned Mexican restaurant and chow on some great food, washed down with tequila.

 

 

yikes-rachel-dratch.gif.5003a7e17b01f0502f003d2d1e288b7b.gif

In on page eleventy hundred.

Re: internal poles.

PM South Austin's mom.

10 minutes ago, mdmost said:

I just wish this beauty was still around for my Wednesday meal. The OG location on Greenville. 

3d3bced127d3d6ecacd9c28e83c27b3e.jpg

This is where my wife introduced me to her Hockaday friends.  They terrified me.

1 minute ago, BamaATL said:

Well, I've heard that a lot of middle aged men make poor decisions in a vain attempt to hold on to youth.  

 

But I've only heard about that.  

Well, show up driving a Lamborghini Aventador not a Cybertruck.

So the big question now is, if the Dixville Notch results come back with a Harris win, does she call a presser and just declare victory?  It'd be nice to just wrap this thing up.  

So when will results actually start being posted? I know it’s likely dependent on state but am I going to be at work watching a livestream from 7am until the next day?

1 hour ago, Biff Tannen said:

I just got texted that Rogan endorsed the dotard. 

Fuck!!!!!! I've already voted for Harris and I've never listened to a minute of this cucks podcast FML

Just now, BurntOrange&White said:

So when will results actually start being posted? I know it’s likely dependent on state but am I going to be at work watching a livestream from 7am until the next day?

about 45 minutes from now.  

16 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:


The problem is that polling is all over the fucking map. Sure, Poll X is repub biased, but so is Poll Y, and it was pretty accurate in 2020, and Poll Z was pretty accurate in 2022, but its cross tabs look off, etc etc.
We have no idea what’s going to happen.
So why not expect the worst?

 

IMG_3629.gif

Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business & Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Advertise... Tailgate Donations

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