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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
5 minutes ago, Judge Roybeanbag said:

Doing some pre-Chili's gut prep so I'll be ready for tomorrow.

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Shouldn't this be the "if Trump wins" meal?

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Posted
49 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Had an asshole opposing counsel who insisted that my witness authenticate 120 documents, one-by-one, in a deposition that had already run past 5:00 on December 23rd.

I still hate that fucker.

Gotta pay for those Christmas presents somehow.

Posted
39 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

this is what my sources have been telling me.

 

This is by far the worst scientific graphic I've ever seen. : r/dataisugly

 

Its quite simple, morons. 

The graph is about exoplanets (it includes our solar system planets for reference). The x axis is mass, measured as a multiple of earth mass. For example, the number two on the x axis represents 2 times the earth's mass. 

The y axis is radius, also as a multiple of earth's radius. 

each triangle or circle represents an exoplanet with a known radius and mass. The little cross things are error bars. Our solar system planets don't have error bars because we know their radii and masses with high levels of precision. 

The bars sticking out from the left are the number of planets discovered in each "bin", or with that narrow range of radius. They aren't all represented as data points presumably because we don't know their masses. 

RV (circles) and TTV (triangles) are two different ways of determining an exoplanets mass. So each known exoplanet is shown as a circle or triangle depending on how its mass was determined. 

The faint, gray dashed lines show the density of the planets. 

I think the colored lines show the makeup of some aspect of the planet (core maybe?) although I don't understand how a planet can be 100% H2O. 

The colored scale shows either the flux of the planet's magnetic field, again measured as a multiple of Earth's magnetic field, or the temperature measured using the Kelvin scale (of the core I presume) of the planet. The color of the dot or triangle tells you the flux, the color of the lines tell you temperature. 

I'm not sure what topographic looking circles are, presumably some measure of something about the planets. The closer to the centers of those circles, the higher some value is. Each line represents a discrete change up or down from that value. 

Finally, the curves along the x axis show approximately the frequency that planets with a certain radius fall into that mass range. For example, under the blue curve, you can see that most planets with a radius of 2-3 times Earth's radius have about 9 times the Earth's mass. 

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Posted
51 minutes ago, Jiggy-Z said:

Yeah, this thread does not seem like a party that keeps on going.

It feels more like a meeting that has run past 5 on a holiday weekend.

 

52 minutes ago, Js1 said:

They’re freaking out

 

i’m not sure I follow you. The Charlie Kirk post is almost Boner inducing good.

Right. Into. My. veins.

Posted
11 hours ago, Chopper said:

Shit like this last part and the GA polling place threats is what worries me more than anything today. I know those were the Russians, but I do not have a lot of trust that Cult 45 won't get violent, even if only sporadically.

6 hours ago, Bookman said:

Probably going to clock out for a bit, not that I ever have anything to say. Anyway, we'll soon find out what kind of country we are. 

Obviously the outcome matters a great deal in practical terms, but the "soul" of the country, as Joe Biden would put it, is what it is. Regardless of who wins, we are a country where damn near half of the electorate has not only voted for, but enthusiastically embraced fascism in three consecutive elections. That is something we are going to have to grapple with even if Harris wins by what qualifies as a comfortable margin by today's standards.

4 hours ago, HenryJames said:

08e3ddc5-31da-482c-8cdb-f12fd5239c85.png

I mean he didn't need to sell me on Harris but okay.

4 hours ago, Js1 said:

 

CDN media

lol at the Montgomery County cutoff being Abbott by < 25. Never change aggy.

3 hours ago, Ghost of LL said:

So yesterday I closed on the sale of a house.  Very long story--was supposed to be Mrs.LL's dream house, but interest rates happened and the timing and shit and now it just makes more sense to renovate the current house.  So today, I have quite a lot of money sitting in cash in my brokerage account.

Here's the thing--Wall Street doesn't understand shit about politics.  Mrs.LL was in finance for a long time, and ever since we've been together, I've always been shocked by how little Wall Street understands politics.  So much of their business is dictated by what happens in Washington, but they understand fuck-all about it.  And right now, Wall Street is expecting 1) a Trump win (and the inflationary and recessionary dangers that come with that) and 2) a period of uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the election as happened in 2020.

Based on everything we know, I strongly expect neither of those things.  And I think the market is going to react very favorably to 1) No Trump, and 2) certainty (irrespective of who wins) when the race is called shortly after midnight CST.  So fuck your prediction thread--I'm putting my money where my mouth is.  When the market goes up 5% tomorrow on the strength of a definitive Kamala win, the first round at Chili's is on me.

I'm finance-adjacent in commercial real estate and the NY/DC corporate/finance/political class consensus that it's going to be Trump has felt really weird to me since Harris's initial surge. Inverse 2016-ish to be honest. No one has ever really accused that crowd of being in touch with the rest of the country though so honestly, if anything (and I don't really put any stock in it at all) it's heartening.

