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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
3 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

Comb over? Like a werewolf drinking a piña colada at Trader Vicks, my hair is perfect. 

The picture does not show her two year old daughter, and I haven’t turned the TV on yet, but I think it has kids movies, so maybe it’ll work.

Well having a prior child is just an indicator that a woman is familiar with sex.   So she may not be familiar with whatever the hell it is I do.   

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Posted
Just now, henrygandorf said:

night crew checking in. ready to make a mess and leave without cleaning it up. 

Season 3 Nbc GIF by The Office

Is this about the Chili’s bathroom after Wednesday?

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Posted
27 minutes ago, NAVY said:

Holy shit. That’s a mid-to-late 80s Black Angus restaurant/bar dance floor. I waited tables there as a teen. Hahhhahahaha 

 

Was it anything like this?

 

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Posted

Teacher inservice tomorrow.  I think I'm just going to go for a half day.  

So what am I supposed to do tomorrow afternoon?  Something about birds?  And Chilis Wednesday? I need instructions. 

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Posted
19 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

Everything about that dress says, “I’m sick of being a trophy wife in this damn family, and I want to pursue my long-time dream of being a stranger fossil fucker!!”

She’ll probably say no. But what if she says yes?

Gotta shoot that shot

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Posted

Seeing on social media Bernie (and Van Jones) were on CNN and being very dejected, almost admitting Harris is going to lose.

 

anyone watch and hear what they were really saying?

Posted
So Joe Rogan endorsed Trump. Just another Musk-loving Bro Fascist.
I'm glad Kamala blew him off. Fuck that fascist. 
 

Rogan is what he was always gonna be. A simple-minded shallow thinking historically ignorant tool for fascism.
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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Seeing on social media Bernie (and Van Jones) were on CNN and being very dejected, almost admitting Harris is going to lose.

 

anyone watch and hear what they were really saying?

I watched it and didn't see anything like that. They both seemed cautiously optimistic of a Harris win (unless maybe it was a different segment).

Edited by wood
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Posted
1 minute ago, wood said:

I watched it and didn't see anything like that. They both seemed cautiously optimistic of a Harris win.

 

Thanks, basically social media freaking out. I was at dinner

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Posted
5 minutes ago, Chico_SA said:

Teacher inservice tomorrow.  I think I'm just going to go for a half day.  

So what am I supposed to do tomorrow afternoon?  Something about birds?  And Chilis Wednesday? I need instructions. 

Tomorrow is take 4 edibles and doomscroll surly. Wednesday we celebrate. At Chili's.

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Posted
Just now, Pancho said:

 

Thanks, basically social media freaking out. I was at dinner

Right wing has been spamming social media to freak out Dems and hopefully convince them not to show up tomorrow 

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Posted
Just now, Pancho said:

 

Thanks, basically social media freaking out. I was at dinner

Disinfo is going to be at 11 from now until a winner is declared.

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Posted
1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Right wing has been spamming social media to freak out Dems and hopefully convince them not to show up tomorrow 

Well right wing and foreign actors

 

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Posted
9 minutes ago, Chico_SA said:

Teacher inservice tomorrow.  I think I'm just going to go for a half day.  

So what am I supposed to do tomorrow afternoon?  Something about birds?  And Chilis Wednesday? I need instructions. 

 

chilis is good on any day !

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Posted
35 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

If Trump loses GA and PA what is his path to 270?

Fall Off Jack Sparrow GIF by Pudgy Penguins

1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Can’t wait for meltdown on the TexAgs’ politics board tomorrow night. It will be better than their football board when they are upset. Their moderators will be banning users left and right.

I think the only thing that could get you banned there is acknowledging a Harris win, should it happen.

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Posted
Just now, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

 

alex jones reaction.gif

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Posted
16 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

night crew checking in. ready to make a mess and leave without cleaning it up. 

Season 3 Nbc GIF by The Office

 

7 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

 


image.jpeg.6e72a0cf41180a8d55e63c732a67e339.jpeg

Reminds me of Deadspin

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Posted
1 minute ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

Problem is, we don't ever see the internal ones to actually see even post mortem how accurate they are.  There is likely some truth to the idea that they miss on things as much as anyone else, but I'm betting they are pretty good.  

Posted
4 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

I going to try to see what, if anything, distinguishes internal and public polling when I have the chance. I will report back.

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Posted
Problem is, we don't ever see the internal ones to actually see even post mortem how accurate they are.  There is likely some truth to the idea that they miss on things as much as anyone else, but I'm betting they are pretty good.  

The problem is that polling is all over the fucking map. Sure, Poll X is repub biased, but so is Poll Y, and it was pretty accurate in 2020, and Poll Z was pretty accurate in 2022, but its cross tabs look off, etc etc.
We have no idea what’s going to happen.
So why not expect the worst?
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Posted
3 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

Several months ago, someone with much more insight than me described public polls as providing the overall shape of the election. What internal polls apparently do is hone in on key geographic or demographic indicators in greater detail, helping campaigns understand the voting behavior of very specific groups that they feel are of particular significance.

Posted
5 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Confession: I don’t believe in internal polls.  They don’t have any more knowledge than we do. And there is plenty of incentive to make quality polls for public consumption.  

Counterpoint: there is more incentive to make shit polls that keep people engaged and clicking, thinking it’s a horse race that is going to come down to the wire. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, Brisketexan said:


The problem is that polling is all over the fucking map. Sure, Poll X is repub biased, but so is Poll Y, and it was pretty accurate in 2020, and Poll Z was pretty accurate in 2022, but its cross tabs look off, etc etc.
We have no idea what’s going to happen.
So why not expect the worst?

 

1 minute ago, bolverk said:

Several months ago, someone with much more insight than me described public polls as providing the overall shape of the election. What internal polls apparently do is hone in on key geographic or demographic indicators in greater detail, helping campaigns understand the voting behavior of very specific groups that they feel are of particular significance.

We don’t know shit about fuck.  
 

nice work today, gentlemen. I’ll see you in the AM. 

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Posted
12 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Right wing has been spamming social media to freak out Dems and hopefully convince them not to show up tomorrow 

Yeah. It’s getting uglier out there, even on Reddit, more than it has over the last few days. 

I can’t imagine what Leon’s Nazi-Chan looks like right now. 

Posted
Just now, Biff Tannen said:

Counterpoint: there is more incentive to make shit polls that keep people engaged and clicking, thinking it’s a horse race that is going to come down to the wire. 

Yes. Hence, very few polls are done in states not perceived as horse races. If you come out with a couple of polls in a "battleground state" that show x candidate up 6% over y candidate from September on, nobody is interested in your polls anymore as it isn't proving to be much of a battleground.  

Posted
1 minute ago, bolverk said:

Several months ago, someone with much more insight than me described public polls as providing the overall shape of the election. What internal polls apparently do is hone in on key geographic or demographic indicators in greater detail, helping campaigns understand the voting behavior of very specific groups that they feel are of particular significance.

The other aspect is that media, and parties themselves are well aware that the public are suckers for polls on anything, and seldom if ever does anyone actually look into things like methodology, who's doing the poll, who paid for it, etc.  "We polled 3 people in the Utah desert about the CHIPS Act, and the results were shocking!"

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Posted
13 minutes ago, Doc Sam Beckett said:

Nerd Alert GIF

My daughter told me some poor kid's dad picked him up in a Cybertruck from school last Friday.

She described his walk to the CT looking like this scene from the Sandlot. Kid's in middle school are horrible, why would someone show up in a Cybertruck to pick up their kid?

f47ec926-9ec9-4e31-b946-7df330b5eb80_tex

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