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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted

Jonathan Martin (Politico) was on MSNBC and said he’s heard of similar private polling in Iowa that’s not far off from Selzer.

 

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Posted
53 minutes ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

Ummmm, it is election day.  Election day in NYC started at 6 AM EST.  Why is the election day thread still locked?

It will open once results start to roll in

Posted
53 minutes ago, quigley said:

I finally got around to reading the Des Moines Register article.

The BIG difference between Selzer is that she got 808 respondents from only 1038 calls. This is an UNBELIEVABLE response rate. NYT/Siena reported 2.5% response rate.

15 - 20% would be amazing, but she's getting 80% ??? Amazing if true. Leaves me wondering what makes her dial sheet so much better than everyone else's.

Also, remember those polls that showed Harris winning by like 15 points with people who have already voted?  Everyone kind of blew those off but if the Iowa poll is right, that explains those polls and those polls might be right.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Also, remember those polls that showed Harris winning by like 15 points with people who have already voted?  Everyone kind of blew those off but if the Iowa poll is right, that explains those polls and those polls might be right.

Sad Please Please Please GIF by myHQ

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Posted
4 minutes ago, immamac said:

Its a great day to be an American. Go exercise your rights today. 

I'll see you all at Chilis tomorrow. 

immamac channeling his best Tom Hanks from SPR.

"I'll see you on the beach."

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Posted

@Pancho

On a serious note: are you going to slap a warning to all the chuckle fucks who have spent the last 4 years saying “don’t CR X” who are going to come pouring into the thread after 7 or just let the chips fall where they may?

On a personal note, I’m going dark this evening to self care and medicate and will tune back in 9:30-ish EST. 

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

New Hampshire with Harris 62/34.  Shit:

https://rockefeller.dartmouth.edu/about-center/dartmouth-poll/media-and-results

When asked who they would support for president, 61.9% of Granite State voters say they would vote for Harris, 33.5% report that they would vote for Trump, and 4.6% report that they would vote for another candidate.

I'll take that shift to the left nationwide please, thank you. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

We’re in a position of hoping she’s not faking it.  Unfortunately I’ve known a lot of women in my days, and they ALL fake it. 

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Posted
9 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Counterpoint: there is more incentive to make shit polls that keep people engaged and clicking, thinking it’s a horse race that is going to come down to the wire. 

I've hated that shit for decades. The primaries are not actually stages in a horse race. Why should the vote in the fucking Iowa caucuses have any impact on voters nationwide? But it does. Why, I ask:

 

8 hours ago, SeattleHorn said:

 

There's a template that dictates the easiest, most worn paths to avoid actually working to get news stories. Iowa seemed to provide "momentum" for a candidate once, so the national media cover it like the Normandy Invasion every election since. It has great impact on who will even be in the race on Super Tuesday which is just stupid.

The notion of not being the newsstory yourself is out the window. They do not recognize their function as a magnifying glass or microscope lending size and importance to otherwise miniscule events. 

The above is not really a newsstory at all. It's predictable and irrelevant. TV news media absolutely love it.

As stated by @Biff Tannen, a horse race is more fun to cover and get viewers than a political contest. So let's frame one as the other. 

Iowa?

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Posted
12 minutes ago, texasdago said:

Didn't realize the Dead Milkmen released a new some last year ...

 

 

 

That song is ok, But this is classic milkmen...

 

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Posted

ok stupid question that I'm too afraid to ask at this point - I just saw a clip of JD Vance getting out of a car to go cast his own vote.

 

Is Donald Trump able to vote in this election?

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Posted
11 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Come thru Philly!

 

This.  I recall a panicked look on the face of an election-day reporter in 2016 when Philly delivered under 85% to HRC.  Philly is the canary in a coalmine, to an extent. 

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Posted
5 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:

Cross-posting from the Grateful Dead thread. Bob Weir and Mickey Hart are supporting Harris-Walz.

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What a long, strange trip it’s been.

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Posted

Go Kamala but why are you still asking me for money? Five fucking emails this morning already. How is another $5 gonna help you on Election Day? Ready for this shit to be over already.

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Posted
3 minutes ago, 'stache said:

Go Kamala but why are you still asking me for money? Five fucking emails this morning already. How is another $5 gonna help you on Election Day? Ready for this shit to be over already.

Freedom isn't free! 

Posted
46 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

Atlanta, 63 degrees with some light morning drizzle, warming to 70 and sunny.  In other words, in an hour a chamber of commerce day, no excuses.  

 

44 minutes ago, Chad Fuck said:

Pretty gray rainy morning in Dallas but it’s supposed to clear up. Put on a happy smile.

Thank a meteorologist today, or buy the meteorologist some Chili's.

Posted
1 minute ago, aggie08 said:

I have nothing personally against crypto--I really don't--but it's so hard to care about when the people who care about it the most are almost universal choads, bros, sketchy AF, scammers, trolls, etc.

It’s a whole universe of dickweeds and assholes like Rogan and Elon.  Really make me not want to live on the same planet.

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Posted
1 hour ago, YChang said:

I hope to wake up over here in Taiwan to some great fucking news.  

Have you worked out your plan for travel to the nearest Chili’s?

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