1 hour ago, Chopper said:

If you had a prop bet on Jane Goodall pusblishing an anti-Trump op-ed today without once ever mentioning his name, congrats you're now likely a trillionaire! 

Jane Goodall has spent nearly 65 years studying the social and family interactions of wild chimpanzees. She is the founder of the Jane Goodall Institute and a United Nations messenger of peace.

 

image.png.d1a671d3719ab886c3f3e0297e3ccac9.png

image.thumb.png.d94dae62e098edb35810b6f079523df7.png

 

Washington Post https://archive.ph/xmXuD

conclusion

image.thumb.png.5119b6b18623905ac0857a92a8134eb2.png

Trump has probably posted in the thread about being able to take a chimp in a fight.

1 hour ago, South Austin said:

My own anecdote:  My former friend who turned full MAGA posted on Facebook calling a Trump win, carrying all of his 2020 states plus AZ and GA, and probably PA.  Senate will bet 53 Republicans.  All of his comments are enthusiastically falling in line.

"Probably" is doing all the work here. Trump can win AZ/GA 100-0 and if he loses MI/WI/PA it won't matter.

41 minutes ago, Incredulity said:

You do realize they lost that game in the movie, right?

Speaking of lost games, love the resolve you're showing by being here. I don't know if I'd be ready to put myself out there again if South Carolina hung 27 unanswered on my team just a few days ago. Glad to have you back.

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Posted
10 minutes ago, Judge Roybeanbag said:

Doing some pre-Chili's gut prep so I'll be ready for tomorrow.

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Holy fuck dude. Enjoy pissing out of your ass for the next 3 days. 

Posted
1 minute ago, High Plains Drifter said:

 

Its quite simple, morons. 

The graph is about exoplanets (it includes our solar system planets for reference). The x axis is mass, measured as a multiple of earth mass. For example, the number two on the x axis represents 2 times the earth's mass. 

The y axis is radius, also as a multiple of earth's radius. 

each triangle or circle represents an exoplanet with a known radius and mass. The little cross things are error bars. Our solar system planets don't have error bars because we know their radii and masses with high levels of precision. 

The bars sticking out from the left are the number of planets discovered in each "bin", or with that narrow range of radius. They aren't all represented as data points presumably because we don't know their masses. 

RV (circles) and TTV (triangles) are two different ways of determining an exoplanets mass. So each known exoplanet is shown as a circle or triangle depending on how its mass was determined. 

The faint, gray dashed lines show the density of the planets. 

I think the colored lines show the makeup of some aspect of the planet (core maybe?) although I don't understand how a planet can be 100% H2O. 

The colored scale shows either the flux of the planet's magnetic field, again measured as a multiple of Earth's magnetic field, or the temperature measured using the Kelvin scale (of the core I presume) of the planet. The color of the dot or triangle tells you the flux, the color of the lines tell you temperature. 

I'm not sure what topographic looking circles are, presumably some measure of something about the planets. The closer to the centers of those circles, the higher some value is. Each line represents a discrete change up or down from that value. 

Finally, the curves along the x axis show approximately the frequency that planets with a certain radius fall into that mass range. For example, under the blue curve, you can see that most planets with a radius of 2-3 times Earth's radius have about 9 times the Earth's mass. 

revenge of the nerds GIF

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Posted
13 minutes ago, WelfareBuysMyWeed said:

Its hitting me that when Kamala beats Trump, she's going to transform into a legendary figure in politics. Not just first woman president, not just black-indian president, but how she rescued the democrats and the country in just 7 fucking months.

image%20(8)_20240723192441261119.png

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Posted
Just now, hobbes2702 said:

Chilis is fucking smack and anyone who disagrees is just a hater. Just wondering if there was something specific that prompted this.

Yeah, was early on. Was suggested, so a bunch agreed to go there tomorrow to celebrate or die from heart attacks. Not sure which.

I am going. Already told the wife. She is excited about it. Why I have no fucking idea. She likes their margaritas. I will get laid.

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Posted

Oh my god, Trump campaign guy on CNN said they don’t really have data to have a good feeling about what’s going to happen today

CNN was like 

Sure Jan GIF

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Posted
Just now, InkaUtexas said:

Yeah, was early on. Was suggested, so a bunch agreed to go there tomorrow to celebrate or die from heart attacks. Not sure which.

I am going. Already told the wife. She is excited about it. Why I have no fucking idea. She likes their margaritas. I will get laid.

Steve Harvey Familyfeud GIF by ABC Network

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Posted
1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Oh my god, Trump campaign guy on CNN said they don’t really have data to have a good feeling about what’s going to happen today

CNN was like 

Sure Jan GIF

Elon hasn’t let them know where he is adding the votes yet. 

