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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
Just now, RDCanecutter said:

Well I gotta go slop the animals, get cleaned up, and symbolically crush fascism. Will enjoy voting in the AL 7th District this year against any would-be sneak-in House R. Catch y'all on the flip side.

if you hear banjo music from the woods don't go investigate.

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Posted
17 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Philly vote tracker says they are at 70% of 2020

E-Day vote in Clark looks like 33/33/33.  It was 50% R in 2020.  They definitely cannibalized their E-Day vote.  

Where are the Philly numbers coming from?

Posted
12 hours ago, bolverk said:

Several months ago, someone with much more insight than me described public polls as providing the overall shape of the election. What internal polls apparently do is hone in on key geographic or demographic indicators in greater detail, helping campaigns understand the voting behavior of very specific groups that they feel are of particular significance.

my back fence  neighbor who moved to Katy after Katrina was not concerned about Katrina.   He and his family were not leaving.  I was following weather underground forum hurricane coverage really closely - with all the amateur neurologist and dropsonde data and knew we were in trouble.    He works for Murphy Oil,  so I said ‘don’t you guys have your own internal meteorologist?’

Hw went inside and checked his laptop and came out and announced that they were leaving in an hour.   People with lots of money hire people who know more than what the plebes are told. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

You have an interpreter for your wife? Jealous.

 

2 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

You found a wife who doesn't speak English? Nice.

I don't speak complaining.

It was something I posted earlier in this thread. I assume you missed it because you were voting or cleaning your 5.56 rounds.

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Posted
Just now, InkaUtexas said:

 

I don't speak complaining.

It was something I posted earlier in this thread. I assume you missed it because you were voting or cleaning your 5.56 rounds.

Yep, I (generally) know what you do for a living. Good man.

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Posted
Just now, Sbbruin said:

There’s a lot of optimism on this thread.  I wish I felt it too.  I just have this constant nightmare that it’s not happening.  I really hope I’m wrong.

Be honest. you are just waking up from the Dodgers parade.

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Posted
Just now, Sbbruin said:

There’s a lot of optimism on this thread.  I wish I felt it too.  I just have this constant nightmare that it’s not happening.  I really hope I’m wrong.

Somebody get this guy to a Chili's. 

I sent you a PM BTW. 

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Sbbruin said:

There’s a lot of optimism on this thread.  I wish I felt it too.  I just have this constant nightmare that it’s not happening.  I really hope I’m wrong.

Give yourself credit.  I wouldn't view the opinions expressed in this thread as indicative of anything except how a bunch of damn lawyers feel about the great American divorce :D.

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Posted
5 minutes ago, Sbbruin said:

There’s a lot of optimism on this thread.  I wish I felt it too.  I just have this constant nightmare that it’s not happening.  I really hope I’m wrong.

We are just trying to get by on hopium. Most of us are with you.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Sbbruin said:

There’s a lot of optimism on this thread.  I wish I felt it too.  I just have this constant nightmare that it’s not happening.  I really hope I’m wrong.

Go to Chili's for lunch, get the 3 for me, and report back after. You should feel the optimism.

Posted
2 minutes ago, mdmost said:

If Philly brings this home, I will gladly sacrifice two games of them kicking the Cowboys asses this season. 

Yeah, they're going to do that regardless but I'm willing it to happen even more if Philly gets her over the line in PA. 

200w.gif?cid=6c09b952ly26fp0c3rdx00ha9sk

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Posted (edited)
23 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

You can say that again.  (Once for each.)

it is a rare moment that I still wish i was a straight guy. but if I could be on that boat with her (and that's not a boat optional statement), I might suffer through it.

Edited by troph
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Posted
19 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Maricopa E-Day votes (as of 9am)

40-42% R, it was 58% R in 2020

Indies are key here - almost 40% of the vote today itself, and only 2k votes behind GOP in the county so far.

I think the big 2024 post-mortem is going to be: "The indies decided the elections" 

I personally think Trump defectors + Dobbs voters will decide it. There will be a lot of breakdowns of how many percentage points each age, gender, race, geographical area etc moved, but what I think they will all have in common is a portion of each of those groups ditching Trump or showing up for the first time to vote for reproductive rights.

At least I hope. I'm assuming the analysis of the early voting trends is based on the assumption that people are voting the way they are registered? Which would not pick up any trend of past Trump voters switching sides? Is this all wishful thinking?

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Posted
2 minutes ago, texasdago said:

Anecdotal evidence is anecdotal.  Still...

image.png.4f190f5c53b3e636e789a108de8404ce.png

For reference, in 2020 Volusia County was 56.5% Trump

Here's exactly what that means...

 Donald Trump Idk GIF

Now there's a guy who knows shit about fuck.

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