Posted (edited)
38 minutes ago, Chad Fuck said:

You and me both brother.  My cousin's husband is an SBC preacher way out in West Texas.  I've been trying to convert him for years.  Whenever I bring up any of the many varied and problematic outright contradictions of tfg, his pat response is "God works in mysterious ways, still voting for tfg." On occasion I'll get "He may yet be redeemed."  It's very difficult to argue with "God" and come out on top.  So maybe my conversation rate is closer to 2/4.  Still, it hasn't been for lack of trying. 

Pastor Loran Livingston will handle him. It's a few months old but never fails. I posted this again yesterday, silence from my suddenly holy crowd. People I have known for decades who scarcely see the inside of a church except for funerals. "Praying for Trump". 

 

 

Edited by pacman
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Posted
2 minutes ago, High Plains Drifter said:

 

Its quite simple, morons. 

The graph is about exoplanets (it includes our solar system planets for reference). The x axis is mass, measured as a multiple of earth mass. For example, the number two on the x axis represents 2 times the earth's mass. 

The y axis is radius, also as a multiple of earth's radius. 

each triangle or circle represents an exoplanet with a known radius and mass. The little cross things are error bars. Our solar system planets don't have error bars because we know their radii and masses with high levels of precision. 

The bars sticking out from the left are the number of planets discovered in each "bin", or with that narrow range of radius. They aren't all represented as data points presumably because we don't know their masses. 

RV (circles) and TTV (triangles) are two different ways of determining an exoplanets mass. So each known exoplanet is shown as a circle or triangle depending on how its mass was determined. 

The faint, gray dashed lines show the density of the planets. 

I think the colored lines show the makeup of some aspect of the planet (core maybe?) although I don't understand how a planet can be 100% H2O. 

The colored scale shows either the flux of the planet's magnetic field, again measured as a multiple of Earth's magnetic field, or the temperature measured using the Kelvin scale (of the core I presume) of the planet. The color of the dot or triangle tells you the flux, the color of the lines tell you temperature. 

I'm not sure what topographic looking circles are, presumably some measure of something about the planets. The closer to the centers of those circles, the higher some value is. Each line represents a discrete change up or down from that value. 

Finally, the curves along the x axis show approximately the frequency that planets with a certain radius fall into that mass range. For example, under the blue curve, you can see that most planets with a radius of 2-3 times Earth's radius have about 9 times the Earth's mass. 

GIF by iHeartRadio

Posted
2 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Yeah, was early on. Was suggested, so a bunch agreed to go there tomorrow to celebrate or die from heart attacks. Not sure which.

I am going. Already told the wife. She is excited about it. Why I have no fucking idea. She likes their margaritas. I will get laid.

Which Austin location was selected?

Posted

1.  Drove by the main polling place in the Woodlands during lunch.   There were a half dozen people waiving large Harris/Walz flags at the entrances and another 3-4 at the Democrat tent.  Nary a Republican to be seen.

2.  Why the fuck is DJT stock up 15% today?

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Posted
4 minutes ago, High Plains Drifter said:

 

Its quite simple, morons. 

The graph is about exoplanets (it includes our solar system planets for reference). The x axis is mass, measured as a multiple of earth mass. For example, the number two on the x axis represents 2 times the earth's mass. 

The y axis is radius, also as a multiple of earth's radius. 

each triangle or circle represents an exoplanet with a known radius and mass. The little cross things are error bars. Our solar system planets don't have error bars because we know their radii and masses with high levels of precision. 

The bars sticking out from the left are the number of planets discovered in each "bin", or with that narrow range of radius. They aren't all represented as data points presumably because we don't know their masses. 

RV (circles) and TTV (triangles) are two different ways of determining an exoplanets mass. So each known exoplanet is shown as a circle or triangle depending on how its mass was determined. 

The faint, gray dashed lines show the density of the planets. 

I think the colored lines show the makeup of some aspect of the planet (core maybe?) although I don't understand how a planet can be 100% H2O. 

The colored scale shows either the flux of the planet's magnetic field, again measured as a multiple of Earth's magnetic field, or the temperature measured using the Kelvin scale (of the core I presume) of the planet. The color of the dot or triangle tells you the flux, the color of the lines tell you temperature. 

I'm not sure what topographic looking circles are, presumably some measure of something about the planets. The closer to the centers of those circles, the higher some value is. Each line represents a discrete change up or down from that value. 

Finally, the curves along the x axis show approximately the frequency that planets with a certain radius fall into that mass range. For example, under the blue curve, you can see that most planets with a radius of 2-3 times Earth's radius have about 9 times the Earth's mass. 

but what’s it mean?



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